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⚽ La Liga

Elche vs Valencia Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Elche vs Valencia in the La Liga. Kick-off Sunday 01 November 2026, 17:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Elche face Valencia in the La Liga, kicking off Sunday 01 November 2026, 17:30 UTC. Recent form: Elche have 2 wins from their last 5, while Valencia have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Elche won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Elche win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.6-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Elche vs Valencia with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.33

72%Bookmaker odds imply 72%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.57 – 1.18 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.4%	7.5%	4.5%	1.8%	0.5%
1	10.0%	11.8%	7.0%	2.7%	0.8%
2	7.9%	9.3%	5.5%	2.2%	0.6%
3	4.1%	4.9%	2.9%	1.1%	0.3%
4	1.6%	1.9%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Elche winDrawValencia win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Elche vs Valencia comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 72% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates an Elche win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (55%).

📊 Key numbers

Elche 40%Draw 32%Valencia 28%

40%32%28%

40%

Elche Win

52%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Elche and Valencia. Wins shown from Elche’s perspective: Elche 1 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-04-11	Elche	1 – 0	Valencia	W
2026-01-10	Valencia	1 – 1	Elche	D

📈 Recent form

Elche

Elche come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Rayo Vallecano. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at home to Real Madrid.

WRayo Vallecano 0-3 ElcheLa Liga
DVillarreal 0-0 ElcheLa Liga
DElche 0-0 Celta VigoLa Liga
WEspanyol 1-3 ElcheLa Liga
LElche 2-3 Real MadridLa Liga

Valencia

Valencia come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Alavés. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Villarreal.

LValencia 1-2 VillarrealLa Liga
DValencia 0-0 Athletic ClubLa Liga
DRacing Santander 2-2 ValenciaLa Liga
LValencia 2-3 Real SociedadLa Liga
WAlavés 0-1 ValenciaLa Liga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Elche at 40% to win and Valencia at 28%, with the draw at 32%. Our model makes an Elche win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Elche Win	40%	38%	@ 2.45
Draw	32%	28%	@ 3.30
Valencia Win	28%	34%	@ 2.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Elche or Draw at 1.40 (69% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Elche or Draw	69%	66%	@ 1.40
Valencia or Draw	57%	62%	@ 1.53

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	76%	75%	@ 1.28
Under 3.5	70%	72%	@ 1.33
Over 2.5	52%	50%	@ 1.91
Under 2.5	48%	50%	@ 1.91
Over 3.5	30%	28%	@ 3.40
Under 1.5	24%	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	55%	55%	@ 1.70
BTTS No	45%	45%	@ 2.05

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Elche vs Valencia?

Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 72% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Elche vs Valencia?

Our model makes an Elche win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline for Elche vs Valencia.

What is the predicted score for Elche vs Valencia?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.57 for Elche and 1.18 for Valencia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Elche and Valencia play?

Kick-off is Sunday 01 November 2026, 17:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.