Thu 17 Sep5-0Finished

⚽ UEFA Europa League

Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 17 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Juventus 5-0 NEC Nijmegen

Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen finished 5-0. Juventus won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.62, did not land.

Juventus face NEC Nijmegen in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Thursday 17 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 52%, projecting a 1.7-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

NEC Nijmegen +2 @ 1.93

91%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.70 – 1.17 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.7%	6.6%	3.9%	1.5%	0.4%
1	9.6%	11.3%	6.6%	2.6%	0.8%
2	8.2%	9.6%	5.6%	2.2%	0.6%
3	4.6%	5.4%	3.2%	1.2%	0.4%
4	2.0%	2.3%	1.4%	0.5%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Juventus winDrawNEC Nijmegen win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is NEC Nijmegen with a +2 start at odds 1.93, with a 91% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 52%. Goals lean over 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points yes (56%).

📊 Key numbers

Juventus 19%Draw 52%NEC Nijmegen 29%

19%52%29%

52%

Draw

55%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Juventus

Juventus come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to NEC Nijmegen. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Sassuolo.

WJuventus 2-0 AtalantaSerie A
WJuventus 5-0 NEC NijmegenUEFA Europa League
LSassuolo 3-2 JuventusSerie A
DJuventus 1-1 AC MilanSerie A
WJuventus 2-0 ParmaSerie A

NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at PEC Zwolle. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at Juventus.

DNEC Nijmegen 1-1 Go Ahead EaglesEredivisie
LJuventus 5-0 NEC NijmegenUEFA Europa League
LCambuur 3-0 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
LNEC Nijmegen 1-3 FeyenoordEredivisie
WPEC Zwolle 1-3 NEC NijmegenEredivisie

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 18 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Juventus

J. BogaMuscle Injury
J. CabalThigh Injury
A. CambiasoAnkle Injury
A. DurmisiSuspended (red card)
J. EkhatorMuscle Injury
L. KellySuspended (red card)
M. LocatelliKnee Injury
A. MilikNot in squad

NEC Nijmegen

G. CrettazSuspended (red card)
D. FonvilleAnkle Injury
I. Hansen-AaroenOff the roster
A. KaplanKnee Injury
E. MorInjury
A. TahauiOff the roster

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Juventus at 19% to win and NEC Nijmegen at 29%, with the draw at 52%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Draw	52%	14%	@ 7.00
NEC Nijmegen Win	29%	7%	@ 13.00
Juventus Win	19%	79%	@ 1.20

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is NEC Nijmegen or Draw at 4.33 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
NEC Nijmegen or Draw	68%	21%	@ 4.33
Juventus or Draw	58%	93%	@ 1.03

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	78%	84%	@ 1.12
Under 3.5	68%	53%	@ 1.80
Over 2.5	55%	66%	@ 1.44
Under 2.5	45%	34%	@ 2.75
Over 3.5	32%	47%	@ 2.00
Under 1.5	22%	16%	@ 6.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	56%	48%	@ 1.95
BTTS No	44%	52%	@ 1.80

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Juventus or NEC Nijmegen is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
NEC Nijmegen +2	91%	50%	@ 1.93
NEC Nijmegen +1.75	89%	44%	@ 2.15
NEC Nijmegen +1.5	87%	40%	@ 2.40
NEC Nijmegen +1.25	82%	33%	@ 2.90
NEC Nijmegen +1	78%	25%	@ 3.87
NEC Nijmegen +0.75	73%	24%	@ 4.00
NEC Nijmegen +0.5	68%	21%	@ 4.50
NEC Nijmegen +0.25	62%	15%	@ 6.40
Juventus -0.25	38%	85%	1.12
Juventus -0.5	32%	79%	1.19
Juventus -0.75	27%	76%	1.24
Juventus -1	22%	75%	1.25
Juventus -1.25	18%	67%	1.41
Juventus -1.5	13%	60%	1.57
Juventus -1.75	11%	56%	1.71
Juventus -2	9%	50%	1.94

📈 How the market moved

Juventus 80%Draw 13%NEC Nijmegen 7%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen?

Our model's main pick is NEC Nijmegen with a +2 start at odds 1.93, with a 91% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 50%.

Who is the favourite for Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen?

Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.2 scoreline for Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen.

What is the predicted score for Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.70 for Juventus and 1.17 for NEC Nijmegen. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Juventus and NEC Nijmegen play?

Kick-off is Thursday 17 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.