⚽ Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 23:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

FC Cincinnati face Charlotte in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 23:30 UTC. Recent form: FC Cincinnati have 2 wins from their last 5, while Charlotte have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, FC Cincinnati won 1, Charlotte won 1, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Cincinnati win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 2.0-1.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.32

76%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.02 – 1.94 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	1.9%	3.7%	3.6%	2.3%	1.1%
1	3.9%	7.5%	7.2%	4.7%	2.3%
2	3.9%	7.5%	7.3%	4.7%	2.3%
3	2.6%	5.1%	4.9%	3.2%	1.5%
4	1.3%	2.6%	2.5%	1.6%	0.8%

Projected score: 2-1

FC Cincinnati winDrawCharlotte win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.32, the selection our model is most confident in at 76%. On the match result, the model rates a FC Cincinnati win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean over 2.5 (76%), both teams to score points yes (71%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Charlotte or Draw at odds 2.02 (+13.9% model value).

Best value

Charlotte or Draw at odds 2.02, 56% model probability, +13.9% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

FC Cincinnati 44%Draw 24%Charlotte 31%

44%24%31%

44%

FC Cincinnati Win

76%

Over 2.5 goals

71%

BTTS yes

+13.9%

Best value: Charlotte or Draw

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between FC Cincinnati and Charlotte. Wins shown from FC Cincinnati’s perspective: FC Cincinnati 1 · 3 drawn · Charlotte 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-05-09	Charlotte	2 – 2	FC Cincinnati	D
2024-07-13	FC Cincinnati	1 – 3	Charlotte	L
2024-03-30	Charlotte	1 – 1	FC Cincinnati	D
2023-09-23	FC Cincinnati	3 – 0	Charlotte	W
2023-07-08	Charlotte	2 – 2	FC Cincinnati	D

📈 Recent form

FC Cincinnati

FC Cincinnati come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to New York City FC. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at Philadelphia Union.

LPhiladelphia Union 5-0 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
LNashville SC 4-0 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
DFC Cincinnati 1-1 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
WFC Cincinnati 2-1 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
DOrlando City SC 1-1 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer

Charlotte

Charlotte come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Atlanta United FC.

WCF Montreal 1-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
DCharlotte 0-0 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
WAtlanta United FC 0-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
WCharlotte 3-1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
DToronto FC 3-3 CharlotteMajor League Soccer

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

FC Cincinnati

O. NwobodoSuspended (red card)
K. FletcherKnee Injury

Charlotte

N. BerchimasFoot Injury
A. JohnUpper-Body Injury
H. ToffoloHamstring Injury
A. GoodwinInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FC Cincinnati at 44% to win and Charlotte at 31%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a FC Cincinnati win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Charlotte Win	31%	@ 3.80	+18.7%
Draw	24%	@ 4.20	+1.8%
FC Cincinnati Win	44%	@ 1.75	-22.1%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Charlotte or Draw at 2.02 (56% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Charlotte or Draw	56%	@ 2.02	+13.9%
FC Cincinnati or Draw	70%	@ 1.25	-13.0%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 76% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	56%	@ 1.82	+1.7%
Over 2.5	76%	@ 1.32	-0.2%
Over 1.5	90%	@ 1.07	-3.1%
Under 3.5	44%	@ 1.95	-13.9%
Under 2.5	24%	@ 3.30	-19.4%
Under 1.5	10%	@ 7.50	-29.0%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 71%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	71%	@ 1.34	-4.7%
BTTS No	29%	@ 3.00	-13.3%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte?

Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.32, with 76% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Charlotte or Draw at 2.02 (+13.9% value).

Who is the favourite for FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte?

Our model makes a FC Cincinnati win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.9 scoreline for FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte.

What is the predicted score for FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.02 for FC Cincinnati and 1.94 for Charlotte. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC Cincinnati and Charlotte play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 23:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.