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Fri 16 Oct2-0Finished

⚽ Brazilian Série A

Mirassol vs Internacional Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Mirassol vs Internacional in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Friday 16 October 2026, 23:00 UTC.

Result: Mirassol 2-0 Internacional

Mirassol vs Internacional finished 2-0. Mirassol won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, under 3.5 goals at 1.33, landed.

Mirassol face Internacional in the upcoming Brazilian Série A tips, kicking off Friday 16 October 2026, 23:00 UTC. Recent form: Mirassol have 2 wins from their last 5, while Internacional have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Mirassol won 2. The bookmaker market makes a Mirassol win the most likely result at 41%, implying a 1.5-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Mirassol vs Internacional with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick
Under 3.5 @ 1.33
71%Bookmaker odds imply 72%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.45 – 1.21 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 7.0% 8.5% 5.1% 2.1% 0.6%
1 10.1% 12.3% 7.4% 3.0% 0.9%
2 7.4% 8.9% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7%
3 3.6% 4.3% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3%
4 1.3% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
Mirassol winDrawInternacional win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Mirassol vs Internacional comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates an Internacional win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean under 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (54%).

📊 Key numbers

Mirassol 32%Draw 30%Internacional 38%
32%30%38%
38%
Internacional Win
52%
Under 2.5 goals
54%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Mirassol and Internacional. Wins shown from Mirassol’s perspective: Mirassol 2.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-10-16 Mirassol 2 – 0 Internacional W
2026-04-19 Internacional 1 – 2 Mirassol W

📈 Recent form

Mirassol

Mirassol come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Internacional. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Bahia.

  • WMirassol 2-0 InternacionalBrazilian Série A
  • LBahia 1-0 MirassolBrazilian Série A
  • DRB Bragantino 1-1 MirassolBrazilian Série A
  • WMirassol 2-0 BotafogoBrazilian Série A
  • DMirassol 2-2 VitóriaBrazilian Série A
Internacional

Internacional come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Corinthians. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Mirassol.

  • LMirassol 2-0 InternacionalBrazilian Série A
  • DGrêmio 1-1 InternacionalBrazilian Série A
  • WInternacional 2-1 CorinthiansBrazilian Série A
  • LSão Paulo 1-0 InternacionalBrazilian Série A
  • WChapecoense 1-2 InternacionalBrazilian Série A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Mirassol
  • Jose AldoMuscle Injury
  • NeguebaKnee Injury
Internacional
  • AllexNot in squad
  • KaykyAnkle Injury
  • G. MaripanNot in squad
  • S. RochetLower Back Injury
  • A. SanabriaNot in squad
  • Alan PatrickInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Mirassol at 32% to win and Internacional at 38%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes an Internacional win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Internacional Win 38% 31% @ 3.00
Mirassol Win 32% 41% @ 2.25
Draw 30% 28% @ 3.30

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Internacional or Draw at 1.62 (66% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Internacional or Draw 66% 59% @ 1.62
Mirassol or Draw 60% 69% @ 1.36

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Under 3.5 74% 72% @ 1.33
Over 1.5 73% 75% @ 1.28
Under 2.5 52% 50% @ 1.90
Over 2.5 48% 50% @ 1.90
Under 1.5 27% 25% @ 3.75
Over 3.5 26% 28% @ 3.40

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 54% 55% @ 1.70
BTTS No 46% 45% @ 2.05

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Mirassol or Internacional is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Internacional +1.75 88% 84% 1.13
Internacional +1.5 86% 79% @ 1.20
Mirassol +1.5 82% 85% 1.12
Internacional +1.25 81% 76% @ 1.25
Mirassol +1.25 76% 84% 1.13
Internacional +1 76% 74% 1.28
Internacional +0.75 71% 65% @ 1.47
Mirassol +1 71% 83% 1.15
Internacional +0.5 66% 58% @ 1.64
Mirassol +0.75 66% 76% 1.25
Mirassol +0.5 60% 69% 1.38
Internacional +0.25 60% 52% @ 1.86
Mirassol +0.25 54% 64% 1.48
Internacional 0 53% 42% @ 2.25
Mirassol 0 47% 58% 1.65
Internacional -0.25 46% 36% @ 2.67
Mirassol -0.25 40% 48% 1.99
Internacional -0.5 40% 31% @ 3.08
Internacional -0.75 34% 24% @ 3.87
Mirassol -0.5 34% 42% 2.27
Internacional -1 29% 17% @ 5.50
Mirassol -0.75 29% 35% 2.70
Mirassol -1 24% 26% 3.58
Internacional -1.25 24% 16% @ 5.90
Mirassol -1.25 19% 24% 3.99
Internacional -1.5 18% 15% @ 6.40
Mirassol -1.5 14% 21% 4.40
Mirassol -1.75 12% 16% 5.90

📈 How the market moved

24%35%46%10/1110/1210/1310/1410/1510/16

Mirassol 42%Draw 28%Internacional 30%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mirassol vs Internacional?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Mirassol vs Internacional?

Our model makes an Internacional win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.2 scoreline for Mirassol vs Internacional.

What is the predicted score for Mirassol vs Internacional?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.45 for Mirassol and 1.21 for Internacional. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Mirassol and Internacional play?

Kick-off is Friday 16 October 2026, 23:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.