Burgos

Sun 18 Oct1-0Finished

Sabadell

⚽ Segunda División

Burgos vs Sabadell Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Burgos vs Sabadell in the Segunda División. Kick-off Sunday 18 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Burgos 1-0 Sabadell

Burgos vs Sabadell finished 1-0. Burgos won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Burgos face Sabadell in the Segunda División, kicking off Sunday 18 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Burgos have 3 wins from their last 5, while Sabadell have 2 wins from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes a Burgos win the most likely result at 38%, implying a 1.1-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Burgos vs Sabadell with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Burgos win	38%
Draw	32%
Sabadell win	30%
Over 2.5 goals	36%
Both teams to score	44%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.15 – 1.00 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.6%	11.6%	5.8%	1.9%	0.5%
1	13.4%	13.4%	6.7%	2.2%	0.6%
2	7.7%	7.7%	3.9%	1.3%	0.3%
3	3.0%	3.0%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%
4	0.8%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Burgos winDrawSabadell win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Burgos vs Sabadell. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Burgos win is the most likely result at 38%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams to score: no at 56%.

📊 Key numbers

Burgos 38%Draw 32%Sabadell 30%

38%32%30%

38%

Burgos Win

64%

Under 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Burgos

Burgos come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Sabadell. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Granada CF.

WBurgos 1-0 SabadellSegunda División
LBurgos 0-1 Granada CFSegunda División
LAlmeria 2-1 BurgosSegunda División
WBurgos 1-0 EldenseSegunda División
WLas Palmas 1-2 BurgosSegunda División

Sabadell

Sabadell come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Oviedo. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Burgos.

LBurgos 1-0 SabadellSegunda División
WAD Ceuta FC 1-2 SabadellSegunda División
DSabadell 0-0 FC AndorraSegunda División
WSabadell 3-1 OviedoSegunda División
LMallorca 2-0 SabadellSegunda División

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Burgos at 38% to win and Sabadell at 30%, with the draw at 32%. The bookmaker market makes a Burgos win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Burgos Win	37%	@ 2.50
Draw	32%	@ 2.90
Sabadell Win	30%	@ 3.10

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Burgos or Draw at 1.36 (70% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Burgos or Draw	70%	@ 1.36
Sabadell or Draw	63%	@ 1.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.1-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 64% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	81%	@ 1.17
Under 2.5	64%	@ 1.48
Over 1.5	62%	@ 1.50
Under 1.5	38%	@ 2.50
Over 2.5	36%	@ 2.60
Over 3.5	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams not to score at 56%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	56%	@ 1.67
BTTS Yes	44%	@ 2.10

📈 How the market moved

Burgos 36%Draw 32%Sabadell 32%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Burgos vs Sabadell?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Burgos win is the most likely result at 38%.

Who is the favourite for Burgos vs Sabadell?

Our model makes a Burgos win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.0 scoreline for Burgos vs Sabadell.

What is the predicted score for Burgos vs Sabadell?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.15 for Burgos and 1.00 for Sabadell. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Burgos and Sabadell play?

Kick-off is Sunday 18 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.