⚽ Major League Soccer
San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 18 October 2026, 02:30 UTC.
Result: San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Nashville SC
San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
San Jose Earthquakes face Nashville SC in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Sunday 18 October 2026, 02:30 UTC. Recent form: San Jose Earthquakes have 3 wins from their last 5, while Nashville SC have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 3 meetings, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Nashville SC win the most likely result at 45%, projecting a 1.2-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| 1 | 6.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| 2 | 3.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| 3 | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is San Jose Earthquakes with a +1.5 start at odds 1.35, with a 70% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Nashville SC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 45%. Goals lean over 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points yes (55%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 3 meetings between San Jose Earthquakes and Nashville SC. Wins shown from San Jose Earthquakes’s perspective: 3 drawn.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 1 – 1 | Nashville SC | D |
| 2024-04-28 | Nashville SC | 1 – 1 | San Jose Earthquakes | D |
| 2023-09-24 | San Jose Earthquakes | 1 – 1 | Nashville SC | D |
📈 Recent form
San Jose Earthquakes come into this game with 1 win and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Portland Timbers. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- DSan Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
- DReal Salt Lake 1-1 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
- DColorado Rapids 1-1 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
- WSan Jose Earthquakes 3-1 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
- DSan Jose Earthquakes 2-2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
Nashville SC come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Sporting Kansas City. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- DSan Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
- WNashville SC 4-0 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
- WAustin 1-4 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
- WNashville SC 2-0 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
- WNashville SC 3-0 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- N. AdimabuaHernia
- J. A. Gonzalez MendozaInjury
- D. JohnsonLower-Body Injury
- D. JonesAchilles Tendon Injury
- B. KikanovicLower-Body Injury
- J. SkahanLower-Body Injury
- N. TsakirisUpper-Body Injury
- F. CamaraLower-Body Injury
- O. PresthusLower-Body Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices San Jose Earthquakes at 29% to win and Nashville SC at 45%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Nashville SC win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC Win | 45% | 50% | @ 1.90 |
| San Jose Earthquakes Win | 29% | 26% | @ 3.70 |
| Draw | 26% | 24% | @ 4.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Nashville SC or Draw at 1.28 (71% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC or Draw | 71% | 74% | @ 1.28 |
| San Jose Earthquakes or Draw | 55% | 50% | @ 1.83 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 57% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 83% | @ 1.14 |
| Under 3.5 | 66% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 61% | @ 1.53 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 39% | @ 2.40 |
| Over 3.5 | 34% | 42% | @ 2.20 |
| Under 1.5 | 20% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 45% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when San Jose Earthquakes or Nashville SC is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC +1.5 | 88% | 86% | 1.10 |
| San Jose Earthquakes +2 | 84% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Nashville SC +1.25 | 84% | 86% | 1.10 |
| San Jose Earthquakes +1.75 | 81% | 76% | @ 1.24 |
| Nashville SC +1 | 80% | 86% | 1.11 |
| San Jose Earthquakes +1.5 | 78% | 70% | @ 1.35 |
| Nashville SC +0.75 | 75% | 79% | 1.19 |
| San Jose Earthquakes +1.25 | 72% | 67% | @ 1.42 |
| Nashville SC +0.5 | 71% | 74% | 1.29 |
| San Jose Earthquakes +1 | 66% | 63% | @ 1.51 |
| Nashville SC +0.25 | 65% | 70% | 1.36 |
| San Jose Earthquakes +0.75 | 60% | 55% | @ 1.73 |
| Nashville SC 0 | 58% | 66% | 1.45 |
| San Jose Earthquakes +0.5 | 55% | 49% | @ 1.96 |
| Nashville SC -0.25 | 52% | 57% | 1.68 |
| San Jose Earthquakes +0.25 | 48% | 43% | @ 2.23 |
| Nashville SC -0.5 | 45% | 51% | 1.89 |
| San Jose Earthquakes 0 | 42% | 34% | @ 2.79 |
| Nashville SC -0.75 | 40% | 45% | 2.15 |
| San Jose Earthquakes -0.25 | 35% | 30% | @ 3.17 |
| Nashville SC -1 | 34% | 37% | 2.57 |
| San Jose Earthquakes -0.5 | 29% | 26% | @ 3.60 |
| Nashville SC -1.25 | 28% | 33% | 2.92 |
| San Jose Earthquakes -0.75 | 25% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
| Nashville SC -1.5 | 22% | 30% | 3.21 |
| San Jose Earthquakes -1 | 20% | 14% | @ 6.60 |
| Nashville SC -1.75 | 19% | 24% | 3.90 |
| San Jose Earthquakes -1.25 | 16% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Nashville SC -2 | 16% | 17% | 5.50 |
| San Jose Earthquakes -1.5 | 12% | 14% | 6.80 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?
Our pick is San Jose Earthquakes with a +1.5 start at odds 1.35, with a 70% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.
Who is the favourite for San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?
Our model makes a Nashville SC win the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.8 scoreline for San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC.
What is the predicted score for San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.16 for San Jose Earthquakes and 1.80 for Nashville SC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do San Jose Earthquakes and Nashville SC play?
Kick-off is Sunday 18 October 2026, 02:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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