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⚽ La Liga

Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad in the La Liga. Kick-off Sunday 01 November 2026, 20:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Athletic Club face Real Sociedad in the La Liga, kicking off Sunday 01 November 2026, 20:00 UTC. Recent form: Athletic Club have 1 win from their last 5, while Real Sociedad have 4 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Athletic Club won 2, Real Sociedad won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Athletic Club win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.6-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.44

68%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.60 – 1.23 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.9%	7.3%	4.5%	1.8%	0.6%
1	9.4%	11.6%	7.1%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.6%	9.3%	5.7%	2.3%	0.7%
3	4.0%	5.0%	3.0%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.6%	2.0%	1.2%	0.5%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Athletic Club winDrawReal Sociedad win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 68% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Athletic Club win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (56%).

📊 Key numbers

Athletic Club 41%Draw 26%Real Sociedad 33%

41%26%33%

41%

Athletic Club Win

54%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Athletic Club and Real Sociedad. Wins shown from Athletic Club’s perspective: Athletic Club 2 · 2 drawn · Real Sociedad 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-02-01	Athletic Club	1 – 1	Real Sociedad	D
2025-11-01	Real Sociedad	3 – 2	Athletic Club	L
2025-05-04	Real Sociedad	0 – 0	Athletic Club	D
2024-11-24	Athletic Club	1 – 0	Real Sociedad	W
2024-01-13	Athletic Club	2 – 1	Real Sociedad	W

📈 Recent form

Athletic Club

Athletic Club come into this game with 2 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 1. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Getafe.

WAthletic Club 4-0 GetafeLa Liga
DValencia 0-0 Athletic ClubLa Liga
DAthletic Club 0-0 AlavésLa Liga
DAthletic Club 1-1 ElcheLa Liga
WAthletic Club 3-0 Atlético MadridLa Liga

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 17 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 6-0 at Lillestrom. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WReal Sociedad 2-1 LevanteLa Liga
WLillestrom 0-6 Real SociedadUEFA Europa League
WMálaga 2-5 Real SociedadLa Liga
DUnion St. Gilloise 1-1 Real SociedadUEFA Europa League
WReal Sociedad 3-2 Deportivo La CoruñaLa Liga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Athletic Club at 41% to win and Real Sociedad at 33%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes an Athletic Club win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Athletic Club Win	41%	46%	@ 2.05
Real Sociedad Win	33%	29%	@ 3.20
Draw	26%	25%	@ 3.70

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Athletic Club or Draw at 1.36 (67% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Athletic Club or Draw	67%	71%	@ 1.36
Real Sociedad or Draw	59%	54%	@ 1.73

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	77%	78%	@ 1.22
Under 3.5	68%	66%	@ 1.44
Over 2.5	54%	55%	@ 1.73
Under 2.5	46%	45%	@ 2.10
Over 3.5	32%	34%	@ 2.75
Under 1.5	23%	22%	@ 4.33

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	56%	58%	@ 1.62
BTTS No	44%	42%	@ 2.20

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad?

Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 68% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 66%.

Who is the favourite for Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad?

Our model makes an Athletic Club win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline for Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad.

What is the predicted score for Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.60 for Athletic Club and 1.23 for Real Sociedad. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Athletic Club and Real Sociedad play?

Kick-off is Sunday 01 November 2026, 20:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.