Metz
PAU⚽ Ligue 2
Metz vs PAU Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Metz vs PAU in the Ligue 2. Kick-off Friday 30 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Metz face PAU in the Ligue 2, kicking off Friday 30 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Metz have 1 win from their last 5, while PAU have 4 wins from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes a Metz win the most likely result at 44%, implying a 1.6-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Metz vs PAU with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
📈 Market view
We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.
| Outcome | Market % |
|---|---|
| Metz win | 44% |
| Draw | 25% |
| PAU win | 32% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| 2 | 6.9% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
🧠 Market summary
This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Metz vs PAU. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Metz win is the most likely result at 44%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 54%.
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Metz come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Sochaux. Their most recent defeat was 2-4 at Dijon.
- DDunkerque 1-1 MetzLigue 2
- WMetz 3-2 SochauxLigue 2
- LDijon 4-2 MetzLigue 2
- DMetz 2-2 Saint EtienneLigue 2
- LRED Star FC 93 1-0 MetzLigue 2
PAU come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Dunkerque. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Montpellier.
- WPAU 2-1 GrenobleLigue 2
- WGuingamp 1-2 PAULigue 2
- WPAU 3-2 LavalLigue 2
- WPAU 2-0 DunkerqueLigue 2
- LMontpellier 1-0 PAULigue 2
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Metz at 44% to win and PAU at 32%, with the draw at 25%. The bookmaker market makes a Metz win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Metz Win | 44% | @ 2.16 |
| PAU Win | 31% | @ 3.01 |
| Draw | 25% | @ 3.85 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.6-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 76% | @ 1.24 |
| Under 3.5 | 68% | @ 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | @ 1.77 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | @ 2.05 |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | @ 2.92 |
| Under 1.5 | 24% | @ 3.97 |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Metz vs PAU?
We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Metz win is the most likely result at 44%.
Who is the favourite for Metz vs PAU?
Our model makes a Metz win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.3 scoreline for Metz vs PAU.
What is the predicted score for Metz vs PAU?
The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.55 for Metz and 1.30 for PAU. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Metz and PAU play?
Kick-off is Friday 30 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
