Mon 14 Sep2-1Finished

⚽ Brazilian Série A

Bahia vs Remo Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Bahia vs Remo in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Monday 14 September 2026, 23:00 UTC.

Result: Bahia 2-1 Remo

Bahia vs Remo finished 2-1. Bahia won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, Remo Asian Handicap with a +2 start at 1.35, landed.

Bahia face Remo in the upcoming Brazilian Série A tips, kicking off Monday 14 September 2026, 23:00 UTC. Recent form: Bahia have 3 wins from their last 5, while Remo have no wins from their last 5. In their last 3 meetings, Bahia won 1, Remo won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Bahia win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 2.0-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Bahia vs Remo with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Remo Asian Handicap +2.0 @ 1.35
82%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.02 – 1.14 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 4.2% 4.8% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
1 8.6% 9.8% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6%
2 8.7% 9.9% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6%
3 5.8% 6.6% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
4 2.9% 3.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
Projected score: 2-1
Bahia winDrawRemo win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Bahia vs Remo comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Remo Asian Handicap with a +2 start at odds 1.35, with a 82% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Bahia win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean over 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points yes (59%).

📊 Key numbers

Bahia 48%Draw 26%Remo 26%
48%26%26%
48%
Bahia Win
61%
Over 2.5 goals
59%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between Bahia and Remo. Wins shown from Bahia’s perspective: Bahia 1 · Remo 2.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-09-14 Bahia 2 – 1 Remo W
2026-05-14 Remo 2 – 1 Bahia L
2026-04-22 Bahia 1 – 3 Remo L

📈 Recent form

Bahia

Bahia come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Vitória. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Athletico Paranaense.

  • LAthletico Paranaense 2-1 BahiaBrazilian Série A
  • WBahia 2-1 RemoBrazilian Série A
  • WRB Bragantino 2-3 BahiaBrazilian Série A
  • WBahia 3-2 InternacionalBrazilian Série A
  • WVitória 0-2 BahiaBrazilian Série A
Remo

Remo come into this game with 5 defeats from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 10. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Santos.

  • LRemo 1-2 SantosBrazilian Série A
  • LBahia 2-1 RemoBrazilian Série A
  • LRemo 0-1 FlamengoBrazilian Série A
  • LRemo 2-3 CoritibaBrazilian Série A
  • LFluminense 2-1 RemoBrazilian Série A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Bahia
  • ErickSuspended (cards)
  • Leo VieiraKnee Injury
  • M. SanabriaNot in squad
Remo
  • Edson FernandoSuspended (red card)
  • Joao LucasKnee Injury
  • MarcelinhoSuspended (cards)

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Bahia at 48% to win and Remo at 26%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Bahia win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Bahia Win 48% 64% @ 1.45
Draw 26% 22% @ 4.30
Remo Win 26% 14% @ 6.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bahia or Draw at 1.10 (74% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Bahia or Draw 74% 86% @ 1.10
Remo or Draw 51% 36% @ 2.65

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 61% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 82% 78% @ 1.20
Over 2.5 61% 55% @ 1.70
Under 3.5 61% 66% @ 1.44
Over 3.5 39% 34% @ 2.75
Under 2.5 39% 45% @ 2.12
Under 1.5 18% 22% @ 4.30

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 59%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 59% 51% @ 1.82
BTTS No 41% 49% @ 1.88

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Bahia or Remo is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Remo +2 82% 70% @ 1.35
Remo +1.75 79% 63% @ 1.51
Remo +1.5 75% 56% @ 1.69
Bahia +0.5 74% 86% 1.10
Remo +1.25 69% 50% @ 1.92
Bahia +0.25 68% 85% 1.12
Remo +1 63% 43% @ 2.22
Bahia 0 61% 83% 1.14
Remo +0.75 57% 37% @ 2.54
Bahia -0.25 55% 74% 1.27
Remo +0.5 51% 33% @ 2.88
Bahia -0.5 49% 67% 1.42
Remo +0.25 45% 26% @ 3.71
Bahia -0.75 43% 63% 1.51
Remo 0 39% 17% @ 5.75
Bahia -1 37% 57% 1.67
Remo -0.25 32% 15% @ 6.25
Bahia -1.25 31% 50% 1.95
Remo -0.5 26% 14% @ 6.80
Bahia -1.5 25% 44% 2.18
Bahia -1.75 21% 37% 2.54
Bahia -2 18% 30% 3.20

📈 How the market moved

9%39%70%09/0909/1009/1109/1209/1309/14

Bahia 66%Draw 21%Remo 13%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bahia vs Remo?

Our model's main pick is Remo Asian Handicap with a +2 start at odds 1.35, with a 82% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

Who is the favourite for Bahia vs Remo?

Our model makes a Bahia win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.1 scoreline for Bahia vs Remo.

What is the predicted score for Bahia vs Remo?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.02 for Bahia and 1.14 for Remo. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Bahia and Remo play?

Kick-off is Monday 14 September 2026, 23:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.