⚽ Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 17 October 2026, 18:30 UTC.
Result: Philadelphia Union 2-2 Charlotte
Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Philadelphia Union face Charlotte in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Saturday 17 October 2026, 18:30 UTC. Recent form: Philadelphia Union have 5 wins from their last 5, while Charlotte have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Charlotte won 2, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Philadelphia Union win the most likely result at 45%, projecting a 1.9-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| 2 | 6.1% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| 3 | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| 4 | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 72% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Philadelphia Union win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 45%. Goals lean over 2.5 (67%), both teams to score points yes (65%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Philadelphia Union and Charlotte. Wins shown from Philadelphia Union’s perspective: 3 drawn · Charlotte 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Philadelphia Union | 2 – 2 | Charlotte | D |
| 2026-04-04 | Charlotte | 2 – 1 | Philadelphia Union | L |
| 2024-06-22 | Philadelphia Union | 0 – 2 | Charlotte | L |
| 2024-05-25 | Charlotte | 0 – 0 | Philadelphia Union | D |
| 2023-09-20 | Charlotte | 2 – 2 | Philadelphia Union | D |
📈 Recent form
Philadelphia Union come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 15 and conceding 9. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Chicago Fire. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- DPhiladelphia Union 2-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- WChicago Fire 1-3 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
- WPhiladelphia Union 2-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- WPhiladelphia Union 4-2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- WSporting Kansas City 3-4 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
Charlotte come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to FC Dallas. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Columbus Crew.
- DPhiladelphia Union 2-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- LColumbus Crew 3-1 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- WCharlotte 3-2 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
- LCharlotte 0-1 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- WDC United 1-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- J. BuenoHamstring Injury
- N. BerchimasFoot Injury
- A. DoucoureNot in squad
- A. GoodwinFoot Injury
- A. JohnShoulder Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Philadelphia Union at 45% to win and Charlotte at 28%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Philadelphia Union win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Union Win | 45% | 63% | @ 1.50 |
| Charlotte Win | 28% | 18% | @ 5.25 |
| Draw | 27% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Philadelphia Union or Draw at 1.17 (71% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Union or Draw | 71% | 82% | @ 1.17 |
| Charlotte or Draw | 54% | 37% | @ 2.50 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 67% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 88% | @ 1.08 |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 72% | @ 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 | 55% | 49% | @ 1.91 |
| Over 3.5 | 45% | 51% | @ 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 28% | @ 3.40 |
| Under 1.5 | 14% | 12% | @ 8.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 65%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 35% | 35% | @ 2.62 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Philadelphia Union or Charlotte is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte +2 | 84% | 70% | @ 1.35 |
| Charlotte +1.75 | 81% | 63% | @ 1.51 |
| Charlotte +1.5 | 77% | 57% | @ 1.66 |
| Philadelphia Union +0.75 | 76% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Charlotte +1.25 | 72% | 53% | @ 1.82 |
| Philadelphia Union +0.5 | 71% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Charlotte +1 | 66% | 46% | @ 2.08 |
| Philadelphia Union +0.25 | 65% | 79% | 1.19 |
| Charlotte +0.75 | 60% | 41% | @ 2.34 |
| Philadelphia Union 0 | 58% | 78% | 1.23 |
| Charlotte +0.5 | 54% | 36% | @ 2.62 |
| Philadelphia Union -0.25 | 52% | 70% | 1.36 |
| Charlotte +0.25 | 48% | 30% | @ 3.17 |
| Philadelphia Union -0.5 | 46% | 64% | 1.50 |
| Charlotte 0 | 42% | 22% | @ 4.24 |
| Philadelphia Union -0.75 | 40% | 59% | 1.61 |
| Charlotte -0.25 | 35% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
| Philadelphia Union -1 | 34% | 54% | 1.77 |
| Charlotte -0.5 | 29% | 18% | @ 5.25 |
| Philadelphia Union -1.25 | 28% | 47% | 2.03 |
| Charlotte -0.75 | 24% | 14% | @ 6.80 |
| Philadelphia Union -1.5 | 23% | 43% | 2.25 |
| Philadelphia Union -1.75 | 19% | 37% | 2.58 |
| Philadelphia Union -2 | 16% | 30% | 3.19 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte?
Our pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 72% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.
Who is the favourite for Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte?
Our model makes a Philadelphia Union win the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.5 scoreline for Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte.
What is the predicted score for Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.95 for Philadelphia Union and 1.49 for Charlotte. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Philadelphia Union and Charlotte play?
Kick-off is Saturday 17 October 2026, 18:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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