Philadelphia Union

Sat 26 Sep23:30Upcoming

Orlando City SC

⚽ Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 26 September 2026, 23:30 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Philadelphia Union face Orlando City SC in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Saturday 26 September 2026, 23:30 UTC. Recent form: Philadelphia Union have 5 wins from their last 5, while Orlando City SC have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Orlando City SC won 4, 1 drawn. The bookmaker market makes a Philadelphia Union win the most likely result at 62%, implying a 2.5-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Philadelphia Union win	62%
Draw	21%
Orlando City SC win	18%
Over 2.5 goals	72%
Both teams to score	64%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 2.45 – 1.30 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.4%	3.1%	2.0%	0.9%	0.3%
1	5.8%	7.5%	4.9%	2.1%	0.7%
2	7.1%	9.2%	6.0%	2.6%	0.8%
3	5.8%	7.5%	4.9%	2.1%	0.7%
4	3.5%	4.6%	3.0%	1.3%	0.4%

Projected score: 2-1

Philadelphia Union winDrawOrlando City SC win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Philadelphia Union win is the most likely result at 62%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 72%. Both teams to score: yes at 64%.

📊 Key numbers

Philadelphia Union 62%Draw 21%Orlando City SC 18%

62%21%18%

62%

Philadelphia Union Win

72%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Philadelphia Union and Orlando City SC. Wins shown from Philadelphia Union’s perspective: 1 drawn · Orlando City SC 4.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-05-13	Orlando City SC	4 – 3	Philadelphia Union	L
2024-10-02	Orlando City SC	2 – 1	Philadelphia Union	L
2024-05-11	Philadelphia Union	2 – 3	Orlando City SC	L
2023-06-21	Orlando City SC	2 – 2	Philadelphia Union	D
2023-03-25	Philadelphia Union	1 – 2	Orlando City SC	L

📈 Recent form

Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 16 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at San Diego. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WSan Diego 0-5 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
WPhiladelphia Union 5-0 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
WPhiladelphia Union 2-0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
WNew York Red Bulls 1-3 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
DAustin 1-1 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer

Orlando City SC

Orlando City SC come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Toronto FC. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 2-4 at New England Revolution.

LNew England Revolution 4-2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
LColumbus Crew 2-1 Orlando City SCUS Open Cup
WOrlando City SC 3-0 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
WAtlanta United FC 2-3 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
WOrlando City SC 1-0 San DiegoMajor League Soccer

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Philadelphia Union at 62% to win and Orlando City SC at 18%, with the draw at 21%. The bookmaker market makes a Philadelphia Union win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Philadelphia Union Win	62%	@ 1.50
Draw	21%	@ 4.50
Orlando City SC Win	18%	@ 5.25

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Philadelphia Union or Draw at 1.17 (82% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Philadelphia Union or Draw	82%	@ 1.17
Orlando City SC or Draw	38%	@ 2.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 2.5-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 72% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	88%	@ 1.08
Over 2.5	72%	@ 1.33
Over 3.5	51%	@ 1.80
Under 3.5	49%	@ 1.91
Under 2.5	28%	@ 3.40
Under 1.5	12%	@ 8.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 64%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	65%	@ 1.44
BTTS No	35%	@ 2.62

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Philadelphia Union win is the most likely result at 62%.

Who is the favourite for Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC?

Our model makes a Philadelphia Union win the most likely result at 62%. It projects an expected 2.5-1.3 scoreline for Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC.

What is the predicted score for Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.45 for Philadelphia Union and 1.30 for Orlando City SC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Philadelphia Union and Orlando City SC play?

Kick-off is Saturday 26 September 2026, 23:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.