Fri 4 Sep0-0Finished

⚽ Major League Soccer

New York City FC vs Nashville SC Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for New York City FC vs Nashville SC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Friday 04 September 2026, 23:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: New York City FC 0-0 Nashville SC

New York City FC vs Nashville SC finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

New York City FC face Nashville SC in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Friday 04 September 2026, 23:30 UTC. Recent form: New York City FC have 1 win from their last 5, while Nashville SC have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, New York City FC won 2, Nashville SC won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a New York City FC win the most likely result at 36%, projecting a 1.3-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for New York City FC vs Nashville SC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.38

72%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.28 – 1.40 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.9%	9.6%	6.7%	3.1%	1.1%
1	8.8%	12.3%	8.6%	4.0%	1.4%
2	5.6%	7.9%	5.5%	2.6%	0.9%
3	2.4%	3.4%	2.3%	1.1%	0.4%
4	0.8%	1.1%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

New York City FC winDrawNashville SC win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for New York City FC vs Nashville SC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.38, with a 72% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a New York City FC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 36%. Goals lean over 2.5 (50%), both teams to score points yes (53%).

📊 Key numbers

New York City FC 36%Draw 28%Nashville SC 36%

36%28%36%

36%

New York City FC Win

50%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between New York City FC and Nashville SC. Wins shown from New York City FC’s perspective: New York City FC 2 · 1 drawn · Nashville SC 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-04	New York City FC	0 – 0	Nashville SC	D
2026-05-24	Nashville SC	2 – 1	New York City FC	L
2024-10-06	New York City FC	3 – 1	Nashville SC	W
2024-06-23	Nashville SC	1 – 0	New York City FC	L
2023-04-15	New York City FC	2 – 1	Nashville SC	W

📈 Recent form

New York City FC

New York City FC come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Real Salt Lake. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to New York Red Bulls.

LNew York City FC 0-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
WReal Salt Lake 0-2 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
LNew York City FC 1-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
DNew York City FC 0-0 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
DToronto FC 1-1 New York City FCMajor League Soccer

Nashville SC

Nashville SC come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to FC Cincinnati. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Toronto FC.

WNashville SC 3-0 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
DInter Miami 2-2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
LToronto FC 2-1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
DNew York City FC 0-0 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
WNashville SC 4-0 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

New York City FC

D. BaieraKnee Injury
A. FarnosInjury
M. MoralezKnee Injury
K. ParksInjury
Talles MagnoMuscle Injury
K. TrewinAnkle Injury
H. WolfLeg Injury

Nashville SC

W. MadrigalLower-Body Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices New York City FC at 36% to win and Nashville SC at 36%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a New York City FC win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
New York City FC Win	36%	38%	@ 2.48
Nashville SC Win	36%	35%	@ 2.70
Draw	28%	28%	@ 3.35

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is New York City FC or Draw at 1.44 (64% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
New York City FC or Draw	64%	65%	@ 1.44
Nashville SC or Draw	63%	62%	@ 1.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	76%	@ 1.23
Under 3.5	72%	68%	@ 1.38
Over 2.5	50%	53%	@ 1.77
Under 2.5	50%	47%	@ 2.00
Over 3.5	28%	32%	@ 2.90
Under 1.5	25%	24%	@ 3.95

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	53%	58%	@ 1.60
BTTS No	47%	42%	@ 2.20

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when New York City FC or Nashville SC is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
New York City FC +1.75	86%	86%	1.10
Nashville SC +1.75	86%	86%	1.10
New York City FC +1.5	84%	82%	1.16
Nashville SC +1.5	84%	82%	1.16
New York City FC +1.25	79%	79%	1.19
Nashville SC +1.25	78%	79%	1.19
New York City FC +1	74%	78%	1.23
Nashville SC +1	73%	77%	1.24
New York City FC +0.75	69%	69%	1.38
Nashville SC +0.75	68%	69%	1.39
New York City FC +0.5	64%	63%	1.49
Nashville SC +0.5	63%	62%	1.51
New York City FC +0.25	57%	58%	1.66
Nashville SC +0.25	56%	57%	1.67
New York City FC 0	50%	50%	1.89
Nashville SC 0	50%	50%	1.92
New York City FC -0.25	44%	43%	2.23
Nashville SC -0.25	43%	42%	2.25
New York City FC -0.5	37%	38%	2.47
Nashville SC -0.5	36%	37%	2.57
New York City FC -0.75	32%	31%	3.06
Nashville SC -0.75	31%	31%	3.11
New York City FC -1	27%	23%	@ 4.18
Nashville SC -1	26%	22%	@ 4.27
New York City FC -1.25	22%	21%	4.50
Nashville SC -1.25	21%	21%	4.50
New York City FC -1.5	16%	18%	5.25
Nashville SC -1.5	16%	18%	5.25
New York City FC -1.75	14%	14%	6.80
Nashville SC -1.75	14%	14%	6.80

📈 How the market moved

New York City FC 37%Draw 27%Nashville SC 36%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for New York City FC vs Nashville SC?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.38, with a 72% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 68%.

Who is the favourite for New York City FC vs Nashville SC?

Our model makes a New York City FC win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.4 scoreline for New York City FC vs Nashville SC.

What is the predicted score for New York City FC vs Nashville SC?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.28 for New York City FC and 1.40 for Nashville SC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do New York City FC and Nashville SC play?

Kick-off is Friday 04 September 2026, 23:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.