Sun 11 Oct2-1Finished

⚽ Süper Lig

Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Sunday 11 October 2026, 16:00 UTC.

Result: Beşiktaş 2-1 Kocaelispor

Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor finished 2-1. Beşiktaş won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Beşiktaş face Kocaelispor in the upcoming Süper Lig tips, kicking off Sunday 11 October 2026, 16:00 UTC. Recent form: Beşiktaş have 3 wins from their last 5, while Kocaelispor have 4 wins from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes a Beşiktaş win the most likely result at 74%, implying a 2.4-0.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
Beşiktaş win 74%
Draw 18%
Kocaelispor win 8%
Over 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 44%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 2.35 – 0.70 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 4.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
1 11.1% 7.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1%
2 13.1% 9.2% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1%
3 10.2% 7.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
4 6.0% 4.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Projected score: 2-0
Beşiktaş winDrawKocaelispor win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Beşiktaş win is the most likely result at 74%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 59%. Both teams to score: no at 56%.

📊 Key numbers

Beşiktaş 74%Draw 18%Kocaelispor 8%
74%18%
74%
Beşiktaş Win
59%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Beşiktaş

Beşiktaş come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Marseille. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Amed.

  • WBeşiktaş 2-1 KocaelisporSüper Lig
  • LAmed 3-2 BeşiktaşSüper Lig
  • WBeşiktaş 4-1 MarseilleUEFA Europa League
  • WBeşiktaş 3-0 Erzurumspor FKSüper Lig
  • WFenerbahçe 1-2 BeşiktaşSüper Lig
Kocaelispor

Kocaelispor come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Gaziantep FK. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Beşiktaş.

  • LBeşiktaş 2-1 KocaelisporSüper Lig
  • WKocaelispor 2-0 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
  • LGalatasaray 1-0 KocaelisporSüper Lig
  • WKocaelispor 1-0 SamsunsporSüper Lig
  • WKonyaspor 1-2 KocaelisporSüper Lig

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Beşiktaş
  • M. RashicaInjury
Kocaelispor
  • A. DijksteelMuscle Injury
  • M. HaidaraMuscle Injury
  • A. JovanovicKnee Injury
  • M. MaglicaInjury
  • B. PetkovicHamstring Injury
  • T. ZoukrouMuscle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Beşiktaş at 74% to win and Kocaelispor at 8%, with the draw at 18%. The bookmaker market makes a Beşiktaş win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Beşiktaş Win 74% @ 1.22
Draw 18% @ 5.00
Kocaelispor Win 8% @ 12.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Beşiktaş or Draw at 1.04 (92% market).

Selection Market % Odds
Beşiktaş or Draw 92% @ 1.04
Kocaelispor or Draw 26% @ 3.75

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 2.4-0.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Over 1.5 79% @ 1.18
Under 3.5 62% @ 1.50
Over 2.5 59% @ 1.60
Under 2.5 41% @ 2.30
Over 3.5 38% @ 2.50
Under 1.5 21% @ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams not to score at 56%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS No 56% @ 1.67
BTTS Yes 44% @ 2.10

📈 How the market moved

4%41%79%10/0610/0710/0810/0910/1010/11

Beşiktaş 75%Draw 17%Kocaelispor 8%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Beşiktaş win is the most likely result at 74%.

Who is the favourite for Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor?

Our model makes a Beşiktaş win the most likely result at 74%. It projects an expected 2.4-0.7 scoreline for Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor.

What is the predicted score for Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.35 for Beşiktaş and 0.70 for Kocaelispor. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Beşiktaş and Kocaelispor play?

Kick-off is Sunday 11 October 2026, 16:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.