⚽ Major League Soccer
Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 00:30 UTC.
Result: Nashville SC 4-0 FC Cincinnati
Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati finished 4-0. Nashville SC won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Nashville SC face FC Cincinnati in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 00:30 UTC. Recent form: Nashville SC have 3 wins from their last 5, while FC Cincinnati have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Nashville SC won 2, FC Cincinnati won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Nashville SC win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 2.0-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| 2 | 4.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| 3 | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is FC Cincinnati with a +1.75 start at odds 1.29, with a 85% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Nashville SC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (72%), both teams to score points yes (71%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Nashville SC and FC Cincinnati. Wins shown from Nashville SC’s perspective: Nashville SC 2 · 1 drawn · FC Cincinnati 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Nashville SC | 4 – 0 | FC Cincinnati | W |
| 2024-09-22 | Nashville SC | 2 – 2 | FC Cincinnati | D |
| 2024-05-29 | FC Cincinnati | 0 – 2 | Nashville SC | W |
| 2023-07-15 | FC Cincinnati | 3 – 1 | Nashville SC | L |
| 2023-03-26 | Nashville SC | 0 – 1 | FC Cincinnati | L |
📈 Recent form
Nashville SC come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to FC Cincinnati. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Toronto FC.
- WNashville SC 3-0 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- DInter Miami 2-2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
- LToronto FC 2-1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
- DNew York City FC 0-0 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
- WNashville SC 4-0 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
FC Cincinnati come into this game with no wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 15. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at Philadelphia Union.
- DHouston Dynamo 2-2 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- DFC Cincinnati 3-3 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- LPhiladelphia Union 5-0 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- LNashville SC 4-0 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- DFC Cincinnati 1-1 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 2 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- C. ApplewhiteLower-Body Injury
- W. MadrigalLower-Body Injury
No absentees reported.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Nashville SC at 40% to win and FC Cincinnati at 34%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Nashville SC win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC Win | 40% | 54% | @ 1.72 |
| FC Cincinnati Win | 34% | 23% | @ 4.10 |
| Draw | 26% | 23% | @ 4.10 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Nashville SC or Draw at 1.22 (66% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC or Draw | 66% | 77% | @ 1.22 |
| FC Cincinnati or Draw | 60% | 46% | @ 2.07 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 72% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 84% | @ 1.11 |
| Over 2.5 | 72% | 67% | @ 1.41 |
| Over 3.5 | 52% | 46% | @ 2.06 |
| Under 3.5 | 48% | 54% | @ 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 | 28% | 33% | @ 2.80 |
| Under 1.5 | 11% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 71%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 71% | 65% | @ 1.43 |
| BTTS No | 29% | 35% | @ 2.63 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Nashville SC or FC Cincinnati is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati +2 | 88% | 80% | @ 1.18 |
| FC Cincinnati +1.75 | 85% | 74% | @ 1.29 |
| FC Cincinnati +1.5 | 82% | 67% | @ 1.40 |
| FC Cincinnati +1.25 | 76% | 64% | @ 1.49 |
| Nashville SC +1 | 76% | 86% | 1.10 |
| FC Cincinnati +1 | 71% | 59% | @ 1.61 |
| Nashville SC +0.75 | 71% | 81% | 1.17 |
| Nashville SC +0.5 | 66% | 75% | 1.25 |
| FC Cincinnati +0.75 | 66% | 52% | @ 1.85 |
| FC Cincinnati +0.5 | 60% | 46% | @ 2.04 |
| Nashville SC +0.25 | 60% | 73% | 1.30 |
| FC Cincinnati +0.25 | 54% | 40% | @ 2.42 |
| Nashville SC 0 | 53% | – | 1.38 |
| Nashville SC -0.25 | 46% | 60% | 1.58 |
| FC Cincinnati -0.25 | 40% | 27% | @ 3.56 |
| Nashville SC -0.5 | 40% | 54% | 1.76 |
| Nashville SC -0.75 | 34% | 48% | 2.00 |
| FC Cincinnati -0.5 | 34% | 25% | @ 3.80 |
| FC Cincinnati -0.75 | 29% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
| Nashville SC -1 | 29% | 41% | 2.31 |
| FC Cincinnati -1 | 24% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Nashville SC -1.25 | 24% | 36% | 2.67 |
| Nashville SC -1.5 | 18% | 33% | 2.88 |
| Nashville SC -1.75 | 15% | 26% | 3.62 |
| Nashville SC -2 | 12% | 20% | 4.80 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati?
Our model's main pick is FC Cincinnati with a +1.75 start at odds 1.29, with a 85% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.
Who is the favourite for Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati?
Our model makes a Nashville SC win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.8 scoreline for Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati.
What is the predicted score for Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.01 for Nashville SC and 1.75 for FC Cincinnati. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Nashville SC and FC Cincinnati play?
Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 00:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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