⚽ Brazilian Série A

Mirassol vs Palmeiras Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Mirassol vs Palmeiras in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 21:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Mirassol face Palmeiras in the Brazilian Série A, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 21:30 UTC. Recent form: Mirassol have 1 win from their last 5, while Palmeiras have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Palmeiras win the most likely result at 53%, projecting a 0.9-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Mirassol vs Palmeiras with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Palmeiras or Draw @ 1.25

78%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.95 – 1.84 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	11.3%	10.4%	6.4%	2.9%
1	5.8%	10.7%	9.9%	6.1%	2.8%
2	2.8%	5.1%	4.7%	2.9%	1.3%
3	0.9%	1.6%	1.5%	0.9%	0.4%
4	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 0-1

Mirassol winDrawPalmeiras win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Mirassol vs Palmeiras is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Palmeiras or Draw at odds 1.25, the selection our model is most confident in at 78%. On the match result, the model rates a Palmeiras win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 53%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (52%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 2.5 goals at odds 2.10 (+10.9% model value).

Best value

Over 2.5 at odds 2.10, 53% model probability, +10.9% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Mirassol 21%Draw 26%Palmeiras 53%

21%26%53%

53%

Palmeiras Win

53%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS yes

+10.9%

Best value: Over 2.5

📈 Recent form

Mirassol

Mirassol come into this game with 0 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 10. Their most recent defeat was 1-5 at home to Flamengo.

DSantos 1-1 MirassolBrazilian Série A
DLDU de Quito 0-0 MirassolCONMEBOL Libertadores
LMirassol 1-5 FlamengoBrazilian Série A
DMirassol 1-1 LDU de QuitoCONMEBOL Libertadores
LCruzeiro 3-1 MirassolBrazilian Série A

Palmeiras

Palmeiras come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Vasco DA Gama. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Fluminense.

WPalmeiras 4-1 Vasco DA GamaBrazilian Série A
WCerro Porteno 0-1 PalmeirasCONMEBOL Libertadores
LFluminense 3-2 PalmeirasBrazilian Série A
DPalmeiras 1-1 Cerro PortenoCONMEBOL Libertadores
DPalmeiras 0-0 InternacionalBrazilian Série A

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Mirassol at 21% to win and Palmeiras at 53%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Palmeiras win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Palmeiras Win	53%	@ 2.02	+7.4%
Draw	26%	@ 3.30	-13.6%
Mirassol Win	21%	@ 3.65	-24.5%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Palmeiras or Draw at 1.25 (78% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Palmeiras or Draw	78%	@ 1.25	-2.2%
Mirassol or Draw	46%	@ 1.75	-19.9%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.9-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	31%	@ 3.85	+17.7%
Over 2.5	53%	@ 2.10	+10.9%
Over 1.5	77%	@ 1.38	+5.9%
Under 3.5	69%	@ 1.25	-13.2%
Under 2.5	47%	@ 1.70	-19.8%
Under 1.5	23%	@ 3.00	-30.2%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	52%	@ 1.85	-3.6%
BTTS No	48%	@ 1.85	-11.4%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mirassol vs Palmeiras?

Our main pick is Palmeiras or Draw at odds 1.25, with 78% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 2.5 goals at 2.10 (+10.9% value).

Who is the favourite for Mirassol vs Palmeiras?

Our model makes a Palmeiras win the most likely result at 53%. It projects an expected 0.9-1.8 scoreline for Mirassol vs Palmeiras.

What is the predicted score for Mirassol vs Palmeiras?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.95 for Mirassol and 1.84 for Palmeiras. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Mirassol and Palmeiras play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 21:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.