⚽ Major League Soccer
FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Thursday 15 October 2026, 00:30 UTC.
FC Dallas face Seattle Sounders in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Thursday 15 October 2026, 00:30 UTC. Recent form: FC Dallas have 4 wins from their last 5, while Seattle Sounders have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, FC Dallas won 1, Seattle Sounders won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Seattle Sounders win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.5-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 8.1% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| 2 | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.57, with a 67% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Seattle Sounders win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean over 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points yes (58%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between FC Dallas and Seattle Sounders. Wins shown from FC Dallas’s perspective: FC Dallas 1 · 1 drawn · Seattle Sounders 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Seattle Sounders | 2 – 1 | FC Dallas | L |
| 2024-06-23 | Seattle Sounders | 3 – 2 | FC Dallas | L |
| 2024-04-14 | FC Dallas | 0 – 0 | Seattle Sounders | D |
| 2023-11-11 | Seattle Sounders | 1 – 0 | FC Dallas | L |
| 2023-11-05 | FC Dallas | 3 – 1 | Seattle Sounders | W |
📈 Recent form
FC Dallas come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Los Angeles FC. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Charlotte.
- LCharlotte 3-2 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
- WFC Dallas 1-0 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- DFC Dallas 0-0 AustinMajor League Soccer
- WFC Dallas 2-1 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
- WMinnesota United FC 1-2 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
Seattle Sounders come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at New England Revolution. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WNew England Revolution 0-3 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
- WSeattle Sounders 2-1 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
- WSeattle Sounders 3-1 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
- WSeattle Sounders 2-0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- DColorado Rapids 3-3 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- Geovane JesusKnee Injury
- N. PetkovicKnee Injury
- P. RothrockTendon Injury
- P. de La VegaCalf Injury
- J. MorrisInjury
- A. RoldanInjury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices FC Dallas at 33% to win and Seattle Sounders at 38%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Seattle Sounders win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders Win | 38% | 26% | @ 3.50 |
| FC Dallas Win | 33% | 48% | @ 1.91 |
| Draw | 29% | 26% | @ 3.60 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Seattle Sounders or Draw at 1.91 (66% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders or Draw | 66% | 52% | @ 1.91 |
| FC Dallas or Draw | 61% | 74% | @ 1.28 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 83% | @ 1.14 |
| Under 3.5 | 67% | 59% | @ 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 61% | @ 1.53 |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | 39% | @ 2.40 |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 41% | @ 2.25 |
| Under 1.5 | 22% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 42% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders?
Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.57, with a 67% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 59%.
Who is the favourite for FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders?
Our model makes a Seattle Sounders win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.4 scoreline for FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders.
What is the predicted score for FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.47 for FC Dallas and 1.43 for Seattle Sounders. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do FC Dallas and Seattle Sounders play?
Kick-off is Thursday 15 October 2026, 00:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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