Sat 24 Oct19:30Upcoming

⚽ Brazilian Série A

Mirassol vs São Paulo Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Mirassol vs São Paulo in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Saturday 24 October 2026, 19:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Mirassol face São Paulo in the Brazilian Série A, kicking off Saturday 24 October 2026, 19:30 UTC. Recent form: Mirassol have 2 wins from their last 5, while São Paulo have 3 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Mirassol win the most likely result at 34%, projecting a 1.4-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Mirassol vs São Paulo with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.30

73%Bookmaker odds imply 73%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.36 – 1.04 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.1%	9.4%	4.9%	1.7%	0.4%
1	12.3%	12.8%	6.7%	2.3%	0.6%
2	8.4%	8.7%	4.5%	1.6%	0.4%
3	3.8%	4.0%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.3%	1.3%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Mirassol winDrawSão Paulo win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Mirassol vs São Paulo comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Mirassol win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 34%. Goals lean under 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points no (51%).

📊 Key numbers

Mirassol 34%Draw 33%São Paulo 33%

34%33%33%

34%

Mirassol Win

57%

Under 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Mirassol

Mirassol come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Internacional. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Bahia.

WMirassol 2-0 InternacionalBrazilian Série A
LBahia 1-0 MirassolBrazilian Série A
DRB Bragantino 1-1 MirassolBrazilian Série A
WMirassol 2-0 BotafogoBrazilian Série A
DMirassol 2-2 VitóriaBrazilian Série A

São Paulo

São Paulo come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Vasco da Gama. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Cruzeiro.

WSão Paulo 1-0 Vasco da GamaBrazilian Série A
WSão Paulo 2-1 VitóriaBrazilian Série A
LCruzeiro 2-0 São PauloBrazilian Série A
LSão Paulo 1-2 SantosBrazilian Série A
WSão Paulo 1-0 InternacionalBrazilian Série A

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Mirassol at 34% to win and São Paulo at 33%, with the draw at 33%. Our model makes a Mirassol win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Mirassol Win	34%	41%	@ 2.30
São Paulo Win	33%	29%	@ 3.20
Draw	33%	29%	@ 3.20

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Mirassol or Draw at 1.36 (63% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Mirassol or Draw	63%	71%	@ 1.36
São Paulo or Draw	63%	59%	@ 1.57

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	78%	73%	@ 1.30
Over 1.5	69%	72%	@ 1.33
Under 2.5	57%	53%	@ 1.80
Over 2.5	43%	47%	@ 2.00
Under 1.5	31%	28%	@ 3.40
Over 3.5	22%	27%	@ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	51%	48%	@ 1.95
BTTS Yes	49%	52%	@ 1.80

📈 How the market moved

Mirassol 42%Draw 29%São Paulo 29%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mirassol vs São Paulo?

Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Mirassol vs São Paulo?

Our model makes a Mirassol win the most likely result at 34%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.0 scoreline for Mirassol vs São Paulo.

What is the predicted score for Mirassol vs São Paulo?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.36 for Mirassol and 1.04 for São Paulo. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Mirassol and São Paulo play?

Kick-off is Saturday 24 October 2026, 19:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.