New York Red Bulls
St. Louis City⚽ Major League Soccer
New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 26 September 2026, 23:30 UTC.
New York Red Bulls face St. Louis City in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Saturday 26 September 2026, 23:30 UTC. Recent form: New York Red Bulls have 2 wins from their last 5, while St. Louis City have 3 wins from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes a St. Louis City win the most likely result at 39%, implying a 1.7-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
📈 Market view
We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.
| Outcome | Market % |
|---|---|
| New York Red Bulls win | 37% |
| Draw | 24% |
| St. Louis City win | 39% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| Both teams to score | 69% |
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| 2 | 4.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| 3 | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
🧠 Market summary
This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City. Based on the bookmaker odds, a St. Louis City win is the most likely result at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 67%. Both teams to score: yes at 69%.
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
New York Red Bulls come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at New York City FC. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Los Angeles FC.
- WNew York City FC 0-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- WColumbus Crew 0-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- LLos Angeles FC 2-0 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- DSeattle Sounders 0-0 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- LNew York Red Bulls 1-3 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
St. Louis City come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 15 and conceding 8. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Colorado Rapids. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WColorado Rapids 0-3 St. Louis CityUS Open Cup
- WSt. Louis City 4-2 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
- DPortland Timbers 2-2 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
- WVancouver Whitecaps 1-3 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
- DSt. Louis City 3-3 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices New York Red Bulls at 37% to win and St. Louis City at 39%, with the draw at 24%. The bookmaker market makes a St. Louis City win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| St. Louis City Win | 39% | @ 2.40 |
| New York Red Bulls Win | 37% | @ 2.50 |
| Draw | 24% | @ 3.80 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is St. Louis City or Draw at 1.50 (63% market).
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| St. Louis City or Draw | 63% | @ 1.50 |
| New York Red Bulls or Draw | 61% | @ 1.53 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.7-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 67% probability.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 85% | @ 1.11 |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | @ 1.40 |
| Under 3.5 | 54% | @ 1.73 |
| Over 3.5 | 46% | @ 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | @ 2.88 |
| Under 1.5 | 15% | @ 6.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 69%.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 69% | @ 1.36 |
| BTTS No | 31% | @ 3.00 |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City?
We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a St. Louis City win is the most likely result at 39%.
Who is the favourite for New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City?
Our model makes a St. Louis City win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.8 scoreline for New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City.
What is the predicted score for New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City?
The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.70 for New York Red Bulls and 1.75 for St. Louis City. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do New York Red Bulls and St. Louis City play?
Kick-off is Saturday 26 September 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
