Guingamp

Fri 16 Oct1-2Finished

PAU

⚽ Ligue 2

Guingamp vs PAU Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Guingamp vs PAU in the Ligue 2. Kick-off Friday 16 October 2026, 18:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Guingamp 1-2 PAU

Guingamp vs PAU finished 1-2. PAU won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Guingamp face PAU in the Ligue 2, kicking off Friday 16 October 2026, 18:00 UTC. Recent form: Guingamp have 1 win from their last 5, while PAU have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, PAU won 2. The bookmaker market makes a Guingamp win the most likely result at 42%, implying a 1.5-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Guingamp vs PAU with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Guingamp win	42%
Draw	29%
PAU win	29%
Over 2.5 goals	51%
Both teams to score	56%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.50 – 1.20 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.7%	8.1%	4.8%	1.9%	0.6%
1	10.1%	12.1%	7.3%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.6%	9.1%	5.4%	2.2%	0.7%
3	3.8%	4.5%	2.7%	1.1%	0.3%
4	1.4%	1.7%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Guingamp winDrawPAU win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Guingamp vs PAU. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Guingamp win is the most likely result at 42%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 51%. Both teams to score: yes at 56%.

📊 Key numbers

Guingamp 42%Draw 29%PAU 29%

42%29%29%

42%

Guingamp Win

51%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Guingamp and PAU. Wins shown from Guingamp’s perspective: PAU 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-10-16	Guingamp	1 – 2	PAU	L
2026-04-17	PAU	2 – 1	Guingamp	L

📈 Recent form

Guingamp

Guingamp come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Annecy. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to PAU.

LGuingamp 1-2 PAULigue 2
LNancy 1-0 GuingampLigue 2
LGuingamp 1-3 RED Star FC 93Ligue 2
WGuingamp 2-1 AnnecyLigue 2
DReims 2-2 GuingampLigue 2

PAU

PAU come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Dunkerque. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Montpellier.

WGuingamp 1-2 PAULigue 2
WPAU 3-2 LavalLigue 2
WPAU 2-0 DunkerqueLigue 2
LMontpellier 1-0 PAULigue 2
DPAU 1-1 SochauxLigue 2

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Guingamp at 42% to win and PAU at 29%, with the draw at 29%. The bookmaker market makes a Guingamp win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Guingamp Win	42%	@ 2.10
Draw	29%	@ 3.10
PAU Win	29%	@ 3.10

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Guingamp or Draw at 1.30 (71% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Guingamp or Draw	71%	@ 1.30
PAU or Draw	58%	@ 1.67

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.5-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	@ 1.25
Under 3.5	69%	@ 1.36
Over 2.5	51%	@ 1.85
Under 2.5	49%	@ 1.95
Over 3.5	31%	@ 3.00
Under 1.5	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	56%	@ 1.67
BTTS No	44%	@ 2.10

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Guingamp or PAU is a clear favourite.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Guingamp +1.5	86%	1.10
Guingamp +1.25	86%	1.11
PAU +2	85%	1.12
Guingamp +1	84%	1.12
PAU +1.75	82%	1.16
Guingamp +0.75	76%	1.25
PAU +1.5	76%	1.24
PAU +1.25	74%	1.27
PAU +1	71%	1.34
Guingamp +0.5	70%	1.36
Guingamp +0.25	65%	1.46
PAU +0.75	63%	1.51
Guingamp 0	59%	1.60
PAU +0.5	56%	1.69
PAU +0.25	51%	1.87
Guingamp -0.25	49%	1.97
Guingamp -0.5	44%	2.18
PAU 0	41%	2.33
Guingamp -0.75	37%	2.54
PAU -0.25	35%	2.74
PAU -0.5	30%	3.15
Guingamp -1	29%	3.25
Guingamp -1.25	26%	3.69
Guingamp -1.5	24%	3.90
PAU -0.75	24%	3.96
Guingamp -1.75	18%	5.25
PAU -1	16%	6.00
Guingamp -2	15%	6.40
PAU -1.25	14%	6.60
PAU -1.5	14%	7.00

📈 How the market moved

Guingamp 42%Draw 27%PAU 30%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Guingamp vs PAU?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Guingamp win is the most likely result at 42%.

Who is the favourite for Guingamp vs PAU?

Our model makes a Guingamp win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.2 scoreline for Guingamp vs PAU.

What is the predicted score for Guingamp vs PAU?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.50 for Guingamp and 1.20 for PAU. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Guingamp and PAU play?

Kick-off is Friday 16 October 2026, 18:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.