⚽ Premier League
Chelsea vs Manchester United Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Chelsea vs Manchester United in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 31 October 2026, 12:30 UTC.
Chelsea face Manchester United in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 31 October 2026, 12:30 UTC. Recent form: Chelsea have 2 wins from their last 5, while Manchester United have no wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Chelsea won 2, Manchester United won 2, 1 drawn. The bookmaker market makes a Chelsea win the most likely result at 48%, implying a 1.8-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Chelsea vs Manchester United with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
📈 Market view
We don’t publish a pick for this match. One of the teams has fewer than three earlier matches in our data, too few for a reliable model view, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.
| Outcome | Market % |
|---|---|
| Chelsea win | 48% |
| Draw | 26% |
| Manchester United win | 26% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| Both teams to score | 62% |
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.1% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 7.3% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 4.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
🧠 Market summary
This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Chelsea vs Manchester United. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Chelsea win is the most likely result at 48%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 60%. Both teams to score: yes at 62%.
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Chelsea and Manchester United. Wins shown from Chelsea’s perspective: Chelsea 2 · 1 drawn · Manchester United 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Chelsea | 0 – 1 | Manchester United | L |
| 2025-09-20 | Manchester United | 2 – 1 | Chelsea | L |
| 2025-05-16 | Chelsea | 1 – 0 | Manchester United | W |
| 2024-11-03 | Manchester United | 1 – 1 | Chelsea | D |
| 2024-04-04 | Chelsea | 4 – 3 | Manchester United | W |
📈 Recent form
Chelsea come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to Bournemouth. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Tottenham.
- LChelsea 0-2 TottenhamPremier League
- WEverton 0-2 ChelseaPremier League
- WChelsea 5-1 BournemouthPremier League
- LBrentford 3-0 ChelseaPremier League
- DChelsea 2-2 Hull CityPremier League
Manchester United come into this game with no wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 9. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at Como.
- LComo 4-1 Manchester UnitedUEFA Champions League
- DLeeds 1-1 Manchester UnitedPremier League
- LAtlético Madrid 2-0 Manchester UnitedUEFA Champions League
- DManchester United 1-1 TottenhamPremier League
- DFulham 1-1 Manchester UnitedPremier League
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Chelsea at 48% to win and Manchester United at 26%, with the draw at 26%. The bookmaker market makes a Chelsea win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea Win | 48% | @ 1.95 |
| Manchester United Win | 27% | @ 3.50 |
| Draw | 26% | @ 3.60 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Chelsea or Draw at 1.28 (74% market).
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea or Draw | 73% | @ 1.28 |
| Manchester United or Draw | 52% | @ 1.80 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.8-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 60% probability.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | @ 2.38 |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | @ 2.38 |
| Under 1.5 | 19% | @ 5.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 62%.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 38% | @ 2.50 |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Chelsea vs Manchester United?
We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Chelsea win is the most likely result at 48%.
Who is the favourite for Chelsea vs Manchester United?
Our model makes a Chelsea win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.3 scoreline for Chelsea vs Manchester United.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Manchester United?
The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.80 for Chelsea and 1.30 for Manchester United. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Chelsea and Manchester United play?
Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026, 12:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
For this match we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. One of the teams has fewer than three earlier matches in our data, too few for a reliable model view, so we don't publish a model pick for it. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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