Baltika

Wed 16 Sep2-3Finished

Zenit

⚽ Premier League

Baltika vs Zenit Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Baltika vs Zenit in the Premier League. Kick-off Wednesday 16 September 2026, 17:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Baltika 2-3 Zenit

Baltika vs Zenit finished 2-3. Zenit won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, a Zenit win at 1.85, landed.

Baltika face Zenit in the Premier League, kicking off Wednesday 16 September 2026, 17:45 UTC. Recent form: Baltika have 2 wins from their last 5, while Zenit have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Zenit won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Zenit win the most likely result at 63%, projecting a 0.6-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Baltika vs Zenit with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.44

65%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.56 – 1.67 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.8%	18.0%	15.0%	8.3%	3.5%
1	6.0%	10.1%	8.4%	4.7%	2.0%
2	1.7%	2.8%	2.4%	1.3%	0.5%
3	0.3%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%
4	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Projected score: 0-1

Baltika winDrawZenit win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Baltika vs Zenit comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.44, the selection our model is most confident in at 65%. On the match result, the model rates a Zenit win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 63%. Goals lean under 2.5 (62%).

📊 Key numbers

Baltika 11%Draw 26%Zenit 63%

11%26%63%

63%

Zenit Win

62%

Under 2.5 goals

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Baltika and Zenit. Wins shown from Baltika’s perspective: Zenit 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-16	Baltika	2 – 3	Zenit	L
2026-08-05	Zenit	1 – 0	Baltika	L

📈 Recent form

Baltika

Baltika come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Rodina Moskva. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Zenit.

LBaltika 2-3 ZenitPremier League
DFakel 2-2 BaltikaPremier League
LBaltika 0-1 LokomotivPremier League
DBaltika 0-0 Krylia SovetovCup
WRodina Moskva 0-3 BaltikaPremier League

Zenit

Zenit come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Dinamo Makhachkala. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to CSKA Moscow.

WBaltika 2-3 ZenitPremier League
WZenit 2-1 LokomotivPremier League
LZenit 1-2 CSKA MoscowPremier League
WZenit 3-0 Dinamo MakhachkalaCup
WFakel 0-1 ZenitPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 3 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Baltika

E. AndersonSuspended (cards)
A. FilinKnee Injury

Zenit

WendelNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Baltika at 11% to win and Zenit at 63%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Zenit win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Zenit Win	63%	50%	@ 1.93
Draw	26%	28%	@ 3.49
Baltika Win	11%	23%	@ 4.24

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.6-1.7 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 62% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	81%	79%	@ 1.21
Over 1.5	65%	66%	@ 1.44
Under 2.5	62%	60%	@ 1.61
Over 2.5	38%	40%	@ 2.37
Under 1.5	35%	34%	@ 2.85
Over 3.5	19%	21%	@ 4.53

📈 How the market moved

Baltika 23%Draw 28%Zenit 50%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Baltika vs Zenit?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 65% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 66%.

Who is the favourite for Baltika vs Zenit?

Our model makes a Zenit win the most likely result at 63%. It projects an expected 0.6-1.7 scoreline for Baltika vs Zenit.

What is the predicted score for Baltika vs Zenit?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.56 for Baltika and 1.67 for Zenit. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Baltika and Zenit play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 16 September 2026, 17:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.