Levski Sofia
Red Bull Salzburg⚽ UEFA Europa League
Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 17 September 2026, 16:45 UTC.
Result: Levski Sofia 0-1 Red Bull Salzburg
Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg finished 0-1. Red Bull Salzburg won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Levski Sofia Asian Handicap with a +1 start at 1.32, was void (stake returned).
Levski Sofia face Red Bull Salzburg in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Thursday 17 September 2026, 16:45 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Levski Sofia win the most likely result at 50%, projecting a 2.0-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 8.5% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 5.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Levski Sofia Asian Handicap with a +1 start at odds 1.32, with a 85% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Levski Sofia win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 50%. Goals lean over 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points yes (59%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Levski Sofia come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 6-0 at home to Spartak Varna. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Red Bull Salzburg.
- LLevski Sofia 0-1 Red Bull SalzburgUEFA Europa League
- LLevski Sofia 2-4 CSKA SofiaSuper Cup
- WLevski Sofia 1-0 CSKA 1948First League
- LAEK Athens FC 4-0 Levski SofiaUEFA Champions League
- WLevski Sofia 6-0 Spartak VarnaFirst League
Red Bull Salzburg come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Sturm Graz. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WRed Bull Salzburg 3-0 Sturm GrazBundesliga
- WLevski Sofia 0-1 Red Bull SalzburgUEFA Europa League
- DRied 1-1 Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
- WSKN ST. Polten 0-3 Red Bull SalzburgCup
- WRed Bull Salzburg 4-1 Austria ViennaBundesliga
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 13 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- A. BourasMuscle Injury
- O. KamdemKnee Injury
- R. KirilovKnee Injury
- M. SangareOff the roster
- N. SerafimovElbow Injury
- M. GrujicIllness
- M. MoubarikInjury
- A. ChaseOff the roster
- S. DiabateInjury
- F. MatijasevicOff the roster
- J. MoserMuscle Injury
- J. OmoregieAchilles Tendon Injury
- G. DiakiteNot in squad
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Levski Sofia at 50% to win and Red Bull Salzburg at 18%, with the draw at 32%. Our model makes a Levski Sofia win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levski Sofia Win | 50% | 30% | @ 3.10 |
| Draw | 32% | 28% | @ 3.40 |
| Red Bull Salzburg Win | 18% | 42% | @ 2.25 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Levski Sofia or Draw at 1.62 (78% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levski Sofia or Draw | 78% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| Red Bull Salzburg or Draw | 46% | 70% | @ 1.36 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 61% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 79% | @ 1.20 |
| Under 3.5 | 61% | 64% | @ 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 57% | @ 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 | 39% | 43% | @ 2.20 |
| Over 3.5 | 39% | 36% | @ 2.62 |
| Under 1.5 | 18% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 59%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 61% | @ 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 41% | 39% | @ 2.38 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Levski Sofia or Red Bull Salzburg is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levski Sofia +1.75 | 94% | 82% | @ 1.16 |
| Levski Sofia +1.5 | 92% | 76% | @ 1.23 |
| Levski Sofia +1.25 | 88% | 75% | @ 1.27 |
| Levski Sofia +1 | 85% | 72% | @ 1.32 |
| Levski Sofia +0.75 | 81% | 63% | @ 1.50 |
| Levski Sofia +0.5 | 78% | 57% | @ 1.66 |
| Levski Sofia +0.25 | 72% | 51% | @ 1.90 |
| Red Bull Salzburg +1.5 | 71% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Levski Sofia 0 | 66% | 42% | @ 2.29 |
| Red Bull Salzburg +1.25 | 65% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Levski Sofia -0.25 | 60% | 36% | @ 2.67 |
| Red Bull Salzburg +1 | 58% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Levski Sofia -0.5 | 54% | 31% | @ 3.08 |
| Red Bull Salzburg +0.75 | 52% | 75% | 1.27 |
| Levski Sofia -0.75 | 48% | 25% | @ 3.75 |
| Red Bull Salzburg +0.5 | 46% | 69% | 1.38 |
| Levski Sofia -1 | 42% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| Red Bull Salzburg +0.25 | 40% | 64% | 1.48 |
| Levski Sofia -1.25 | 35% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| Red Bull Salzburg 0 | 34% | 58% | 1.64 |
| Levski Sofia -1.5 | 29% | 15% | @ 6.25 |
| Red Bull Salzburg -0.25 | 28% | 49% | 1.97 |
| Red Bull Salzburg -0.5 | 22% | 43% | 2.23 |
| Red Bull Salzburg -0.75 | 19% | 37% | 2.60 |
| Red Bull Salzburg -1 | 15% | 28% | 3.40 |
| Red Bull Salzburg -1.25 | 12% | 25% | 3.73 |
| Red Bull Salzburg -1.5 | 8% | 24% | 4.00 |
| Red Bull Salzburg -1.75 | 6% | 18% | 5.25 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Our model's main pick is Levski Sofia Asian Handicap with a +1 start at odds 1.32, with a 85% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.
Who is the favourite for Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Our model makes a Levski Sofia win the most likely result at 50%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.2 scoreline for Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg.
What is the predicted score for Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.99 for Levski Sofia and 1.16 for Red Bull Salzburg. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Levski Sofia and Red Bull Salzburg play?
Kick-off is Thursday 17 September 2026, 16:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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