⚽ Major League Soccer
Charlotte vs Houston Dynamo Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Charlotte vs Houston Dynamo in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 23:30 UTC.
Result: Charlotte 0-0 Houston Dynamo
Charlotte vs Houston Dynamo finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Charlotte face Houston Dynamo in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 23:30 UTC. Recent form: Charlotte have 3 wins from their last 5, while Houston Dynamo have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Houston Dynamo won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Charlotte win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.5-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Charlotte vs Houston Dynamo with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 12.2% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 7.2% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Charlotte vs Houston Dynamo comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Houston Dynamo with a +1.25 start at odds 1.26, with a 75% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Charlotte win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (54%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Charlotte and Houston Dynamo. Wins shown from Charlotte’s perspective: 1 drawn · Houston Dynamo 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Charlotte | 0 – 0 | Houston Dynamo | D |
| 2024-06-30 | Houston Dynamo | 1 – 0 | Charlotte | L |
📈 Recent form
Charlotte come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Atlanta United FC.
- WDC United 1-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- DFC Cincinnati 3-3 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- WCF Montreal 1-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- DCharlotte 0-0 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- WAtlanta United FC 0-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
Houston Dynamo come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Real Salt Lake. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at San Jose Earthquakes.
- DHouston Dynamo 2-2 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- LSan Jose Earthquakes 1-0 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- WHouston Dynamo 2-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- DCharlotte 0-0 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- DHouston Dynamo 0-0 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- N. BerchimasFoot Injury
- A. JohnUpper-Body Injury
- H. ToffoloHamstring Injury
- J. MaurerConcussion
- M. SaracchiLower-Body Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Charlotte at 39% to win and Houston Dynamo at 30%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a Charlotte win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Win | 39% | 41% | @ 2.28 |
| Draw | 31% | 27% | @ 3.45 |
| Houston Dynamo Win | 30% | 32% | @ 2.90 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Charlotte or Draw at 1.38 (67% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte or Draw | 67% | 68% | @ 1.38 |
| Houston Dynamo or Draw | 59% | 59% | @ 1.60 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 51% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 77% | @ 1.22 |
| Under 3.5 | 71% | 66% | @ 1.41 |
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 55% | @ 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 45% | @ 2.08 |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 34% | @ 2.75 |
| Under 1.5 | 25% | 23% | @ 4.10 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 59% | @ 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 46% | 41% | @ 2.25 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Charlotte or Houston Dynamo is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte +1.5 | 86% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Houston Dynamo +1.75 | 84% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Charlotte +1.25 | 82% | 84% | 1.13 |
| Houston Dynamo +1.5 | 81% | 76% | 1.23 |
| Charlotte +1 | 77% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Houston Dynamo +1.25 | 75% | – | 1.26 |
| Charlotte +0.75 | 72% | 75% | 1.26 |
| Houston Dynamo +1 | 70% | 72% | 1.32 |
| Charlotte +0.5 | 67% | 69% | 1.38 |
| Houston Dynamo +0.75 | 64% | 64% | 1.50 |
| Charlotte +0.25 | 61% | 64% | 1.48 |
| Houston Dynamo +0.5 | 59% | 57% | 1.68 |
| Charlotte 0 | 54% | 58% | 1.64 |
| Houston Dynamo +0.25 | 52% | 51% | 1.90 |
| Charlotte -0.25 | 48% | 49% | 1.95 |
| Houston Dynamo 0 | 46% | 42% | @ 2.29 |
| Charlotte -0.5 | 41% | 43% | 2.22 |
| Houston Dynamo -0.25 | 39% | 36% | @ 2.67 |
| Charlotte -0.75 | 36% | 36% | 2.61 |
| Houston Dynamo -0.5 | 33% | 31% | @ 3.08 |
| Charlotte -1 | 30% | 28% | @ 3.43 |
| Houston Dynamo -0.75 | 28% | 25% | @ 3.81 |
| Houston Dynamo -1 | 23% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| Charlotte -1.5 | 19% | 24% | 4.00 |
| Houston Dynamo -1.25 | 18% | 16% | @ 5.90 |
| Charlotte -1.75 | 16% | 18% | 5.25 |
| Houston Dynamo -1.5 | 14% | 15% | 6.40 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Charlotte vs Houston Dynamo?
Our model's main pick is Houston Dynamo with a +1.25 start at odds 1.26, with a 75% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 79%.
Who is the favourite for Charlotte vs Houston Dynamo?
Our model makes a Charlotte win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.2 scoreline for Charlotte vs Houston Dynamo.
What is the predicted score for Charlotte vs Houston Dynamo?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.46 for Charlotte and 1.24 for Houston Dynamo. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Charlotte and Houston Dynamo play?
Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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