MetzMetz
Sat 19 Sep2-2Finished
Saint EtienneSaint Etienne

⚽ Ligue 2

Metz vs Saint Etienne Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Metz vs Saint Etienne in the Ligue 2. Kick-off Saturday 19 September 2026, 18:00 UTC.

Result: Metz 2-2 Saint Etienne

Metz vs Saint Etienne finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Metz face Saint Etienne in the Ligue 2, kicking off Saturday 19 September 2026, 18:00 UTC. Recent form: Metz have 2 wins from their last 5, while Saint Etienne have 4 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Saint Etienne won 1, 1 drawn. The bookmaker market makes a Saint Etienne win the most likely result at 47%, implying a 1.2-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Metz vs Saint Etienne with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
Metz win 26%
Draw 27%
Saint Etienne win 47%
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 58%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.20 – 1.65 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 5.8% 9.5% 7.9% 4.3% 1.8%
1 6.9% 11.5% 9.4% 5.2% 2.1%
2 4.2% 6.9% 5.7% 3.1% 1.3%
3 1.7% 2.7% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
Projected score: 1-1
Metz winDrawSaint Etienne win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Metz vs Saint Etienne. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Saint Etienne win is the most likely result at 47%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 55%. Both teams to score: yes at 58%.

📊 Key numbers

Metz 26%Draw 27%Saint Etienne 47%
26%27%47%
47%
Saint Etienne Win
55%
Over 2.5 goals
58%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Metz and Saint Etienne. Wins shown from Metz’s perspective: 1 drawn · Saint Etienne 1.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-09-19 Metz 2 – 2 Saint Etienne D
2024-05-30 Saint Etienne 2 – 1 Metz L

📈 Recent form

Metz

Metz come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Rodez. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at RED Star FC 93.

  • DMetz 2-2 Saint EtienneLigue 2
  • LRED Star FC 93 1-0 MetzLigue 2
  • WMetz 4-1 RodezLigue 2
  • DAnnecy 1-1 MetzLigue 2
  • DMetz 1-1 LavalLigue 2
Saint Etienne

Saint Etienne come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Grenoble. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Dunkerque.

  • DMetz 2-2 Saint EtienneLigue 2
  • LDunkerque 2-1 Saint EtienneLigue 2
  • WSaint Etienne 3-1 MontpellierLigue 2
  • WDijon 2-3 Saint EtienneLigue 2
  • WSaint Etienne 4-0 GrenobleLigue 2

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Metz at 26% to win and Saint Etienne at 47%, with the draw at 27%. The bookmaker market makes a Saint Etienne win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Saint Etienne Win 47% @ 1.90
Draw 27% @ 3.30
Metz Win 26% @ 3.40

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Saint Etienne or Draw at 1.28 (74% market).

Selection Market % Odds
Saint Etienne or Draw 74% @ 1.28
Metz or Draw 53% @ 1.80

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.2-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Over 1.5 77% @ 1.22
Under 3.5 66% @ 1.40
Over 2.5 55% @ 1.73
Under 2.5 45% @ 2.08
Over 3.5 34% @ 2.75
Under 1.5 23% @ 4.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 58%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 58% @ 1.62
BTTS No 42% @ 2.20

📈 How the market moved

22%37%51%09/1509/1609/1709/1809/19

Metz 26%Draw 26%Saint Etienne 47%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Metz vs Saint Etienne?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Saint Etienne win is the most likely result at 47%.

Who is the favourite for Metz vs Saint Etienne?

Our model makes a Saint Etienne win the most likely result at 47%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.6 scoreline for Metz vs Saint Etienne.

What is the predicted score for Metz vs Saint Etienne?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.20 for Metz and 1.65 for Saint Etienne. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Metz and Saint Etienne play?

Kick-off is Saturday 19 September 2026, 18:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.