Wed 4 Nov19:45Upcoming

⚽ Championship

Cardiff vs West Ham Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Cardiff vs West Ham in the Championship. Kick-off Wednesday 04 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Cardiff face West Ham in the Championship, kicking off Wednesday 04 November 2026, 19:45 UTC. Recent form: Cardiff have 3 wins from their last 5, while West Ham have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a West Ham win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 1.3-2.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Cardiff vs West Ham with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.40

74%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.31 – 2.54 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.1%	5.4%	6.9%	5.8%	3.7%
1	2.8%	7.1%	9.0%	7.6%	4.8%
2	1.8%	4.6%	5.9%	5.0%	3.2%
3	0.8%	2.0%	2.6%	2.2%	1.4%
4	0.3%	0.7%	0.8%	0.7%	0.5%

Projected score: 1-2

Cardiff winDrawWest Ham win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Cardiff vs West Ham comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a West Ham win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean over 2.5 (74%), both teams to score points yes (67%).

📊 Key numbers

Cardiff 27%Draw 25%West Ham 48%

27%25%48%

48%

West Ham Win

74%

Over 2.5 goals

67%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Cardiff

Cardiff come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to Watford. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Wolves.

LWolves 3-0 CardiffChampionship
WCardiff 1-0 BirminghamChampionship
DMiddlesbrough 2-2 CardiffChampionship
WCardiff 5-1 WatfordChampionship
LBlackburn 2-1 CardiffChampionship

West Ham

West Ham come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 6-0 at Lincoln. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to West Brom.

LWest Ham 1-3 West BromChampionship
LWest Ham 2-3 SouthamptonChampionship
WSwansea 0-1 West HamChampionship
WLincoln 0-6 West HamChampionship
DWest Ham 1-1 QPRChampionship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Cardiff

C. ChambersKnee Injury
D. LawlorHamstring Injury
K. BielikNot in squad
C. RobinsonNot in squad

West Ham

K. MavropanosKnee Injury
K. LamadridInjury

🧩 Likely line-ups & team news

West Ham 4-4-2

1Hermansen

2Walker-Peters

58Golambeckis

3Kilman

5Morato

20Bowen

14Mukasa

7Engels

35Austbö

19Pablo

17Kanté

9Salech

16Willock

8Moylan

11Tanner

18Robertson

27Colwill

23Scanlon

3Bagan

2Fish

38Ng

1Trott

Cardiff 4-2-3-1

West Ham

Last starting XI (4-4-2) vs West Brom, 31/10

Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo

Bench last match34Veltman28Souček10Solomon9Piroe61Orford63Mayers27Magassa11Castellanos23Areola

Cardiff

Last starting XI (4-2-3-1) vs Wolves, 31/10

Coach: B. Barry-Murphy

Bench last match14Turnbull30Tyrer33Tankiewicz43Moreno44Kpakio10Colwill45Ashford40Anyadike50Holt

Expected line-ups are based on each team's last starting XI and the reported absences. Official line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Cardiff at 27% to win and West Ham at 48%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a West Ham win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
West Ham Win	48%	48%	@ 1.95
Cardiff Win	27%	28%	@ 3.40
Draw	25%	24%	@ 3.90

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is West Ham or Draw at 1.30 (73% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
West Ham or Draw	73%	72%	@ 1.30
Cardiff or Draw	52%	52%	@ 1.80

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-2.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 74% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	90%	84%	@ 1.12
Over 2.5	74%	68%	@ 1.40
Over 3.5	54%	47%	@ 2.00
Under 3.5	46%	53%	@ 1.80
Under 2.5	26%	32%	@ 3.00
Under 1.5	10%	16%	@ 6.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 67%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	67%	66%	@ 1.40
BTTS No	33%	34%	@ 2.75

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cardiff vs West Ham?

Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 68%.

Who is the favourite for Cardiff vs West Ham?

Our model makes a West Ham win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.3-2.5 scoreline for Cardiff vs West Ham.

What is the predicted score for Cardiff vs West Ham?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.31 for Cardiff and 2.54 for West Ham. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Cardiff and West Ham play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 04 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.