Lokomotiv

Wed 16 Sep1-1Finished

Krylia Sovetov

⚽ Premier League

Lokomotiv vs Krylia Sovetov Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Lokomotiv vs Krylia Sovetov in the Premier League. Kick-off Wednesday 16 September 2026, 17:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Lokomotiv 1-1 Krylia Sovetov

Lokomotiv vs Krylia Sovetov finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.41, landed.

Lokomotiv face Krylia Sovetov in the Premier League, kicking off Wednesday 16 September 2026, 17:45 UTC. Recent form: Lokomotiv have 1 win from their last 5, while Krylia Sovetov have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Krylia Sovetov won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Krylia Sovetov win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 0.9-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Lokomotiv vs Krylia Sovetov with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.41

87%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.86 – 1.06 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.7%	15.5%	8.2%	2.9%	0.8%
1	12.6%	13.4%	7.1%	2.5%	0.7%
2	5.4%	5.7%	3.0%	1.1%	0.3%
3	1.6%	1.6%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.3%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 0-1

Lokomotiv winDrawKrylia Sovetov win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Lokomotiv vs Krylia Sovetov comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.41, the selection our model is most confident in at 87%. On the match result, the model rates a Krylia Sovetov win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean under 2.5 (70%).

📊 Key numbers

Lokomotiv 28%Draw 35%Krylia Sovetov 38%

28%35%38%

38%

Krylia Sovetov Win

70%

Under 2.5 goals

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Lokomotiv and Krylia Sovetov. Wins shown from Lokomotiv’s perspective: 1 drawn · Krylia Sovetov 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-16	Lokomotiv	1 – 1	Krylia Sovetov	D
2026-04-25	Krylia Sovetov	2 – 0	Lokomotiv	L

📈 Recent form

Lokomotiv

Lokomotiv come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Baltika. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Zenit.

DLokomotiv 1-1 Krylia SovetovPremier League
LZenit 2-1 LokomotivPremier League
WBaltika 0-1 LokomotivPremier League
DAkron 0-0 LokomotivCup
LLokomotiv 0-1 DynamoPremier League

Krylia Sovetov

Krylia Sovetov come into this game with 1 win and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Rodina Moskva.

DLokomotiv 1-1 Krylia SovetovPremier League
WKrylia Sovetov 2-1 Rodina MoskvaPremier League
DKrylia Sovetov 2-2 FC KrasnodarPremier League
DBaltika 0-0 Krylia SovetovCup
DAkhmat 3-3 Krylia SovetovPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 2 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Lokomotiv

Lucas FassonNot in squad
G. NyamsiNot in squad

Krylia Sovetov

No absentees reported.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Lokomotiv at 28% to win and Krylia Sovetov at 38%, with the draw at 35%. Our model makes a Krylia Sovetov win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Krylia Sovetov Win	38%	25%	@ 3.89
Draw	35%	25%	@ 3.87
Lokomotiv Win	28%	51%	@ 1.90

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.9-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 70% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	87%	68%	@ 1.41
Under 2.5	70%	46%	@ 2.08
Over 1.5	57%	77%	@ 1.24
Under 1.5	43%	23%	@ 4.09
Over 2.5	30%	54%	@ 1.78
Over 3.5	13%	32%	@ 2.94

📈 How the market moved

Lokomotiv 51%Draw 25%Krylia Sovetov 25%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lokomotiv vs Krylia Sovetov?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.41, with a 87% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 68%.

Who is the favourite for Lokomotiv vs Krylia Sovetov?

Our model makes a Krylia Sovetov win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 0.9-1.1 scoreline for Lokomotiv vs Krylia Sovetov.

What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv vs Krylia Sovetov?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.86 for Lokomotiv and 1.06 for Krylia Sovetov. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Lokomotiv and Krylia Sovetov play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 16 September 2026, 17:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.