vs
⚽ La Liga
Real Betis vs Real Madrid Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Real Betis vs Real Madrid in the La Liga. Kick-off Friday 04 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Result: Real Betis 1-0 Real Madrid
Real Betis vs Real Madrid finished 1-0. Real Betis won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Real Betis face Real Madrid in the upcoming La Liga tips, kicking off Friday 04 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Real Betis have 3 wins from their last 5, while Real Madrid have 5 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Real Betis won 2, Real Madrid won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Real Madrid win the most likely result at 54%, projecting a 1.2-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Real Betis vs Real Madrid with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| 2 | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| 3 | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Real Betis vs Real Madrid is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Real Betis with a +2 start at odds 1.44, the selection our model is most confident in at 78%. On the match result, the model rates a Real Madrid win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 54%. Goals lean over 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points yes (57%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Real Betis with a +0.75 start at odds 2.73 (+39.3% model value).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Real Betis and Real Madrid. Wins shown from Real Betis’s perspective: Real Betis 2 · 1 drawn · Real Madrid 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Real Betis | 1 – 0 | Real Madrid | W |
| 2026-04-24 | Real Betis | 1 – 1 | Real Madrid | D |
| 2026-01-04 | Real Madrid | 5 – 1 | Real Betis | L |
| 2025-03-01 | Real Betis | 2 – 1 | Real Madrid | W |
| 2024-09-01 | Real Madrid | 2 – 0 | Real Betis | L |
📈 Recent form
Real Betis come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Real Madrid. Their most recent defeat was 2-5 at Levante.
- WReal Betis 1-0 Real MadridLa Liga
- LLevante 5-2 Real BetisLa Liga
- WValencia 0-1 Real BetisLa Liga
- WReal Betis 1-0 Real SociedadLa Liga
- LInter 1-0 Real BetisFriendlies Clubs
Real Madrid come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Malaga. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Real Betis.
- LReal Betis 1-0 Real MadridLa Liga
- WReal Madrid 4-0 MalagaLa Liga
- WReal Madrid 4-1 Real SociedadLa Liga
- WEspanyol 1-2 Real MadridLa Liga
- WFC Schalke 04 0-3 Real MadridFriendlies Clubs
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 12 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- D. CeballosCoach's decision
- D. CondeShoulder Injury
- A. EzzalzouliIllness
- G. Lo CelsoMuscle Injury
- A. RuibalKnee Injury
- R. AsencioMuscle Injury
- Eder MilitaoHamstring Injury
- EndrickMuscle Injury
- F. MendyHip Injury
- T. PitarchKnee Injury
- RodrygoKnee Injury
- A. TchouameniMuscle Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Real Betis at 20% to win and Real Madrid at 54%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Real Madrid win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis Win | 20% | @ 7.50 | +53.1% |
| Draw | 25% | @ 5.40 | +37.1% |
| Real Madrid Win | 54% | @ 1.35 | -26.8% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Real Betis or Draw at 3.10 (45% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis or Draw | 45% | @ 3.10 | +39.5% |
| Real Madrid or Draw | 79% | @ 1.08 | -14.9% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 | 22% | @ 6.75 | +47.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | @ 3.05 | +37.4% |
| Under 3.5 | 67% | @ 1.86 | +25.4% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | @ 1.09 | -14.7% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | @ 1.36 | -25.3% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | @ 1.93 | -37.1% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 43% | @ 2.30 | -1.1% |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | @ 1.56 | -11.0% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Real Betis or Real Madrid is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis -0.25 | 27% | @ 5.90 | +60.3% |
| Real Betis +0.25 | 39% | @ 3.81 | +48.8% |
| Real Betis +0.75 | 51% | @ 2.73 | +39.3% |
| Real Betis +1 | 57% | @ 2.36 | +35.1% |
| Real Betis -0.5 | 21% | @ 6.25 | +32.6% |
| Real Betis +1.25 | 63% | @ 2.04 | +29.3% |
| Real Betis +1.5 | 70% | @ 1.80 | +25.0% |
| Real Betis -0.75 | 18% | @ 6.80 | +20.8% |
| Real Betis +1.75 | 74% | @ 1.62 | +19.4% |
| Real Betis +2 | 78% | @ 1.44 | +12.3% |
| Real Madrid +0.75 | 82% | 1.10 | -9.5% |
| Real Madrid +0.5 | 79% | 1.09 | -13.7% |
| Real Madrid +0.25 | 73% | 1.13 | -17.7% |
| Real Madrid 0 | 67% | 1.19 | -20.4% |
| Real Madrid -0.25 | 61% | 1.27 | -22.6% |
| Real Madrid -0.5 | 55% | 1.40 | -23.0% |
| Real Madrid -0.75 | 49% | 1.47 | -28.1% |
| Real Madrid -1 | 43% | 1.59 | -32.2% |
| Real Madrid -1.25 | 37% | 1.83 | -32.8% |
| Real Madrid -2 | 22% | 2.81 | -38.2% |
| Real Madrid -1.75 | 26% | 2.33 | -38.8% |
| Real Madrid -1.5 | 30% | 1.99 | -39.3% |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Real Betis vs Real Madrid?
Our main pick is Real Betis with a +2 start at odds 1.44, with 78% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Real Betis with a +0.75 start at 2.73 (+39.3% value).
Who is the favourite for Real Betis vs Real Madrid?
Our model makes a Real Madrid win the most likely result at 54%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.6 scoreline for Real Betis vs Real Madrid.
What is the predicted score for Real Betis vs Real Madrid?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.23 for Real Betis and 1.65 for Real Madrid. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Real Betis and Real Madrid play?
Kick-off is Friday 04 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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