NorwayNorway
Thu 24 Sep18:45Upcoming
DenmarkDenmark

⚽ UEFA Nations League

Norway vs Denmark Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Norway vs Denmark in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off Thursday 24 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Norway face Denmark in the UEFA Nations League, kicking off Thursday 24 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. The bookmaker market makes a Norway win the most likely result at 54%, implying a 1.8-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Norway vs Denmark with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
Norway win 54%
Draw 24%
Denmark win 22%
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 56%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.80 – 1.05 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 5.8% 6.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.4% 10.9% 5.7% 2.0% 0.5%
2 9.4% 9.8% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5%
3 5.6% 5.9% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
4 2.5% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
Norway winDrawDenmark win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Norway vs Denmark. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Norway win is the most likely result at 54%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 55%. Both teams to score: yes at 56%.

📊 Key numbers

Norway 54%Draw 24%Denmark 22%
54%24%22%
54%
Norway Win
55%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Norway

Norway come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 4, scoring 5 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Sweden. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Netherlands.

  • DMorocco 1-1 NorwayFriendlies
  • WNorway 3-1 SwedenFriendlies
  • DNorway 0-0 SwitzerlandFriendlies
  • LNetherlands 2-1 NorwayFriendlies
Denmark

Denmark come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 3, scoring 6 and conceding 1. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to FYR Macedonia.

  • WDenmark 2-1 UkraineFriendlies
  • DCongo DR 0-0 DenmarkFriendlies
  • WDenmark 4-0 FYR MacedoniaWorld Cup – Qualificat

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Norway at 54% to win and Denmark at 22%, with the draw at 24%. The bookmaker market makes a Norway win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Norway Win 54% @ 1.75
Draw 24% @ 3.90
Denmark Win 22% @ 4.33

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Norway or Draw at 1.20 (78% market).

Selection Market % Odds
Norway or Draw 78% @ 1.20
Denmark or Draw 46% @ 2.00

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.8-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Over 1.5 77% @ 1.22
Under 3.5 66% @ 1.40
Over 2.5 55% @ 1.73
Under 2.5 45% @ 2.08
Over 3.5 34% @ 2.75
Under 1.5 23% @ 4.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 56% @ 1.67
BTTS No 44% @ 2.10

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Norway vs Denmark?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Norway win is the most likely result at 54%.

Who is the favourite for Norway vs Denmark?

Our model makes a Norway win the most likely result at 54%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.1 scoreline for Norway vs Denmark.

What is the predicted score for Norway vs Denmark?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.80 for Norway and 1.05 for Denmark. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Norway and Denmark play?

Kick-off is Thursday 24 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.