🏆 Competitions

Turkish Super Lig

Turkish Super Lig Betting Tips

Free daily Turkish Super Lig tips powered by AI analysis. Posted every morning across all our channels.

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Market view

Kick-offMatchHomeDrawAwayOver 2.5
Fri 16 Oct 17:00Çorum FK vs Rizespor47%26%27%55%
Sat 17 Oct 10:30Erzurumspor FK vs Eyüpspor58%26%17%47%
Sat 17 Oct 13:00Amed vs Konyaspor51%27%22%50%
Sat 17 Oct 13:00Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Galatasaray15%20%65%63%
Sat 17 Oct 16:00Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor71%18%11%60%
Sun 18 Oct 10:30Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor37%28%35%49%
Sun 18 Oct 13:00Kocaelispor vs Göztepe36%29%36%45%
Sun 18 Oct 16:00Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK55%24%20%59%

We don't publish picks for this competition. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market here, so this table shows the market's view instead. Probabilities from Bet365/Unibet odds with the bookmaker margin removed. Analytical view, not betting advice. UpcomingStarts soonLiveFinished

Market Probabilities

MatchSourceHome%Draw%Away%O1.5U3.5BTTS
Tip: click a match row to see all betting markets. Every probability comes from the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed.
Çorum FK vs Rizespor ▼
Turkey, Süper Lig
17:00		Market47%@1.9526%@3.5027%@3.4077%@1.2265%@1.4458%@1.62
Over 1.5
77%
@ 1.22
DC 1X
73%
@ 1.30
Under 3.5
65%
@ 1.44
BTTS Yes
58%
@ 1.62
Over 2.5
55%
@ 1.70
DC X2
53%
@ 1.80
Home Win
47%
@ 1.95
Under 2.5
45%
@ 2.10
BTTS No
42%
@ 2.20
Over 3.5
35%
@ 2.62
Away Win
27%
@ 3.40
Draw
26%
@ 3.50
Under 1.5
23%
@ 4.00
Erzurumspor FK vs Eyüpspor ▼
Turkey, Süper Lig
10:30		Market58%@1.6026%@3.6017%@5.5072%@1.3073%@1.2846%@2.00
DC 1X
83%
@ 1.14
Under 3.5
73%
@ 1.28
Over 1.5
72%
@ 1.30
Home Win
58%
@ 1.60
BTTS No
54%
@ 1.73
Under 2.5
53%
@ 1.80
Over 2.5
47%
@ 2.00
BTTS Yes
46%
@ 2.00
DC X2
42%
@ 2.30
Under 1.5
28%
@ 3.40
Over 3.5
27%
@ 3.50
Draw
26%
@ 3.60
Away Win
17%
@ 5.50
Amed vs Konyaspor ▼
Turkey, Süper Lig
13:00		Market51%@1.8027%@3.4022%@4.1073%@1.2871%@1.3351%@1.80
DC 1X
78%
@ 1.22
Over 1.5
73%
@ 1.28
Under 3.5
71%
@ 1.33
Home Win
51%
@ 1.80
BTTS Yes
51%
@ 1.80
Over 2.5
50%
@ 1.90
Under 2.5
50%
@ 1.90
DC X2
49%
@ 1.95
BTTS No
49%
@ 1.91
Over 3.5
29%
@ 3.25
Draw
27%
@ 3.40
Under 1.5
27%
@ 3.50
Away Win
22%
@ 4.10
Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Galatasaray ▼
Turkey, Süper Lig
13:00		Market15%@6.2520%@4.5065%@1.4083%@1.1459%@1.5756%@1.67
DC X2
85%
@ 1.11
Over 1.5
83%
@ 1.14
Away Win
65%
@ 1.40
Over 2.5
63%
@ 1.50
Under 3.5
59%
@ 1.57
BTTS Yes
56%
@ 1.67
BTTS No
44%
@ 2.10
Over 3.5
41%
@ 2.25
Under 2.5
38%
@ 2.50
DC 1X
35%
@ 2.62
Draw
20%
@ 4.50
Under 1.5
17%
@ 5.50
Home Win
15%
@ 6.25
Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor ▼
Turkey, Süper Lig
16:00		Market71%@1.2818%@5.0011%@8.5081%@1.1761%@1.5349%@1.91
DC 1X
89%
@ 1.07
Over 1.5
81%
@ 1.17
Home Win
71%
@ 1.28
Under 3.5
61%
@ 1.53
Over 2.5
60%
@ 1.57
BTTS No
51%
@ 1.80
BTTS Yes
49%
@ 1.91
Under 2.5
40%
@ 2.35
Over 3.5
39%
@ 2.38
DC X2
29%
@ 3.40
Under 1.5
19%
@ 5.00
Draw
18%
@ 5.00
Away Win
11%
@ 8.50
Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor ▼
Turkey, Süper Lig
10:30		Market37%@2.5028%@3.2535%@2.6073%@1.2872%@1.3054%@1.73
Over 1.5
73%
@ 1.28
Under 3.5
72%
@ 1.30
DC 1X
65%
@ 1.50
DC X2
63%
@ 1.50
BTTS Yes
54%
@ 1.73
Under 2.5
51%
@ 1.85
Over 2.5
49%
@ 1.95
BTTS No
46%
@ 2.00
Home Win
37%
@ 2.50
Away Win
35%
@ 2.60
Draw
28%
@ 3.25
Over 3.5
28%
@ 3.40
Under 1.5
27%
@ 3.50
Kocaelispor vs Göztepe ▼
Turkey, Süper Lig
13:00		Market36%@2.6029%@3.2036%@2.6071%@1.3375%@1.2551%@1.80
Under 3.5
75%
@ 1.25
Over 1.5
71%
@ 1.33
DC 1X
64%
@ 1.50
DC X2
64%
@ 1.50
Under 2.5
55%
@ 1.73
BTTS Yes
51%
@ 1.80
BTTS No
49%
@ 1.91
Over 2.5
45%
@ 2.08
Home Win
36%
@ 2.60
Away Win
36%
@ 2.60
Draw
29%
@ 3.20
Under 1.5
29%
@ 3.25
Over 3.5
25%
@ 3.75
Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK ▼
Turkey, Süper Lig
16:00		Market55%@1.6724%@3.8020%@4.5081%@1.1763%@1.5058%@1.62
Over 1.5
81%
@ 1.17
DC 1X
80%
@ 1.18
Under 3.5
63%
@ 1.50
Over 2.5
59%
@ 1.60
BTTS Yes
58%
@ 1.62
Home Win
55%
@ 1.67
DC X2
45%
@ 2.15
BTTS No
42%
@ 2.20
Under 2.5
41%
@ 2.30
Over 3.5
38%
@ 2.50
Draw
24%
@ 3.80
Away Win
20%
@ 4.50
Under 1.5
19%
@ 5.00
How to read this table: For every match we show the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. We do not label any market as value or safe: in our own testing our model did not beat the market, so we show the numbers from the market itself. Analytical view, not betting advice. Bet responsibly.

