Panathinaikos

Sun 18 Oct5-1Finished

Asteras Tripolis

⚽ Super League 1

Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis in the Super League 1. Kick-off Sunday 18 October 2026, 14:30 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Panathinaikos 5-1 Asteras Tripolis

Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis finished 5-1. Panathinaikos won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Panathinaikos face Asteras Tripolis in the Super League 1, kicking off Sunday 18 October 2026, 14:30 UTC. Recent form: Panathinaikos have 4 wins from their last 5, while Asteras Tripolis have 1 win from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes a Panathinaikos win the most likely result at 75%, implying a 2.4-0.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Panathinaikos win	75%
Draw	17%
Asteras Tripolis win	8%
Over 2.5 goals	57%
Both teams to score	41%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 2.35 – 0.65 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.0%	3.2%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
1	11.7%	7.6%	2.5%	0.5%	0.1%
2	13.7%	8.9%	2.9%	0.6%	0.1%
3	10.8%	7.0%	2.3%	0.5%	0.1%
4	6.3%	4.1%	1.3%	0.3%	0.0%

Projected score: 2-0

Panathinaikos winDrawAsteras Tripolis win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Panathinaikos win is the most likely result at 75%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 57%. Both teams to score: no at 59%.

📊 Key numbers

Panathinaikos 75%Draw 17%Asteras Tripolis 8%

75%17%

75%

Panathinaikos Win

57%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Panathinaikos

Panathinaikos come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to Asteras Tripolis. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Olympiakos Piraeus.

WPanathinaikos 5-1 Asteras TripolisSuper League 1
WPanathinaikos 2-1 Borac Banja LukaUEFA Europa Conference
LOlympiakos Piraeus 1-0 PanathinaikosSuper League 1
WKalamata 0-1 PanathinaikosSuper League 1
WPanathinaikos 3-0 PanetolikosSuper League 1

Asteras Tripolis

Asteras Tripolis come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Atromitos. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-5 at Panathinaikos.

LPanathinaikos 5-1 Asteras TripolisSuper League 1
WAsteras Tripolis 2-1 AtromitosSuper League 1
DOFI 2-2 Asteras TripolisSuper League 1
DAsteras Tripolis 1-1 AEK Athens FCSuper League 1
DAsteras Tripolis 1-1 Aris ThessalonikisCup

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Panathinaikos at 75% to win and Asteras Tripolis at 8%, with the draw at 17%. The bookmaker market makes a Panathinaikos win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Panathinaikos Win	75%	@ 1.25
Draw	17%	@ 5.50
Asteras Tripolis Win	8%	@ 12.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Panathinaikos or Draw at 1.05 (92% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Panathinaikos or Draw	92%	@ 1.05
Asteras Tripolis or Draw	25%	@ 3.75

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 2.4-0.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	78%	@ 1.20
Under 3.5	65%	@ 1.44
Over 2.5	57%	@ 1.65
Under 2.5	43%	@ 2.20
Over 3.5	35%	@ 2.62
Under 1.5	22%	@ 4.33

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams not to score at 59%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	59%	@ 1.57
BTTS Yes	41%	@ 2.25

📈 How the market moved

Panathinaikos 77%Draw 15%Asteras Tripolis 7%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Panathinaikos win is the most likely result at 75%.

Who is the favourite for Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Our model makes a Panathinaikos win the most likely result at 75%. It projects an expected 2.4-0.7 scoreline for Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis.

What is the predicted score for Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.35 for Panathinaikos and 0.65 for Asteras Tripolis. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Panathinaikos and Asteras Tripolis play?

Kick-off is Sunday 18 October 2026, 14:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.