vs
⚽ Major League Soccer
Charlotte vs DC United Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Charlotte vs DC United in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
Charlotte face DC United in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 23:30 UTC. In their last 4 meetings, Charlotte won 2, DC United won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Charlotte win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 1.8-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Charlotte vs DC United with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| 2 | 5.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| 3 | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Charlotte vs DC United is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is DC United with a +1.75 start at odds 1.27, the selection our model is most confident in at 81%. On the match result, the model rates a Charlotte win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean over 2.5 (64%), both teams to score points yes (64%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is DC United with a +0.75 start at odds 1.80 (+8.1% model value).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 4 meetings between Charlotte and DC United. Wins shown from Charlotte’s perspective: Charlotte 2 · 1 drawn · DC United 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-20 | DC United | 0 – 3 | Charlotte | W |
| 2024-06-15 | Charlotte | 1 – 0 | DC United | W |
| 2023-09-16 | Charlotte | 0 – 0 | DC United | D |
| 2023-04-29 | DC United | 3 – 0 | Charlotte | L |
📈 Recent form
Charlotte come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Columbus Crew. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to CF Pachuca.
- DToronto FC 3-3 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- WCharlotte 3-1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
- LCharlotte 0-1 CF PachucaLeagues Cup
- WCharlotte 2-0 AtlasLeagues Cup
- WNew York Red Bulls 0-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
DC United come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Toronto FC. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at home to New England Revolution.
- LDC United 0-3 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- DCF Montreal 1-1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
- DDC United 2-2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
- WDC United 2-1 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
- DDC United 4-4 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- N. BerchimasFoot Injury
- A. JohnUpper-Body Injury
- H. ToffoloHamstring Injury
- PeglowThigh Injury
- K. RowlesThigh Injury
- G. SegalLeg Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Charlotte at 44% to win and DC United at 27%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Charlotte win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 29% | @ 3.85 | +10.6% |
| DC United Win | 27% | @ 3.90 | +5.4% |
| Charlotte Win | 44% | @ 1.81 | -19.9% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is DC United or Draw at 1.95 (54% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DC United or Draw | 54% | @ 1.95 | +5.8% |
| Charlotte or Draw | 72% | @ 1.22 | -12.8% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 64% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 42% | @ 2.55 | +8.1% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | @ 1.62 | +4.4% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | @ 1.20 | +1.3% |
| Under 3.5 | 58% | @ 1.50 | -13.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 36% | @ 2.25 | -20.0% |
| Under 1.5 | 16% | @ 4.33 | -32.4% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 64% | @ 1.57 | -0.1% |
| BTTS No | 36% | @ 2.25 | -18.2% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Charlotte or DC United is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DC United -1 | 20% | @ 7.00 | +39.2% |
| DC United -0.75 | 24% | @ 5.25 | +27.0% |
| DC United 0 | 41% | @ 3.02 | +25.0% |
| DC United -0.25 | 35% | @ 3.51 | +22.7% |
| DC United +0.25 | 48% | @ 2.37 | +13.4% |
| DC United -0.5 | 28% | @ 3.88 | +10.7% |
| DC United +0.75 | 60% | @ 1.80 | +8.1% |
| DC United +0.5 | 54% | @ 1.99 | +7.9% |
| DC United +1.5 | 77% | @ 1.37 | +5.9% |
| DC United +1.25 | 72% | @ 1.45 | +3.7% |
| DC United +1 | 66% | @ 1.57 | +3.6% |
| DC United +1.75 | 81% | @ 1.27 | +2.9% |
| DC United +2 | 84% | 1.17 | -1.5% |
| Charlotte +1.5 | 89% | 1.07 | -5.0% |
| Charlotte +0.5 | 72% | 1.24 | -11.4% |
| Charlotte +1 | 80% | 1.10 | -11.9% |
| Charlotte +0.75 | 76% | 1.16 | -12.1% |
| Charlotte +0.25 | 65% | 1.30 | -15.1% |
| Charlotte -0.25 | 52% | 1.60 | -16.5% |
| Charlotte -1 | 34% | 2.42 | -17.0% |
| Charlotte -0.5 | 46% | 1.79 | -18.2% |
| Charlotte -0.75 | 40% | 2.04 | -18.3% |
| Charlotte 0 | 59% | 1.38 | -19.0% |
| Charlotte -2 | 16% | 5.00 | -20.9% |
| Charlotte -1.25 | 28% | 2.77 | -21.3% |
| DC United -1.5 | 11% | 6.50 | -27.0% |
| Charlotte -1.75 | 19% | 3.67 | -29.3% |
| Charlotte -1.5 | 23% | 3.02 | -31.5% |
🔬 How our AI model reached this pick
| Model | Match result | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Poisson | Home | 46% |
| Dixon-Coles | Home | 43% |
| GradientBoosting | Home | 44% |
All three of our models point the same way. This is our strongest confidence signal.
Expected goals: 1.50 for the home side, 1.12 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%).
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Charlotte vs DC United?
Our main pick is DC United with a +1.75 start at odds 1.27, with 81% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is DC United with a +0.75 start at 1.80 (+8.1% value).
Who is the favourite for Charlotte vs DC United?
Our model makes a Charlotte win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.5 scoreline for Charlotte vs DC United.
What is the predicted score for Charlotte vs DC United?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.81 for Charlotte and 1.51 for DC United. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Charlotte and DC United play?
Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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