About the Turkish Super Lig

The Turkish Super Lig is Turkey’s top football division and one of the most watched leagues in the Middle East and North Africa. Home to Galatasaray, Fenerbahce, Besiktas and Trabzonspor, the league is known for its passionate supporters, intense derbies and unpredictable results.

For bettors, the Turkish Super Lig offers strong goals markets and significant home advantage. The Istanbul Big Three, Galatasaray, Fenerbahce and Besiktas, compete fiercely for the title and European places, while the passionate home atmospheres make the league one of the hardest for visiting sides across Europe.

Why we cover this competition
Every fixture gets a full analysis: model and market probabilities, a score heatmap and every betting market, updated every morning.

📈 Live competition numbers

Measured from our own settled results, not looked up.

2.91
goals per match on average
60.6%
of matches go over 2.5 goals
50.4%
of matches see both teams score
49.6%
home wins

Based on 127 settled matches since August 2025. Updated after every matchday.

Key Betting Facts: Turkish Super Lig

⚽
Istanbul derbies are explosive
Matches between Galatasaray, Fenerbahce and Besiktas are among the most intense in world football. Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals have strong hit rates in these fixtures historically.
🏠
Strong home advantage
Super Lig home sides win 50% of matches, one of the highest rates in European football. The intimidating atmosphere of Turkish grounds, particularly in Istanbul, makes away trips extremely difficult.
🎯
Galatasaray’s European experience edge
Galatasaray’s regular Champions League and Europa League appearances give them a clear edge in European competition. Their domestic form also benefits from the experience and quality this exposure brings.
🏆
Goals-rich football
The Super Lig averages 3.0 goals per game, making over 2.5 goals a strong and consistent market. The league’s attacking emphasis and sometimes open defensive play create high-scoring matches regularly.

New to sports betting? Read our complete guide to betting, our guide to understanding odds and our Asian handicap explainer.

How our analysis works

We use the same method for every competition, so you can check it against the results.

1
Three models, one probability
A gradient-boosting model trained on form, expected goals and home/away strength, a Poisson goals model and a Dixon-Coles correction for low scores are combined into one probability for every outcome.
2
Next to the market
Every market shows our model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed, so you can see where they agree and where they don’t.
3
Fixed rules for picks
Picks come from 11 competitions only, need enough data from this season, and stay within 10 percentage points of the market at odds up to 4.00. In our own testing, chasing the biggest gap with the market lost money, so we stopped doing that.
4
Every result published
Every pick is published before kick-off and settled on our statistics page, wins and losses.
Our commitment
We show our working, not just a pick: every analysis explains the numbers behind it. Analytical view, not betting advice.

