Sun 16 Aug3-0Finished

⚽ La Liga

Espanyol vs Levante Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Espanyol vs Levante in the La Liga. Kick-off Sunday 16 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Espanyol 3-0 Levante

Espanyol vs Levante finished 3-0. Espanyol won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Espanyol face Levante in the upcoming La Liga tips, kicking off Sunday 16 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. In their last 3 meetings, Espanyol won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Espanyol win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.5-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Espanyol vs Levante with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Levante +1.5 @ 1.25

82%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.47 – 1.27 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.5%	8.2%	5.2%	2.2%	0.7%
1	9.5%	12.1%	7.7%	3.2%	1.0%
2	7.0%	8.9%	5.6%	2.4%	0.8%
3	3.4%	4.3%	2.8%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.3%	1.6%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Espanyol winDrawLevante win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Espanyol vs Levante comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Levante with a +1.5 start at odds 1.25, with a 82% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Espanyol win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean over 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (55%).

📊 Key numbers

Espanyol 38%Draw 28%Levante 34%

38%28%34%

38%

Espanyol Win

52%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between Espanyol and Levante. Wins shown from Espanyol’s perspective: Espanyol 1 · 2 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-16	Espanyol	3 – 0	Levante	W
2026-04-27	Espanyol	0 – 0	Levante	D
2026-01-11	Levante	1 – 1	Espanyol	D

📈 Recent form

Espanyol

Espanyol come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Osasuna. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Elche.

LEspanyol 1-3 ElcheLa Liga
LRayo Vallecano 2-1 EspanyolLa Liga
WOsasuna 0-2 EspanyolLa Liga
DEspanyol 1-1 SevillaLa Liga
LReal Sociedad 2-1 EspanyolLa Liga

Levante

Levante come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at home to Real Betis. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Villarreal.

LVillarreal 3-1 LevanteLa Liga
LLevante 2-4 BarcelonaLa Liga
DMálaga 0-0 LevanteLa Liga
WLevante 5-2 Real BetisLa Liga
DOsasuna 0-0 LevanteLa Liga

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Espanyol

K. GarciaHamstring Injury
J. PuadoKnee Injury

Levante

R. BrugueSuspended (red card)
A. PrimoShoulder Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Espanyol at 38% to win and Levante at 34%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes an Espanyol win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Espanyol Win	38%	46%	@ 2.04
Levante Win	34%	24%	@ 3.95
Draw	28%	30%	@ 3.20

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Espanyol or Draw at 1.24 (66% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Espanyol or Draw	66%	76%	@ 1.24
Levante or Draw	61%	54%	@ 1.76

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	76%	68%	@ 1.40
Under 3.5	70%	77%	@ 1.22
Over 2.5	52%	42%	@ 2.25
Under 2.5	48%	58%	@ 1.64
Over 3.5	30%	23%	@ 4.20
Under 1.5	24%	32%	@ 2.95

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	55%	48%	@ 1.94
BTTS No	45%	52%	@ 1.79

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Espanyol or Levante is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Levante +1.75	85%	81%	1.17
Levante +1.5	82%	75%	@ 1.25
Levante +1.25	77%	73%	1.30
Levante +1	71%	69%	1.38
Espanyol +0.75	70%	81%	1.18
Levante +0.75	66%	60%	@ 1.59
Espanyol +0.5	66%	75%	1.26
Levante +0.5	61%	53%	@ 1.77
Espanyol +0.25	59%	71%	1.34
Levante +0.25	54%	45%	@ 2.10
Espanyol 0	52%	64%	1.47
Levante 0	48%	36%	@ 2.67
Espanyol -0.25	46%	55%	1.75
Levante -0.25	41%	29%	@ 3.31
Espanyol -0.5	39%	47%	2.04
Levante -0.5	34%	25%	@ 3.76
Espanyol -0.75	34%	40%	2.40
Levante -0.75	30%	19%	@ 5.17
Espanyol -1	29%	31%	3.12
Espanyol -1.25	23%	27%	3.58
Espanyol -1.5	18%	25%	3.82
Espanyol -1.75	15%	19%	5.00

📈 How the market moved

Espanyol 46%Draw 29%Levante 25%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Espanyol vs Levante?

Our model's main pick is Levante with a +1.5 start at odds 1.25, with a 82% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for Espanyol vs Levante?

Our model makes an Espanyol win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.3 scoreline for Espanyol vs Levante.

What is the predicted score for Espanyol vs Levante?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.47 for Espanyol and 1.27 for Levante. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Espanyol and Levante play?

Kick-off is Sunday 16 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.