⚽ Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 23:30 UTC.
Result: FC Cincinnati 3-3 Charlotte
FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte finished 3-3. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, over 2.5 goals at 1.32, landed.
FC Cincinnati face Charlotte in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 23:30 UTC. Recent form: FC Cincinnati have 2 wins from their last 5, while Charlotte have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, FC Cincinnati won 1, Charlotte won 1, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Cincinnati win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 2.0-1.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| 2 | 3.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| 3 | 2.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| 4 | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Charlotte with a +1.75 start at odds 1.25, with a 82% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a FC Cincinnati win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean over 2.5 (76%), both teams to score points yes (71%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between FC Cincinnati and Charlotte. Wins shown from FC Cincinnati’s perspective: FC Cincinnati 1 · 3 drawn · Charlotte 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | FC Cincinnati | 3 – 3 | Charlotte | D |
| 2026-05-09 | Charlotte | 2 – 2 | FC Cincinnati | D |
| 2024-07-13 | FC Cincinnati | 1 – 3 | Charlotte | L |
| 2024-03-30 | Charlotte | 1 – 1 | FC Cincinnati | D |
| 2023-09-23 | FC Cincinnati | 3 – 0 | Charlotte | W |
📈 Recent form
FC Cincinnati come into this game with no wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 15. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at Philadelphia Union.
- DHouston Dynamo 2-2 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- DFC Cincinnati 3-3 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- LPhiladelphia Union 5-0 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- LNashville SC 4-0 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- DFC Cincinnati 1-1 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
Charlotte come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Atlanta United FC.
- WDC United 1-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- DFC Cincinnati 3-3 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- WCF Montreal 1-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- DCharlotte 0-0 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- WAtlanta United FC 0-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- EvanderSuspended (cards)
- O. NwobodoSuspended (red card)
- N. BerchimasFoot Injury
- A. GoodwinInjury
- A. JohnUpper-Body Injury
- D. SchneggSuspended (cards)
- H. ToffoloHamstring Injury
- A. WestwoodSuspended (red card)
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices FC Cincinnati at 44% to win and Charlotte at 31%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a FC Cincinnati win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati Win | 44% | 53% | @ 1.75 |
| Charlotte Win | 31% | 25% | @ 3.80 |
| Draw | 24% | 22% | @ 4.20 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC Cincinnati or Draw at 1.25 (70% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati or Draw | 70% | 75% | @ 1.25 |
| Charlotte or Draw | 56% | 47% | @ 2.02 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 76% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 88% | @ 1.07 |
| Over 2.5 | 76% | 71% | @ 1.32 |
| Over 3.5 | 56% | 52% | @ 1.82 |
| Under 3.5 | 44% | 48% | @ 1.95 |
| Under 2.5 | 24% | 29% | @ 3.30 |
| Under 1.5 | 10% | 12% | @ 7.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 71%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 71% | 69% | @ 1.34 |
| BTTS No | 29% | 31% | @ 3.00 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when FC Cincinnati or Charlotte is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati +1.75 | 90% | 86% | 1.10 |
| FC Cincinnati +1.5 | 88% | 83% | @ 1.15 |
| Charlotte +2 | 85% | 84% | 1.12 |
| FC Cincinnati +1.25 | 83% | 81% | 1.17 |
| Charlotte +1.75 | 82% | – | @ 1.25 |
| Charlotte +1.5 | 79% | 73% | @ 1.30 |
| FC Cincinnati +1 | 79% | 79% | 1.19 |
| FC Cincinnati +0.75 | 74% | 73% | 1.29 |
| Charlotte +1.25 | 73% | 71% | 1.34 |
| FC Cincinnati +0.5 | 70% | 68% | 1.40 |
| Charlotte +1 | 68% | 67% | 1.42 |
| FC Cincinnati +0.25 | 63% | 64% | 1.50 |
| Charlotte +0.75 | 62% | 60% | 1.60 |
| FC Cincinnati 0 | 57% | 59% | 1.62 |
| Charlotte +0.5 | 56% | 54% | 1.76 |
| FC Cincinnati -0.25 | 50% | 52% | 1.84 |
| Charlotte +0.25 | 50% | 48% | 2.00 |
| FC Cincinnati -0.5 | 44% | 46% | 2.08 |
| Charlotte 0 | 43% | 41% | @ 2.32 |
| FC Cincinnati -0.75 | 38% | 40% | 2.37 |
| Charlotte -0.25 | 37% | 36% | 2.61 |
| FC Cincinnati -1 | 32% | 33% | 2.86 |
| Charlotte -0.5 | 30% | 32% | 2.94 |
| FC Cincinnati -1.25 | 27% | 29% | 3.25 |
| Charlotte -0.75 | 26% | 27% | 3.59 |
| Charlotte -1 | 21% | 21% | 4.50 |
| FC Cincinnati -1.5 | 21% | 27% | 3.48 |
| Charlotte -1.25 | 17% | 19% | 5.00 |
| FC Cincinnati -2 | 15% | 16% | 6.00 |
| Charlotte -1.5 | 12% | 17% | 5.50 |
| Charlotte -1.75 | 10% | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte?
Our model's main pick is Charlotte with a +1.75 start at odds 1.25, with a 82% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 80%.
Who is the favourite for FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte?
Our model makes a FC Cincinnati win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.9 scoreline for FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte.
What is the predicted score for FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.02 for FC Cincinnati and 1.94 for Charlotte. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do FC Cincinnati and Charlotte play?
Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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