Thu 17 Sep1-3Finished

Ferencváros

⚽ UEFA Europa League

Celtic vs Ferencváros Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Celtic vs Ferencváros in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 17 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Celtic 1-3 Ferencváros

Celtic vs Ferencváros finished 1-3. Ferencváros won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, Ferencváros Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at 1.30, landed.

Celtic face Ferencváros in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Thursday 17 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Ferencváros win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.8-2.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Celtic vs Ferencváros with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Ferencváros Asian Handicap +1.75 @ 1.30

88%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.78 – 2.04 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.2%	4.5%	4.6%	3.1%	1.6%
1	3.9%	8.0%	8.1%	5.5%	2.8%
2	3.5%	7.1%	7.2%	4.9%	2.5%
3	2.1%	4.2%	4.3%	2.9%	1.5%
4	0.9%	1.9%	1.9%	1.3%	0.7%

Projected score: 1-2

Celtic winDrawFerencváros win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Celtic vs Ferencváros comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Ferencváros Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at odds 1.30, with a 88% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Ferencváros win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (73%), both teams to score points yes (72%).

📊 Key numbers

Celtic 33%Draw 27%Ferencváros 40%

33%27%40%

40%

Ferencváros Win

73%

Over 2.5 goals

72%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Celtic

Celtic come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at St Johnstone. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Rangers.

LCeltic 0-1 RangersPremiership
LCeltic 1-3 FerencvárosUEFA Europa League
LRangers 3-0 CelticLeague Cup
WSt Johnstone 0-1 CelticPremiership
WSt Mirren 1-2 CelticPremiership

Ferencváros

Ferencváros come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 16 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 7-0 at DEAC. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

DNyiregyhaza 1-1 FerencvárosNB I
WCeltic 1-3 FerencvárosUEFA Europa League
WDEAC 0-7 FerencvárosMagyar Kupa
DFerencváros 2-2 UjpestNB I
WGyőri ETO 0-3 FerencvárosNB I

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 14 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Celtic

L. EmenaloInjury
A. JohnstonLeg Injury
JotaKnee Injury
S. MheukaOff the roster
C. OsmandNot in squad
A. Oxlade-ChamberlainSuspended (red card)
Yang Hyun-JunInternational duty
J. van den BergOff the roster

Ferencváros

B. NagyOff the roster
B. OtvosKnee Injury
I. PappoeKnee Injury
G. SzecsiOff the roster
E. BotkaNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Celtic at 33% to win and Ferencváros at 40%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Ferencváros win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Ferencváros Win	40%	20%	@ 4.75
Celtic Win	33%	55%	@ 1.73
Draw	27%	25%	@ 3.90

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Ferencváros or Draw at 2.05 (66% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Ferencváros or Draw	66%	45%	@ 2.05
Celtic or Draw	60%	80%	@ 1.18

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-2.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 73% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	89%	81%	@ 1.17
Over 2.5	73%	60%	@ 1.57
Over 3.5	53%	41%	@ 2.30
Under 3.5	47%	59%	@ 1.62
Under 2.5	27%	40%	@ 2.38
Under 1.5	11%	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 72%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	72%	59%	@ 1.57
BTTS No	28%	41%	@ 2.25

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Celtic or Ferencváros is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Ferencváros +2	91%	78%	@ 1.21
Ferencváros +1.75	88%	–	@ 1.30
Ferencváros +1.5	86%	67%	@ 1.43
Ferencváros +1.25	81%	62%	@ 1.52
Ferencváros +1	76%	57%	@ 1.67
Ferencváros +0.75	71%	51%	@ 1.91
Ferencváros +0.5	66%	44%	@ 2.14
Celtic +0.75	65%	84%	1.13
Ferencváros +0.25	60%	37%	@ 2.56
Celtic +0.5	60%	79%	1.20
Ferencváros 0	53%	28%	@ 3.38
Celtic +0.25	53%	75%	1.26
Ferencváros -0.25	47%	25%	@ 3.85
Celtic 0	47%	72%	1.32
Ferencváros -0.5	40%	21%	@ 4.40
Celtic -0.25	40%	63%	1.51
Ferencváros -0.75	35%	16%	@ 5.90
Celtic -0.5	34%	56%	1.72
Celtic -0.75	29%	49%	1.96
Celtic -1	24%	43%	2.22
Celtic -1.25	19%	38%	2.53
Celtic -1.5	14%	33%	2.85
Celtic -2	9%	22%	4.25

📈 How the market moved

Celtic 55%Draw 24%Ferencváros 21%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Celtic vs Ferencváros?

Our model's main pick is Ferencváros Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at odds 1.30, with a 88% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 77%.

Who is the favourite for Celtic vs Ferencváros?

Our model makes a Ferencváros win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.8-2.0 scoreline for Celtic vs Ferencváros.

What is the predicted score for Celtic vs Ferencváros?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.78 for Celtic and 2.04 for Ferencváros. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Celtic and Ferencváros play?

Kick-off is Thursday 17 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.