⚽ Premier League

Akron vs Krylia Sovetov Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Akron vs Krylia Sovetov in the Premier League. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 10:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Akron face Krylia Sovetov in the Premier League, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 10:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Akron won 1, Krylia Sovetov won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Krylia Sovetov win the most likely result at 52%, projecting a 0.9-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Akron vs Krylia Sovetov with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.39

76%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.90 – 1.61 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.1%	13.1%	10.5%	5.7%	2.3%
1	7.3%	11.8%	9.5%	5.1%	2.0%
2	3.3%	5.3%	4.3%	2.3%	0.9%
3	1.0%	1.6%	1.3%	0.7%	0.3%
4	0.2%	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 0-1

Akron winDrawKrylia Sovetov win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Akron vs Krylia Sovetov is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.39, the selection our model is most confident in at 76%. On the match result, the model rates a Krylia Sovetov win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 52%. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is a Krylia Sovetov win at odds 2.47 (+27.9% model value).

Best value

Krylia Sovetov Win at odds 2.47, 52% model probability, +27.9% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Akron 20%Draw 28%Krylia Sovetov 52%

20%28%52%

52%

Krylia Sovetov Win

54%

Under 2.5 goals

+27.9%

Best value: Krylia Sovetov Win

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Akron and Krylia Sovetov. Wins shown from Akron’s perspective: Akron 1 · Krylia Sovetov 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-07-18	Akron	2 – 1	Krylia Sovetov	W
2026-05-17	Krylia Sovetov	4 – 1	Akron	L

📈 Recent form

Akron

Akron come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 9. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at CSKA Moscow. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at home to FC Rostov.

WCSKA Moscow 0-1 AkronCup
DRodina Moskva 3-3 AkronPremier League
DLokomotiv 0-0 AkronPremier League
LAkron 0-4 FC RostovCup
LAkron 1-2 RubinPremier League

Krylia Sovetov

Krylia Sovetov come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Dinamo Makhachkala. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at home to Dinamo Makhachkala.

DKrylia Sovetov 0-0 ZenitCup
LKrylia Sovetov 1-4 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
LKrylia Sovetov 0-2 BaltikaPremier League
WDinamo Makhachkala 1-2 Krylia SovetovCup
DCSKA Moscow 1-1 Krylia SovetovPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 3 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Akron

I. NedelcearuInjury
Y. ZheleznovInjury

Krylia Sovetov

C. GeoffreySuspended (red card)

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Akron at 20% to win and Krylia Sovetov at 52%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Krylia Sovetov win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Krylia Sovetov Win	52%	@ 2.47	+27.9%
Draw	28%	@ 3.34	-4.9%
Akron Win	20%	@ 2.90	-42.8%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.9-1.6 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	28%	@ 4.05	+15.5%
Under 2.5	54%	@ 2.03	+9.9%
Under 3.5	76%	@ 1.39	+5.0%
Over 1.5	72%	@ 1.23	-12.1%
Over 2.5	46%	@ 1.79	-17.9%
Over 3.5	24%	@ 2.95	-27.9%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Away	45%
Dixon-Coles	Away	58%

Both models that could assess this match agree. Our Dixon-Coles model has no reliable team ratings for this competition and was left out, so this rests on two models rather than three.

Expected goals: 0.99 for the home side, 1.70 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (13%), 0-2 (11%), 1-2 (10%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Akron vs Krylia Sovetov?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.39, with 76% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is a Krylia Sovetov win at 2.47 (+27.9% value).

Who is the favourite for Akron vs Krylia Sovetov?

Our model makes a Krylia Sovetov win the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 0.9-1.6 scoreline for Akron vs Krylia Sovetov.

What is the predicted score for Akron vs Krylia Sovetov?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.90 for Akron and 1.61 for Krylia Sovetov. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Akron and Krylia Sovetov play?

Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 10:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.