vs
⚽ Major League Soccer
New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Wednesday 19 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
New York Red Bulls face Nashville SC in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Wednesday 19 August 2026, 23:30 UTC. In their last 4 meetings, New York Red Bulls won 1, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a New York Red Bulls win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.4-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 7.6% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| 2 | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.62, the selection our model is most confident in at 66%. On the match result, the model rates a New York Red Bulls win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points yes (57%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 4 meetings between New York Red Bulls and Nashville SC. Wins shown from New York Red Bulls’s perspective: New York Red Bulls 1 · 3 drawn.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-15 | New York Red Bulls | 0 – 0 | Nashville SC | D |
| 2024-02-24 | Nashville SC | 0 – 0 | New York Red Bulls | D |
| 2023-10-22 | Nashville SC | 0 – 1 | New York Red Bulls | W |
| 2023-03-05 | New York Red Bulls | 0 – 0 | Nashville SC | D |
📈 Recent form
New York Red Bulls come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Orlando City SC. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Atlanta United FC.
- LAtlanta United FC 2-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- WNew York Red Bulls 3-2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- LNew York Red Bulls 0-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- LPhiladelphia Union 3-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- WSporting Kansas City 1-2 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
Nashville SC come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Inter Miami. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Monterrey.
- WNashville SC 4-1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
- LMonterrey 2-1 Nashville SCLeagues Cup
- DDC United 2-2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
- LOrlando City SC 1-0 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
- WNashville SC 2-1 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- A. MarcucciKnee Injury
- R. MosqueraThigh Injury
- P. YazbekMuscle Injury
- W. MadrigalLower-Body Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices New York Red Bulls at 39% to win and Nashville SC at 36%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a New York Red Bulls win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Red Bulls Win | 39% | @ 2.70 | +5.5% |
| Draw | 25% | @ 3.80 | -3.4% |
| Nashville SC Win | 36% | @ 2.28 | -19.0% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is New York Red Bulls or Draw at 1.60 (65% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Red Bulls or Draw | 65% | @ 1.60 | +4.0% |
| Nashville SC or Draw | 61% | @ 1.44 | -11.5% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 | 44% | @ 2.55 | +12.5% |
| Under 1.5 | 21% | @ 5.25 | +11.0% |
| Under 3.5 | 66% | @ 1.62 | +7.8% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | @ 1.15 | -9.3% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | @ 1.50 | -16.2% |
| Over 3.5 | 34% | @ 2.25 | -24.7% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 43% | @ 2.62 | +12.5% |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | @ 1.42 | -19.0% |
🔬 How our AI model reached this pick
| Model | Match result | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Poisson | Home | 45% |
| Dixon-Coles | Away | 51% |
| GradientBoosting | Home | 41% |
Two of our three models agree; the third sees it differently. A reasonable but not maximal signal.
Expected goals: 1.33 for the home side, 1.26 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 0-2 (7%).
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC?
Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.62, with 66% model confidence.
Who is the favourite for New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC?
Our model makes a New York Red Bulls win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.5 scoreline for New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC.
What is the predicted score for New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.40 for New York Red Bulls and 1.52 for Nashville SC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do New York Red Bulls and Nashville SC play?
Kick-off is Wednesday 19 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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AnnecyAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.