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⚽ Serie A

Lecce vs Genoa Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Lecce vs Genoa in the Serie A. Kick-off Sunday 01 November 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Lecce face Genoa in the Serie A, kicking off Sunday 01 November 2026, 17:00 UTC. Recent form: Lecce have 2 wins from their last 5, while Genoa have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Lecce won 1, Genoa won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Lecce win the most likely result at 36%, projecting a 1.0-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Lecce vs Genoa with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Lecce or Draw @ 1.44

65%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.98 – 1.17 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.6%	13.6%	8.0%	3.1%	0.9%
1	11.4%	13.4%	7.8%	3.0%	0.9%
2	5.6%	6.5%	3.8%	1.5%	0.4%
3	1.8%	2.1%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%
4	0.4%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 0-1

Lecce winDrawGenoa win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Lecce vs Genoa comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Lecce or Draw at odds 1.44, with a 65% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Lecce win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 36%. Goals lean under 2.5 (64%), both teams to score points no (57%).

📊 Key numbers

Lecce 36%Draw 33%Genoa 31%

36%33%31%

36%

Lecce Win

64%

Under 2.5 goals

57%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Lecce and Genoa. Wins shown from Lecce’s perspective: Lecce 1 · 2 drawn · Genoa 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-05-24	Lecce	1 – 0	Genoa	W
2025-08-23	Genoa	0 – 0	Lecce	D
2025-03-14	Genoa	2 – 1	Lecce	L
2025-01-05	Lecce	0 – 0	Genoa	D
2024-01-28	Genoa	2 – 1	Lecce	L

📈 Recent form

Lecce

Lecce come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Udinese. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Juventus.

LLecce 0-2 JuventusSerie A
WUdinese 0-3 LecceSerie A
LLecce 1-2 BolognaSerie A
LAC Milan 3-0 LecceSerie A
WLecce 3-2 MonzaSerie A

Genoa

Genoa come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Venezia. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at AS Roma.

WGenoa 1-0 VeneziaSerie A
LAS Roma 2-0 GenoaSerie A
WGenoa 2-1 FiorentinaSerie A
LRapid 2-0 GenoaFriendlies Clubs
LParma 2-1 GenoaSerie A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 1 player listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Lecce

No absentees reported.

Genoa

L. VenturinoJumpers Knee

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Lecce at 36% to win and Genoa at 31%, with the draw at 33%. Our model makes a Lecce win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lecce Win	36%	36%	@ 2.62
Draw	33%	30%	@ 3.10
Genoa Win	31%	34%	@ 2.70

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lecce or Draw at 1.44 (65% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lecce or Draw	65%	66%	@ 1.44
Genoa or Draw	61%	64%	@ 1.44

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.0-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 64% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	83%	79%	@ 1.20
Under 2.5	64%	60%	@ 1.57
Over 1.5	63%	66%	@ 1.44
Under 1.5	37%	34%	@ 2.75
Over 2.5	36%	40%	@ 2.38
Over 3.5	17%	21%	@ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 57%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	57%	52%	@ 1.80
BTTS Yes	43%	48%	@ 1.95

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lecce vs Genoa?

Our model's pick is Lecce or Draw at odds 1.44, with a 65% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 66%.

Who is the favourite for Lecce vs Genoa?

Our model makes a Lecce win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.0-1.2 scoreline for Lecce vs Genoa.

What is the predicted score for Lecce vs Genoa?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.98 for Lecce and 1.17 for Genoa. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Lecce and Genoa play?

Kick-off is Sunday 01 November 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.