Our Turkish Super Lig Betting Record

81.8% of our published tips won 11 settled tips in this competition
See all our published tips →
📅 13 Sep 2026✅ Win
Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Kasımpaşa
Pick: Over 1.5 @ 1.32
💡 Model gives 82.6% probability for this selection. At odds 1.32 this represents +9.1% expected value. Selected as main accumulator pick by our fixed rule system: same criteria every day, no manual selection.
📅 12 Sep 2026✅ Win
Alanyaspor vs Göztepe
Pick: Over 1.5 @ 1.40
💡 Model gives 83.4% probability for this selection. At odds 1.40 this represents +16.8% expected value. Selected as main accumulator pick by our fixed rule system: same criteria every day, no manual selection.
📅 07 Sep 2026✅ Win
Rizespor vs Alanyaspor
Pick: Alanyaspor Asian Handicap +1.5 @ 1.31
💡 Model gives 80.0% probability for this selection. At odds 1.31 this represents +4.8% expected value. Selected as main accumulator pick by our fixed rule system: same criteria every day, no manual selection.

All Turkish Super Lig match analyses →

Turkish Super Lig Standings

#ClubPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Galatasaray Galatasaray75111611+516
WLWWW
2Beşiktaş Beşiktaş7502168+815
WLWWW
3Amed Amed7421179+814
DWWDW
4Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe7412196+1313
WWDLW
5Trabzonspor Trabzonspor7412165+1113
WWLWL
6Alanyaspor Alanyaspor733186+212
DWDWL
7Kocaelispor Kocaelispor740386+212
LWLWW
8Çorum FK Çorum FK73131612+410
WLWWL
9Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa724188+010
LDWDD
10Rizespor Rizespor731379-210
LDWLW
11Başakşehir Başakşehir72231011-18
DWLLD
12Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK7223710-38
LLDWL
13Gençlerbirliği S.K. Gençlerbirliği S.K.7223715-88
DLLLD
14Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK7223311-88
DWLWD
15Konyaspor Konyaspor712448-45
DDWLL
16Samsunspor Samsunspor7115615-94
LLLLL
17Göztepe Göztepe60331115-43
DDLLL
18Eyüpspor Eyüpspor6105216-143
LLLWL
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

Top Scorers

#PlayerGoalsTeamAssists
1
O
G. Orban7
AmedAmed
2
2
S
Mohamed Salah7
TrabzonsporTrabzonspor
3
3
M
V. Muriqi6
FenerbahçeFenerbahçe
1
4
O
V. Osimhen6
GalatasarayGalatasaray
3
5
S
E. Shomurodov6
BaşakşehirBaşakşehir
0
6
V
D. Vlahović6
BeşiktaşBeşiktaş
0
7
K
A. Kyziridis4
Çorum FKÇorum FK
3
8
R
C. Ramírez4
Çorum FKÇorum FK
1
9
G
M. Greenwood4
FenerbahçeFenerbahçe
2
10
B
A. Benedyczak4
KasımpaşaKasımpaşa
1

Top Assists

#PlayerAssistsTeam
1
S
Mohamed Salah3
TrabzonsporTrabzonspor
2
O
V. Osimhen3
GalatasarayGalatasaray
3
K
A. Kyziridis3
Çorum FKÇorum FK
4
A
O. Aydın3
FenerbahçeFenerbahçe
5
K
İ. Kahveci3
FenerbahçeFenerbahçe
6
O
G. Orban2
AmedAmed
7
G
M. Greenwood2
FenerbahçeFenerbahçe
8
S
Gabriel Sara2
GalatasarayGalatasaray
9
M
E. Muçi2
TrabzonsporTrabzonspor
10
K
O. Kökçü2
BeşiktaşBeşiktaş

Frequently Asked Questions

How often do you post Turkish Super Lig tips?

We publish a full analysis for every Süper Lig fixture, every morning. Turkish football is covered every matchday.

Is the Super Lig good for betting?

Yes, the Super Lig has strong goals markets, significant home advantage and quality gaps between top and bottom clubs that create reliable betting patterns.

Are your Super Lig tips free?

Yes, completely free. Follow us on Telegram to get notified when we post Turkish football tips.

Which clubs dominate the Super Lig?

Galatasaray, Fenerbahce and Besiktas, the Istanbul Big Three, have dominated Turkish football for decades. Trabzonspor is the only provincial club to have challenged their dominance in recent times.

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