AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC
Sun 20 Sep1-1Finished
ValladolidValladolid

⚽ Segunda División

AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid in the Segunda División. Kick-off Sunday 20 September 2026, 14:15 UTC.

Result: AD Ceuta FC 1-1 Valladolid

AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

AD Ceuta FC face Valladolid in the Segunda División, kicking off Sunday 20 September 2026, 14:15 UTC. Recent form: AD Ceuta FC have 0 wins from their last 5, while Valladolid have 1 win from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes a Valladolid win the most likely result at 36%, implying a 1.2-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
AD Ceuta FC win 35%
Draw 29%
Valladolid win 36%
Over 2.5 goals 47%
Both teams to score 54%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.25 – 1.30 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 7.8% 10.2% 6.6% 2.9% 0.9%
1 9.8% 12.7% 8.2% 3.6% 1.2%
2 6.1% 7.9% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7%
3 2.5% 3.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
AD Ceuta FC winDrawValladolid win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Valladolid win is the most likely result at 36%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 53%. Both teams to score: yes at 54%.

📊 Key numbers

AD Ceuta FC 35%Draw 29%Valladolid 36%
35%29%36%
36%
Valladolid Win
53%
Under 2.5 goals
54%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

AD Ceuta FC

AD Ceuta FC come into this game with 0 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 14. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Burgos.

  • DAD Ceuta FC 1-1 ValladolidSegunda División
  • LBurgos 3-1 AD Ceuta FCSegunda División
  • LMallorca 3-0 AD Ceuta FCSegunda División
  • LAD Ceuta FC 0-2 Las PalmasSegunda División
  • LFC Andorra 5-1 AD Ceuta FCSegunda División
Valladolid

Valladolid come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to FC Andorra. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Oviedo.

  • DAD Ceuta FC 1-1 ValladolidSegunda División
  • LValladolid 0-3 OviedoSegunda División
  • WValladolid 1-0 FC AndorraSegunda División
  • DCadiz 1-1 ValladolidSegunda División
  • LEibar 1-0 ValladolidSegunda División

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices AD Ceuta FC at 35% to win and Valladolid at 36%, with the draw at 29%. The bookmaker market makes a Valladolid win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Valladolid Win 36% @ 2.60
AD Ceuta FC Win 35% @ 2.70
Draw 29% @ 3.25

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Valladolid or Draw at 1.50 (65% market).

Selection Market % Odds
Valladolid or Draw 65% @ 1.50
AD Ceuta FC or Draw 64% @ 1.40

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.2-1.3 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Over 1.5 72% @ 1.30
Under 3.5 72% @ 1.30
Under 2.5 53% @ 1.80
Over 2.5 47% @ 2.00
Under 1.5 28% @ 3.40
Over 3.5 28% @ 3.40

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 54% @ 1.73
BTTS No 46% @ 2.00

📈 How the market moved

24%33%43%09/1509/1609/1709/1809/1909/20

AD Ceuta FC 34%Draw 29%Valladolid 37%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Valladolid win is the most likely result at 36%.

Who is the favourite for AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid?

Our model makes a Valladolid win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.3 scoreline for AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid.

What is the predicted score for AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.25 for AD Ceuta FC and 1.30 for Valladolid. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do AD Ceuta FC and Valladolid play?

Kick-off is Sunday 20 September 2026, 14:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.