⚽ Major League Soccer
CF Montreal vs Charlotte Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for CF Montreal vs Charlotte in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Wednesday 09 September 2026, 23:30 UTC.
Result: CF Montreal 1-2 Charlotte
CF Montreal vs Charlotte finished 1-2. Charlotte won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
CF Montreal face Charlotte in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Wednesday 09 September 2026, 23:30 UTC. Recent form: CF Montreal have 1 win from their last 5, while Charlotte have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, CF Montreal won 2, Charlotte won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Charlotte win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.5-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for CF Montreal vs Charlotte with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| 2 | 4.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| 3 | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for CF Montreal vs Charlotte comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Charlotte with a +1.25 start at odds 1.26, with a 81% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Charlotte win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (63%), both teams to score points yes (61%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between CF Montreal and Charlotte. Wins shown from CF Montreal’s perspective: CF Montreal 2 · 1 drawn · Charlotte 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | CF Montreal | 1 – 2 | Charlotte | L |
| 2024-10-05 | Charlotte | 2 – 0 | CF Montreal | L |
| 2024-09-14 | CF Montreal | 2 – 1 | Charlotte | W |
| 2023-07-15 | CF Montreal | 2 – 0 | Charlotte | W |
| 2023-06-24 | Charlotte | 0 – 0 | CF Montreal | D |
📈 Recent form
CF Montreal come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Vancouver Whitecaps. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Columbus Crew.
- LCF Montreal 0-2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
- WCF Montreal 2-1 Vancouver WhitecapsCanadian Championship
- LColorado Rapids 1-0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
- LCF Montreal 1-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- LPhiladelphia Union 2-0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
Charlotte come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Atlanta United FC.
- WDC United 1-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- DFC Cincinnati 3-3 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- WCF Montreal 1-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- DCharlotte 0-0 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- WAtlanta United FC 0-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- F. AmayaLower-Body Injury
- B. HidalgoGroin Injury
- J. NealConcussion
- D. PereiraLower-Body Injury
- N. BerchimasFoot Injury
- A. JohnUpper-Body Injury
- H. ToffoloHamstring Injury
- A. WestwoodSuspended (red card)
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices CF Montreal at 34% to win and Charlotte at 40%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Charlotte win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Win | 40% | 33% | @ 2.80 |
| CF Montreal Win | 34% | 41% | @ 2.28 |
| Draw | 27% | 26% | @ 3.65 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Charlotte or Draw at 1.58 (66% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte or Draw | 66% | 59% | @ 1.58 |
| CF Montreal or Draw | 60% | 67% | @ 1.42 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 63% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 81% | @ 1.16 |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 | 59% | 62% | @ 1.52 |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | 38% | @ 2.45 |
| Under 2.5 | 37% | 40% | @ 2.35 |
| Under 1.5 | 17% | 19% | @ 4.90 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 63% | @ 1.48 |
| BTTS No | 39% | 37% | @ 2.48 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when CF Montreal or Charlotte is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte +1.75 | 88% | 82% | @ 1.16 |
| Charlotte +1.5 | 86% | 76% | @ 1.22 |
| CF Montreal +1.75 | 84% | 86% | 1.10 |
| CF Montreal +1.5 | 82% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Charlotte +1.25 | 81% | 75% | @ 1.26 |
| CF Montreal +1.25 | 76% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Charlotte +1 | 76% | 72% | 1.31 |
| Charlotte +0.75 | 71% | 65% | @ 1.48 |
| CF Montreal +1 | 71% | 80% | 1.18 |
| Charlotte +0.5 | 66% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| CF Montreal +0.75 | 66% | 72% | 1.32 |
| CF Montreal +0.5 | 60% | 65% | 1.43 |
| Charlotte +0.25 | 60% | 53% | @ 1.79 |
| CF Montreal +0.25 | 54% | 61% | 1.56 |
| Charlotte 0 | 53% | 45% | @ 2.10 |
| CF Montreal 0 | 47% | 55% | 1.73 |
| Charlotte -0.25 | 46% | 39% | @ 2.43 |
| CF Montreal -0.25 | 40% | 47% | 2.06 |
| Charlotte -0.5 | 40% | 35% | @ 2.70 |
| Charlotte -0.75 | 34% | 28% | @ 3.41 |
| CF Montreal -0.5 | 34% | 42% | 2.24 |
| Charlotte -1 | 29% | 20% | @ 4.65 |
| CF Montreal -0.75 | 29% | 35% | 2.70 |
| CF Montreal -1 | 24% | 28% | 3.46 |
| Charlotte -1.25 | 24% | 18% | @ 5.25 |
| CF Montreal -1.25 | 19% | 25% | 3.86 |
| Charlotte -1.5 | 18% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| Charlotte -1.75 | 16% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| CF Montreal -1.5 | 14% | 24% | 3.95 |
| CF Montreal -1.75 | 12% | 18% | 5.25 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for CF Montreal vs Charlotte?
Our model's main pick is Charlotte with a +1.25 start at odds 1.26, with a 81% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.
Who is the favourite for CF Montreal vs Charlotte?
Our model makes a Charlotte win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.8 scoreline for CF Montreal vs Charlotte.
What is the predicted score for CF Montreal vs Charlotte?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.46 for CF Montreal and 1.78 for Charlotte. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do CF Montreal and Charlotte play?
Kick-off is Wednesday 09 September 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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