Sat 8 Aug1-1Finished

⚽ Jupiler Pro League

St. Truiden vs Lommel United Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for St. Truiden vs Lommel United in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Saturday 08 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: St. Truiden 1-1 Lommel United

St. Truiden vs Lommel United finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, Lommel United Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at 1.33, landed.

St. Truiden face Lommel United in the upcoming Jupiler Pro League tips, kicking off Saturday 08 August 2026, 18:45 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for St. Truiden vs Lommel United with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Lommel United Asian Handicap +1.75 @ 1.33

85%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.90 – 1.53 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.8%	13.5%	10.3%	5.3%	2.0%
1	7.9%	12.1%	9.3%	4.7%	1.8%
2	3.6%	5.5%	4.2%	2.1%	0.8%
3	1.1%	1.6%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.2%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.1%

Projected score: 0-1

St. Truiden winDrawLommel United win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for St. Truiden vs Lommel United comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Lommel United Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at odds 1.33, with a 85% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points no (54%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

56%

Under 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

St. Truiden

St. Truiden come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to RAAL La Louvière. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to KVC Westerlo.

LSt. Truiden 0-2 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
LSK Beveren 2-0 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
WSt. Truiden 4-0 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
LSt. Truiden 0-3 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
WAntwerp 1-4 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League

Lommel United

Lommel United come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to KVC Westerlo. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at Union St. Gilloise.

DLommel United 0-0 KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
LUnion St. Gilloise 5-0 Lommel UnitedJupiler Pro League
LLommel United 0-1 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
WCercle Brugge 0-1 Lommel UnitedJupiler Pro League
WLommel United 4-0 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is St. Truiden or Draw at 1.14 (64% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
St. Truiden or Draw	64%	82%	@ 1.14
Lommel United or Draw	62%	42%	@ 2.25

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.9-1.5 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	77%	69%	@ 1.35
Over 1.5	70%	75%	@ 1.25
Under 2.5	56%	49%	@ 1.93
Over 2.5	44%	51%	@ 1.82
Under 1.5	30%	25%	@ 3.75
Over 3.5	23%	31%	@ 3.05

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	54%	49%	@ 1.88
BTTS Yes	46%	51%	@ 1.80

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when St. Truiden or Lommel United is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lommel United +2	88%	79%	1.21
Lommel United +1.75	85%	71%	1.33
Lommel United +1.5	82%	65%	1.46
Lommel United +1.25	77%	60%	1.59
Lommel United +1	72%	53%	1.79
St. Truiden +0.75	69%	86%	1.10
Lommel United +0.75	67%	46%	2.06
St. Truiden +0.5	64%	–	1.16
Lommel United +0.5	62%	41%	2.29
St. Truiden +0.25	58%	79%	1.20
Lommel United +0.25	55%	33%	2.85
St. Truiden 0	51%	77%	1.24
Lommel United 0	49%	23%	4.08
St. Truiden -0.25	45%	67%	1.42
Lommel United -0.25	42%	21%	4.40
St. Truiden -0.5	38%	59%	1.59
St. Truiden -0.75	33%	54%	1.78
Lommel United -0.75	31%	14%	6.80
St. Truiden -1	28%	47%	2.02
St. Truiden -1.25	23%	40%	2.38
St. Truiden -1.5	18%	35%	2.65
St. Truiden -1.75	15%	29%	3.31
St. Truiden -2	12%	21%	4.50

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for St. Truiden vs Lommel United?

Our model's main pick is Lommel United Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at odds 1.33, with a 85% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

What is the predicted score for St. Truiden vs Lommel United?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.90 for St. Truiden and 1.53 for Lommel United. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do St. Truiden and Lommel United play?

Kick-off is Saturday 08 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.