Sun 20 Sep1-0Finished

⚽ Süper Lig

Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Sunday 20 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Erzurumspor FK 1-0 Samsunspor

Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor finished 1-0. Erzurumspor FK won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Erzurumspor FK face Samsunspor in the upcoming Süper Lig tips, kicking off Sunday 20 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Erzurumspor FK have 1 win from their last 5, while Samsunspor have 1 win from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes an Erzurumspor FK win the most likely result at 36%, implying a 1.2-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Erzurumspor FK win	36%
Draw	29%
Samsunspor win	36%
Over 2.5 goals	46%
Both teams to score	52%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.25 – 1.25 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.2%	10.3%	6.4%	2.7%	0.8%
1	10.3%	12.8%	8.0%	3.3%	1.0%
2	6.4%	8.0%	5.0%	2.1%	0.7%
3	2.7%	3.3%	2.1%	0.9%	0.3%
4	0.8%	1.0%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Erzurumspor FK winDrawSamsunspor win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Erzurumspor FK win is the most likely result at 36%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 54%. Both teams to score: yes at 52%.

📊 Key numbers

Erzurumspor FK 36%Draw 29%Samsunspor 36%

36%29%36%

36%

Erzurumspor FK Win

54%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Erzurumspor FK

Erzurumspor FK come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Samsunspor. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Beşiktaş.

WErzurumspor FK 1-0 SamsunsporSüper Lig
LBeşiktaş 3-0 Erzurumspor FKSüper Lig
WErzurumspor FK 1-0 KonyasporSüper Lig
DGençlerbirliği 1-1 Erzurumspor FKSüper Lig
LErzurumspor FK 0-4 GalatasaraySüper Lig

Samsunspor

Samsunspor come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Rizespor. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Erzurumspor FK.

LErzurumspor FK 1-0 SamsunsporSüper Lig
LSamsunspor 1-5 Çorum FKSüper Lig
LKocaelispor 1-0 SamsunsporSüper Lig
LSamsunspor 0-2 FenerbahçeSüper Lig
WRizespor 0-2 SamsunsporSüper Lig

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Erzurumspor FK

No absentees reported.

Samsunspor

J. AssoumouNot in squad
F. KayaInjury
O. OhlenschlaegerNot in squad
A. SousaNot in squad
E. TavsanNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Erzurumspor FK at 36% to win and Samsunspor at 36%, with the draw at 29%. The bookmaker market makes an Erzurumspor FK win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Erzurumspor FK Win	35%	@ 2.62
Samsunspor Win	35%	@ 2.62
Draw	29%	@ 3.20

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Erzurumspor FK or Draw at 1.44 (64% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Erzurumspor FK or Draw	65%	@ 1.44
Samsunspor or Draw	65%	@ 1.44

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.2-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	73%	@ 1.28
Over 1.5	72%	@ 1.30
Under 2.5	54%	@ 1.75
Over 2.5	46%	@ 2.05
Under 1.5	28%	@ 3.40
Over 3.5	27%	@ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	51%	@ 1.80
BTTS No	49%	@ 1.91

📈 How the market moved

Erzurumspor FK 36%Draw 29%Samsunspor 35%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Erzurumspor FK win is the most likely result at 36%.

Who is the favourite for Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor?

Our model makes an Erzurumspor FK win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.2 scoreline for Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor.

What is the predicted score for Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.25 for Erzurumspor FK and 1.25 for Samsunspor. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Erzurumspor FK and Samsunspor play?

Kick-off is Sunday 20 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.