⚽ Major League Soccer
Charlotte vs Columbus Crew Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Charlotte vs Columbus Crew in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 15 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
Result: Charlotte 3-1 Columbus Crew
Charlotte vs Columbus Crew finished 3-1. Charlotte won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Charlotte face Columbus Crew in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Saturday 15 August 2026, 23:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Charlotte won 3, Columbus Crew won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Columbus Crew win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.5-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Charlotte vs Columbus Crew with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 7.1% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| 2 | 5.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Charlotte vs Columbus Crew comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Columbus Crew with a +1.25 start at odds 1.26, with a 81% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Columbus Crew win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean over 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points yes (61%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Charlotte and Columbus Crew. Wins shown from Charlotte’s perspective: Charlotte 3 · 1 drawn · Columbus Crew 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Charlotte | 3 – 1 | Columbus Crew | W |
| 2024-07-17 | Columbus Crew | 1 – 1 | Charlotte | D |
| 2024-03-23 | Charlotte | 2 – 0 | Columbus Crew | W |
| 2023-06-03 | Columbus Crew | 4 – 2 | Charlotte | L |
| 2023-04-22 | Charlotte | 1 – 0 | Columbus Crew | W |
📈 Recent form
Charlotte come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Atlanta United FC.
- WDC United 1-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- DFC Cincinnati 3-3 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- WCF Montreal 1-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- DCharlotte 0-0 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- WAtlanta United FC 0-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
Columbus Crew come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Colorado Rapids. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to New York Red Bulls.
- WCF Montreal 0-2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
- WColumbus Crew 2-1 Orlando City SCUS Open Cup
- LColumbus Crew 0-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- LDC United 2-1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
- WColumbus Crew 3-0 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- N. BerchimasFoot Injury
- A. JohnUpper-Body Injury
- A. JohnsonInjury
- H. ToffoloHamstring Injury
- W. Abou AliKnee Injury
- S. BangouraAnkle Injury
- J. ThiareLeg Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Charlotte at 31% to win and Columbus Crew at 38%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a Columbus Crew win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Crew Win | 38% | 32% | @ 2.95 |
| Draw | 31% | 27% | @ 3.45 |
| Charlotte Win | 31% | 41% | @ 2.25 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Columbus Crew or Draw at 1.61 (67% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Crew or Draw | 67% | 59% | @ 1.61 |
| Charlotte or Draw | 59% | 68% | @ 1.38 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 58% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 80% | @ 1.18 |
| Under 3.5 | 64% | 63% | @ 1.48 |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 58% | @ 1.63 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 42% | @ 2.23 |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 37% | @ 2.55 |
| Under 1.5 | 20% | 20% | @ 4.60 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 39% | 38% | @ 2.40 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Charlotte or Columbus Crew is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Crew +1.75 | 88% | 83% | @ 1.15 |
| Columbus Crew +1.5 | 86% | 77% | @ 1.21 |
| Columbus Crew +1.25 | 81% | 75% | @ 1.26 |
| Charlotte +1.5 | 81% | – | 1.12 |
| Columbus Crew +1 | 76% | 73% | 1.30 |
| Charlotte +1.25 | 76% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Columbus Crew +0.75 | 72% | 64% | @ 1.48 |
| Charlotte +1 | 70% | 81% | 1.17 |
| Columbus Crew +0.5 | 67% | 58% | @ 1.63 |
| Charlotte +0.75 | 65% | 73% | 1.29 |
| Columbus Crew +0.25 | 60% | 52% | @ 1.84 |
| Charlotte +0.5 | 59% | 67% | 1.39 |
| Columbus Crew 0 | 54% | 43% | @ 2.18 |
| Charlotte +0.25 | 53% | 63% | 1.51 |
| Columbus Crew -0.25 | 47% | 37% | @ 2.56 |
| Charlotte 0 | 46% | 57% | 1.67 |
| Columbus Crew -0.5 | 41% | 33% | @ 2.87 |
| Charlotte -0.25 | 40% | 48% | 2.00 |
| Columbus Crew -0.75 | 35% | 27% | @ 3.59 |
| Charlotte -0.5 | 33% | 42% | 2.21 |
| Columbus Crew -1 | 30% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
| Charlotte -0.75 | 28% | 36% | 2.67 |
| Columbus Crew -1.25 | 24% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| Charlotte -1 | 24% | 27% | 3.50 |
| Charlotte -1.25 | 19% | 25% | 3.84 |
| Charlotte -1.5 | 14% | 23% | 4.00 |
| Charlotte -1.75 | 12% | 17% | 5.50 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Charlotte vs Columbus Crew?
Our model's main pick is Columbus Crew with a +1.25 start at odds 1.26, with a 81% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.
Who is the favourite for Charlotte vs Columbus Crew?
Our model makes a Columbus Crew win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.6 scoreline for Charlotte vs Columbus Crew.
What is the predicted score for Charlotte vs Columbus Crew?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.46 for Charlotte and 1.57 for Columbus Crew. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Charlotte and Columbus Crew play?
Kick-off is Saturday 15 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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