Fakel

Sat 24 Oct0-1Finished

Rodina Moskva

⚽ Premier League

Fakel vs Rodina Moskva Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Fakel vs Rodina Moskva in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 24 October 2026, 12:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Fakel 0-1 Rodina Moskva

Fakel vs Rodina Moskva finished 0-1. Rodina Moskva won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Fakel face Rodina Moskva in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 24 October 2026, 12:00 UTC. Recent form: Fakel have 1 win from their last 5, while Rodina Moskva have no wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Rodina Moskva won 2. The bookmaker market makes a Fakel win the most likely result at 46%, implying a 1.4-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Fakel vs Rodina Moskva with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Fakel win	46%
Draw	29%
Rodina Moskva win	25%
Over 2.5 goals	45%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.45 – 1.00 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.6%	8.6%	4.3%	1.4%	0.4%
1	12.5%	12.5%	6.3%	2.1%	0.5%
2	9.1%	9.1%	4.5%	1.5%	0.4%
3	4.4%	4.4%	2.2%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.6%	1.6%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Fakel winDrawRodina Moskva win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Fakel vs Rodina Moskva. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Fakel win is the most likely result at 46%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 55%.

📊 Key numbers

Fakel 46%Draw 29%Rodina Moskva 25%

46%29%25%

46%

Fakel Win

55%

Under 2.5 goals

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Fakel and Rodina Moskva. Wins shown from Fakel’s perspective: Rodina Moskva 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-10-24	Fakel	0 – 1	Rodina Moskva	L
2026-04-13	Fakel	1 – 3	Rodina Moskva	L

📈 Recent form

Fakel

Fakel come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at FC Krasnodar. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Rodina Moskva.

LFakel 0-1 Rodina MoskvaPremier League
WKrylia Sovetov 1-2 FakelPremier League
WFC Krasnodar 0-2 FakelCup
LFakel 0-5 LokomotivPremier League
WFakel 1-0 FC VitebskFriendlies Clubs

Rodina Moskva

Rodina Moskva come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Fakel. Their most recent defeat was 2-4 at home to Spartak Moscow.

WFakel 0-1 Rodina MoskvaPremier League
DRodina Moskva 2-2 FC OrenburgPremier League
LRodina Moskva 2-4 Spartak MoscowCup
LCSKA Moscow 3-0 Rodina MoskvaPremier League
LDynamo 3-2 Rodina MoskvaFriendlies Clubs

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 1 player listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Fakel

S. MagkeevInjury

Rodina Moskva

No absentees reported.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Fakel at 46% to win and Rodina Moskva at 25%, with the draw at 29%. The bookmaker market makes a Fakel win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Fakel Win	46%	@ 2.08
Draw	29%	@ 3.35
Rodina Moskva Win	25%	@ 3.85

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.4-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	75%	@ 1.28
Over 1.5	71%	@ 1.35
Under 2.5	55%	@ 1.75
Over 2.5	45%	@ 2.12
Under 1.5	29%	@ 3.26
Over 3.5	25%	@ 3.77

📈 How the market moved

Fakel 46%Draw 29%Rodina Moskva 25%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fakel vs Rodina Moskva?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Fakel win is the most likely result at 46%.

Who is the favourite for Fakel vs Rodina Moskva?

Our model makes a Fakel win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.0 scoreline for Fakel vs Rodina Moskva.

What is the predicted score for Fakel vs Rodina Moskva?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.45 for Fakel and 1.00 for Rodina Moskva. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Fakel and Rodina Moskva play?

Kick-off is Saturday 24 October 2026, 12:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.