Sun 30 Aug1-1Finished

⚽ Brazilian Série A

Mirassol vs Palmeiras Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Mirassol vs Palmeiras in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 21:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Mirassol 1-1 Palmeiras

Mirassol vs Palmeiras finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Mirassol face Palmeiras in the upcoming Brazilian Série A tips, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 21:30 UTC. Recent form: Mirassol have 1 win from their last 5, while Palmeiras have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Palmeiras win the most likely result at 54%, projecting a 1.0-1.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Mirassol vs Palmeiras with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Palmeiras or Draw @ 1.30

78%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.96 – 1.90 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.7%	10.9%	10.3%	6.5%	3.1%
1	5.5%	10.4%	9.9%	6.3%	3.0%
2	2.6%	5.0%	4.8%	3.0%	1.4%
3	0.8%	1.6%	1.5%	1.0%	0.5%
4	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 0-1

Mirassol winDrawPalmeiras win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Mirassol vs Palmeiras comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Palmeiras or Draw at odds 1.30, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Palmeiras win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 54%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (53%).

📊 Key numbers

Mirassol 20%Draw 26%Palmeiras 54%

20%26%54%

54%

Palmeiras Win

54%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Mirassol

Mirassol come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Botafogo. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Flamengo.

WMirassol 2-0 BotafogoBrazilian Série A
DMirassol 2-2 VitóriaBrazilian Série A
WCoritiba 1-2 MirassolBrazilian Série A
LFlamengo 2-0 MirassolBrazilian Série A
DMirassol 1-1 PalmeirasBrazilian Série A

Palmeiras

Palmeiras come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to São Paulo. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at LDU de Quito.

DGrêmio 0-0 PalmeirasBrazilian Série A
LLDU de Quito 3-2 PalmeirasCONMEBOL Libertadores
WPalmeiras 2-0 São PauloBrazilian Série A
WPalmeiras 1-0 LDU de QuitoCONMEBOL Libertadores
DBotafogo 0-0 PalmeirasBrazilian Série A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Mirassol

Edson CariocaInjury
Jose AldoMuscle Injury
NeguebaKnee Injury
WallissonSuspended (red card)

Palmeiras

Allan EliasTransfer negotiations
JefteKnee Injury
PaulinhoMuscle Injury
J. PiquerezFoot Injury
R. SosaMuscle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Mirassol at 20% to win and Palmeiras at 54%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Palmeiras win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Palmeiras Win	54%	44%	@ 2.12
Draw	26%	28%	@ 3.30
Mirassol Win	20%	28%	@ 3.40

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Palmeiras or Draw at 1.30 (78% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Palmeiras or Draw	78%	72%	@ 1.30
Mirassol or Draw	45%	56%	@ 1.68

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.0-1.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	78%	71%	@ 1.32
Under 3.5	68%	75%	@ 1.26
Over 2.5	54%	46%	@ 2.07
Under 2.5	46%	54%	@ 1.74
Over 3.5	32%	25%	@ 3.75
Under 1.5	22%	29%	@ 3.25

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	53%	51%	@ 1.81
BTTS No	47%	49%	@ 1.90

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Mirassol or Palmeiras is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Palmeiras +1	86%	86%	1.10
Palmeiras +0.75	82%	–	1.20
Palmeiras +0.5	78%	–	@ 1.29
Mirassol +1.75	74%	81%	1.17
Palmeiras +0.25	72%	69%	1.37
Mirassol +1.5	70%	76%	1.24
Palmeiras 0	66%	64%	1.48
Mirassol +1.25	64%	73%	1.30
Palmeiras -0.25	61%	55%	@ 1.74
Mirassol +1	58%	70%	1.36
Palmeiras -0.5	55%	46%	@ 2.04
Mirassol +0.75	52%	61%	1.56
Palmeiras -0.75	48%	39%	@ 2.41
Mirassol +0.5	45%	54%	1.74
Palmeiras -1	42%	30%	@ 3.13
Mirassol +0.25	39%	45%	2.12
Palmeiras -1.25	36%	27%	@ 3.53
Mirassol 0	34%	36%	2.61
Palmeiras -1.5	30%	24%	@ 3.88
Mirassol -0.25	28%	31%	3.12
Palmeiras -1.75	26%	19%	@ 5.00
Mirassol -1	14%	14%	6.80

📈 How the market moved

Mirassol 26%Draw 29%Palmeiras 45%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mirassol vs Palmeiras?

Our model's main pick is Palmeiras or Draw at odds 1.30, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.

Who is the favourite for Mirassol vs Palmeiras?

Our model makes a Palmeiras win the most likely result at 54%. It projects an expected 1.0-1.9 scoreline for Mirassol vs Palmeiras.

What is the predicted score for Mirassol vs Palmeiras?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.96 for Mirassol and 1.90 for Palmeiras. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Mirassol and Palmeiras play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 21:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.