CesenaCesena
Sun 18 Oct1-1Finished
AvellinoAvellino

⚽ Serie B

Cesena vs Avellino Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Cesena vs Avellino in the Serie B. Kick-off Sunday 18 October 2026, 15:15 UTC.

Result: Cesena 1-1 Avellino

Cesena vs Avellino finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Cesena face Avellino in the Serie B, kicking off Sunday 18 October 2026, 15:15 UTC. Recent form: Cesena have 1 win from their last 5, while Avellino have 3 wins from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes a Cesena win the most likely result at 41%, implying a 1.4-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Cesena vs Avellino with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
Cesena win 41%
Draw 29%
Avellino win 30%
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 55%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.45 – 1.20 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 7.1% 8.5% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6%
1 10.2% 12.3% 7.4% 3.0% 0.9%
2 7.4% 8.9% 5.3% 2.1% 0.6%
3 3.6% 4.3% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.3% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
Cesena winDrawAvellino win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Cesena vs Avellino. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Cesena win is the most likely result at 41%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 50%. Both teams to score: yes at 55%.

📊 Key numbers

Cesena 41%Draw 29%Avellino 30%
41%29%30%
41%
Cesena Win
50%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Cesena

Cesena come into this game with no wins and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Benevento.

  • DCesena 1-1 AvellinoSerie B
  • LBenevento 2-0 CesenaSerie B
  • DJuve Stabia 1-1 CesenaSerie B
  • DCesena 2-2 CremoneseSerie B
  • DCesena 1-1 MantovaSerie B
Avellino

Avellino come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Sampdoria. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at Ascoli.

  • DCesena 1-1 AvellinoSerie B
  • WAvellino 4-1 SampdoriaSerie B
  • LAscoli 3-1 AvellinoSerie B
  • DAvellino 1-1 PalermoSerie B
  • WModena 0-1 AvellinoSerie B

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Cesena at 41% to win and Avellino at 30%, with the draw at 29%. The bookmaker market makes a Cesena win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Cesena Win 41% @ 2.25
Avellino Win 30% @ 3.10
Draw 29% @ 3.20

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Cesena or Draw at 1.36 (70% market).

Selection Market % Odds
Cesena or Draw 70% @ 1.36
Avellino or Draw 59% @ 1.62

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.4-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Over 1.5 75% @ 1.25
Under 3.5 71% @ 1.33
Over 2.5 50% @ 1.90
Under 2.5 50% @ 1.90
Over 3.5 29% @ 3.25
Under 1.5 25% @ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 55%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 55% @ 1.70
BTTS No 45% @ 2.05

📈 How the market moved

24%35%46%10/1310/1410/1510/1610/1710/18

Cesena 41%Draw 30%Avellino 29%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cesena vs Avellino?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Cesena win is the most likely result at 41%.

Who is the favourite for Cesena vs Avellino?

Our model makes a Cesena win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.2 scoreline for Cesena vs Avellino.

What is the predicted score for Cesena vs Avellino?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.45 for Cesena and 1.20 for Avellino. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Cesena and Avellino play?

Kick-off is Sunday 18 October 2026, 15:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.