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⚽ Bundesliga

Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Sunday 01 November 2026, 14:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Union Berlin face 1. FC Köln in the Bundesliga, kicking off Sunday 01 November 2026, 14:30 UTC. Recent form: Union Berlin have 1 win from their last 5, while 1. FC Köln have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Union Berlin won 2, 1. FC Köln won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Union Berlin win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.6-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Union Berlin or Draw @ 1.50

67%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.59 – 1.35 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.3%	7.1%	4.8%	2.2%	0.7%
1	8.4%	11.3%	7.7%	3.4%	1.2%
2	6.7%	9.0%	6.1%	2.7%	0.9%
3	3.5%	4.8%	3.2%	1.5%	0.5%
4	1.4%	1.9%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Union Berlin winDraw1. FC Köln win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Union Berlin or Draw at odds 1.50, with a 67% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Union Berlin win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points yes (59%).

📊 Key numbers

Union Berlin 39%Draw 30%1. FC Köln 31%

39%30%31%

39%

Union Berlin Win

56%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Union Berlin and 1. FC Köln. Wins shown from Union Berlin’s perspective: Union Berlin 2 · 1 drawn · 1. FC Köln 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-05-02	Union Berlin	2 – 2	1. FC Köln	D
2025-12-20	1. FC Köln	0 – 1	Union Berlin	W
2024-05-11	1. FC Köln	3 – 2	Union Berlin	L
2023-12-20	Union Berlin	2 – 0	1. FC Köln	W

📈 Recent form

Union Berlin

Union Berlin come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 11. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to SV Elversberg. Their most recent defeat was 0-7 at Bayern Munich.

DFC Augsburg 1-1 Union BerlinBundesliga
DUnion Berlin 0-0 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
WUnion Berlin 1-0 SV ElversbergBundesliga
LBayern Munich 7-0 Union BerlinBundesliga
LUnion Berlin 1-3 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga

1. FC Köln

1. FC Köln come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Borussia Mönchengladbach. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Eintracht Frankfurt.

D1. FC Köln 0-0 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga
LEintracht Frankfurt 1-0 1. FC KölnBundesliga
W1. FC Köln 2-1 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
DFC Viktoria Köln 2-2 1. FC KölnFriendlies Clubs
LHamburger SV 2-1 1. FC KölnBundesliga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Union Berlin at 39% to win and 1. FC Köln at 31%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes an Union Berlin win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Union Berlin Win	39%	38%	@ 2.50
1. FC Köln Win	31%	36%	@ 2.60
Draw	30%	26%	@ 3.60

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Union Berlin or Draw at 1.50 (67% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Union Berlin or Draw	67%	64%	@ 1.50
1. FC Köln or Draw	59%	62%	@ 1.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	79%	79%	@ 1.20
Under 3.5	66%	64%	@ 1.50
Over 2.5	56%	57%	@ 1.67
Under 2.5	44%	43%	@ 2.20
Over 3.5	34%	36%	@ 2.62
Under 1.5	21%	21%	@ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 59%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	59%	61%	@ 1.53
BTTS No	41%	39%	@ 2.38

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln?

Our model's pick is Union Berlin or Draw at odds 1.50, with a 67% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 64%.

Who is the favourite for Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln?

Our model makes an Union Berlin win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.4 scoreline for Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln.

What is the predicted score for Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.59 for Union Berlin and 1.35 for 1. FC Köln. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Union Berlin and 1. FC Köln play?

Kick-off is Sunday 01 November 2026, 14:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.