⚽ Major League Soccer
Nashville SC vs Inter Miami Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Nashville SC vs Inter Miami in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 16 August 2026, 00:30 UTC.
Result: Nashville SC 4-1 Inter Miami
Nashville SC vs Inter Miami finished 4-1. Nashville SC won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Nashville SC face Inter Miami in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Sunday 16 August 2026, 00:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Nashville SC won 1, Inter Miami won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Inter Miami win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 1.7-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Nashville SC vs Inter Miami with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 5.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| 2 | 4.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| 3 | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Nashville SC vs Inter Miami comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Inter Miami with a +1 start at odds 1.27, with a 77% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Inter Miami win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean over 2.5 (68%), both teams to score points yes (68%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Nashville SC and Inter Miami. Wins shown from Nashville SC’s perspective: Nashville SC 1 · 2 drawn · Inter Miami 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Inter Miami | 2 – 2 | Nashville SC | D |
| 2026-08-16 | Nashville SC | 4 – 1 | Inter Miami | W |
| 2024-06-30 | Nashville SC | 1 – 2 | Inter Miami | L |
| 2024-04-20 | Inter Miami | 3 – 1 | Nashville SC | L |
| 2023-08-30 | Inter Miami | 0 – 0 | Nashville SC | D |
📈 Recent form
Nashville SC come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to FC Cincinnati. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Toronto FC.
- WNashville SC 3-0 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- DInter Miami 2-2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
- LToronto FC 2-1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
- DNew York City FC 0-0 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
- WNashville SC 4-0 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
Inter Miami come into this game with 1 win and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Cruz Azul. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- DInter Miami 2-2 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
- WInter Miami 2-0 Cruz AzulCampeones Cup
- DInter Miami 2-2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
- DChicago Fire 1-1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
- DInter Miami 2-2 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- P. YazbekMuscle Injury
- T. AllendeKnee Injury
- G. BerterameConcussion
- MicaelInjury
- M. SilvettiShoulder Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Nashville SC at 33% to win and Inter Miami at 42%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes an Inter Miami win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami Win | 42% | 37% | @ 2.55 |
| Nashville SC Win | 33% | 38% | @ 2.45 |
| Draw | 25% | 26% | @ 3.65 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Inter Miami or Draw at 1.52 (67% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami or Draw | 67% | 62% | @ 1.52 |
| Nashville SC or Draw | 59% | 63% | @ 1.48 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 68% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 87% | 84% | @ 1.12 |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 64% | @ 1.45 |
| Under 3.5 | 53% | 56% | @ 1.68 |
| Over 3.5 | 47% | 44% | @ 2.14 |
| Under 2.5 | 32% | 36% | @ 2.63 |
| Under 1.5 | 13% | 16% | @ 5.75 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 68%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 68% | 67% | @ 1.38 |
| BTTS No | 32% | 33% | @ 2.80 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Nashville SC or Inter Miami is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami +2 | 91% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Inter Miami +1.75 | 89% | 84% | @ 1.13 |
| Inter Miami +1.5 | 86% | 79% | @ 1.18 |
| Nashville SC +1.75 | 84% | 84% | 1.12 |
| Inter Miami +1.25 | 82% | 77% | @ 1.24 |
| Nashville SC +1.5 | 81% | 79% | 1.17 |
| Inter Miami +1 | 77% | 75% | 1.27 |
| Nashville SC +1.25 | 75% | 78% | 1.21 |
| Inter Miami +0.75 | 72% | 67% | @ 1.42 |
| Nashville SC +1 | 70% | 76% | 1.25 |
| Inter Miami +0.5 | 67% | 61% | @ 1.54 |
| Nashville SC +0.75 | 64% | 69% | 1.37 |
| Inter Miami +0.25 | 61% | 56% | @ 1.71 |
| Nashville SC +0.5 | 59% | 63% | 1.50 |
| Inter Miami 0 | 54% | 48% | @ 1.97 |
| Nashville SC +0.25 | 52% | 58% | 1.65 |
| Inter Miami -0.25 | 48% | 42% | @ 2.29 |
| Nashville SC 0 | 46% | 52% | 1.85 |
| Inter Miami -0.5 | 41% | 37% | @ 2.52 |
| Nashville SC -0.25 | 39% | 44% | 2.18 |
| Inter Miami -0.75 | 36% | 31% | @ 3.12 |
| Nashville SC -0.5 | 33% | 39% | 2.40 |
| Inter Miami -1 | 30% | 24% | @ 4.00 |
| Nashville SC -0.75 | 28% | 33% | 2.92 |
| Inter Miami -1.25 | 25% | 22% | @ 4.25 |
| Nashville SC -1 | 23% | 25% | 3.81 |
| Inter Miami -1.5 | 19% | 21% | 4.53 |
| Nashville SC -1.25 | 18% | 23% | 4.08 |
| Inter Miami -1.75 | 16% | 16% | 6.00 |
| Nashville SC -1.5 | 14% | 21% | 4.35 |
| Nashville SC -1.75 | 11% | 16% | 5.90 |
| Nashville SC -2 | 9% | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Nashville SC vs Inter Miami?
Our model's main pick is Inter Miami with a +1 start at odds 1.27, with a 77% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.
Who is the favourite for Nashville SC vs Inter Miami?
Our model makes an Inter Miami win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.8 scoreline for Nashville SC vs Inter Miami.
What is the predicted score for Nashville SC vs Inter Miami?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.71 for Nashville SC and 1.82 for Inter Miami. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Nashville SC and Inter Miami play?
Kick-off is Sunday 16 August 2026, 00:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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