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⚽ Eredivisie

Excelsior vs Twente Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Excelsior vs Twente in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Sunday 01 November 2026, 13:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Excelsior face Twente in the Eredivisie, kicking off Sunday 01 November 2026, 13:30 UTC. Recent form: Excelsior have no wins from their last 5, while Twente have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Excelsior won 1, Twente won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Twente win the most likely result at 52%, projecting a 1.3-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Excelsior vs Twente with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

BTTS Yes @ 1.57

62%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.32 – 1.82 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.3%	7.9%	7.2%	4.3%	2.0%
1	5.7%	10.4%	9.5%	5.7%	2.6%
2	3.8%	6.9%	6.2%	3.8%	1.7%
3	1.7%	3.0%	2.7%	1.7%	0.8%
4	0.5%	1.0%	0.9%	0.6%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

Excelsior winDrawTwente win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Excelsior vs Twente comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is both teams to score at odds 1.57, with a 62% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Twente win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 52%. Goals lean over 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points yes (62%).

📊 Key numbers

Excelsior 24%Draw 25%Twente 52%

24%25%52%

52%

Twente Win

61%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Excelsior and Twente. Wins shown from Excelsior’s perspective: Excelsior 1 · 1 drawn · Twente 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-01-24	Twente	0 – 0	Excelsior	D
2025-08-30	Excelsior	1 – 0	Twente	W
2024-02-10	Excelsior	0 – 3	Twente	L
2023-12-08	Twente	4 – 2	Excelsior	L

📈 Recent form

Excelsior

Excelsior come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 14. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Fortuna Sittard.

LFortuna Sittard 1-0 ExcelsiorEredivisie
LHeerenveen 4-0 ExcelsiorEredivisie
LExcelsior 1-5 GroningenEredivisie
DAjax 2-2 ExcelsiorEredivisie
LExcelsior 1-2 UtrechtEredivisie

Twente

Twente come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at Lincoln Red Imps FC. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Utrecht.

WAZ Alkmaar 0-2 TwenteEredivisie
WLincoln Red Imps FC 1-4 TwenteUEFA Europa Conference
LTwente 1-2 UtrechtEredivisie
WTwente 1-0 FC ThunUEFA Europa Conference
DFortuna Sittard 1-1 TwenteEredivisie

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Excelsior at 24% to win and Twente at 52%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Twente win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Twente Win	52%	59%	@ 1.57
Draw	25%	23%	@ 4.10
Excelsior Win	24%	19%	@ 5.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Twente or Draw at 1.17 (76% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Twente or Draw	76%	81%	@ 1.17
Excelsior or Draw	49%	41%	@ 2.30

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 61% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	82%	83%	@ 1.14
Under 3.5	62%	58%	@ 1.62
Over 2.5	61%	62%	@ 1.50
Under 2.5	39%	38%	@ 2.50
Over 3.5	38%	42%	@ 2.20
Under 1.5	18%	17%	@ 5.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	62%	59%	@ 1.57
BTTS No	38%	41%	@ 2.25

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Excelsior vs Twente?

Our model's pick is both teams to score at odds 1.57, with a 62% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 59%.

Who is the favourite for Excelsior vs Twente?

Our model makes a Twente win the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.8 scoreline for Excelsior vs Twente.

What is the predicted score for Excelsior vs Twente?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.32 for Excelsior and 1.82 for Twente. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Excelsior and Twente play?

Kick-off is Sunday 01 November 2026, 13:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.