⚽ Major League Soccer

CF Montreal vs Charlotte Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for CF Montreal vs Charlotte in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Wednesday 09 September 2026, 23:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

CF Montreal face Charlotte in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Wednesday 09 September 2026, 23:30 UTC. Recent form: CF Montreal have 1 win from their last 5, while Charlotte have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, CF Montreal won 2, Charlotte won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Charlotte win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.5-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for CF Montreal vs Charlotte with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Charlotte or Draw @ 1.60

66%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.46 – 1.78 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.9%	7.0%	6.2%	3.7%	1.6%
1	5.7%	10.2%	9.1%	5.4%	2.4%
2	4.2%	7.4%	6.6%	3.9%	1.7%
3	2.0%	3.6%	3.2%	1.9%	0.8%
4	0.7%	1.3%	1.2%	0.7%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

CF Montreal winDrawCharlotte win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for CF Montreal vs Charlotte is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Charlotte or Draw at odds 1.60, the selection our model is most confident in at 66%. On the match result, the model rates a Charlotte win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (63%), both teams to score points yes (61%).

Best value

Charlotte or Draw at odds 1.60, 66% model probability, +5.9% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

CF Montreal 34%Draw 27%Charlotte 40%

34%27%40%

40%

Charlotte Win

63%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS yes

+5.9%

Best value: Charlotte or Draw

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between CF Montreal and Charlotte. Wins shown from CF Montreal’s perspective: CF Montreal 2 · 1 drawn · Charlotte 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2024-10-05	Charlotte	2 – 0	CF Montreal	L
2024-09-14	CF Montreal	2 – 1	Charlotte	W
2023-07-15	CF Montreal	2 – 0	Charlotte	W
2023-06-24	Charlotte	0 – 0	CF Montreal	D

📈 Recent form

CF Montreal

CF Montreal come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Columbus Crew. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Philadelphia Union.

LPhiladelphia Union 2-0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
DVancouver Whitecaps 1-1 CF MontrealCanadian Championship
LInter Miami 7-1 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
DCF Montreal 2-2 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
WColumbus Crew 1-2 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer

Charlotte

Charlotte come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Atlanta United FC.

DCharlotte 0-0 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
WAtlanta United FC 0-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
WCharlotte 3-1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
DToronto FC 3-3 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
WCharlotte 3-1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

CF Montreal

F. AmayaLower-Body Injury
D. PereiraLower-Body Injury
B. HidalgoGroin Injury
E. MoralesToe Injury

Charlotte

N. BerchimasFoot Injury
A. JohnUpper-Body Injury
H. ToffoloHamstring Injury
A. WestwoodSuspended (red card)

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices CF Montreal at 34% to win and Charlotte at 40%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Charlotte win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Charlotte Win	40%	@ 2.80	+10.7%
Draw	27%	@ 3.65	-1.7%
CF Montreal Win	34%	@ 2.25	-24.6%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Charlotte or Draw at 1.60 (66% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Charlotte or Draw	66%	@ 1.60	+5.9%
CF Montreal or Draw	60%	@ 1.41	-15.2%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 63% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	41%	@ 2.40	-2.5%
Over 2.5	63%	@ 1.55	-2.6%
Over 1.5	83%	@ 1.16	-3.3%
Under 3.5	59%	@ 1.54	-8.6%
Under 2.5	37%	@ 2.40	-10.8%
Under 1.5	17%	@ 4.90	-18.6%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	39%	@ 2.50	-3.0%
BTTS Yes	61%	@ 1.47	-10.1%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	47%
Dixon-Coles	Away	60%
GradientBoosting	Away	37%

Two of our three models agree; the third sees it differently. A reasonable but not maximal signal.

Expected goals: 1.23 for the home side, 1.36 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (7%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CF Montreal vs Charlotte?

Our main pick is Charlotte or Draw at odds 1.60, with 66% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for CF Montreal vs Charlotte?

Our model makes a Charlotte win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.8 scoreline for CF Montreal vs Charlotte.

What is the predicted score for CF Montreal vs Charlotte?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.46 for CF Montreal and 1.78 for Charlotte. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do CF Montreal and Charlotte play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 09 September 2026, 23:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.