Ascoli

Sat 19 Sep3-1Finished

Avellino

⚽ Serie B

Ascoli vs Avellino Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Ascoli vs Avellino in the Serie B. Kick-off Saturday 19 September 2026, 17:30 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Ascoli 3-1 Avellino

Ascoli vs Avellino finished 3-1. Ascoli won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Ascoli face Avellino in the Serie B, kicking off Saturday 19 September 2026, 17:30 UTC. Recent form: Ascoli have 2 wins from their last 4, while Avellino have 2 wins from their last 4. The bookmaker market makes an Ascoli win the most likely result at 45%, implying a 1.4-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Ascoli vs Avellino with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Ascoli win	45%
Draw	28%
Avellino win	27%
Over 2.5 goals	47%
Both teams to score	53%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.45 – 1.10 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.8%	8.6%	4.7%	1.7%	0.5%
1	11.3%	12.5%	6.8%	2.5%	0.7%
2	8.2%	9.0%	5.0%	1.8%	0.5%
3	4.0%	4.4%	2.4%	0.9%	0.2%
4	1.4%	1.6%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Ascoli winDrawAvellino win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Ascoli vs Avellino. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Ascoli win is the most likely result at 45%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 53%. Both teams to score: yes at 53%.

📊 Key numbers

Ascoli 45%Draw 28%Avellino 27%

45%28%27%

45%

Ascoli Win

53%

Under 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Ascoli

Ascoli come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Avellino. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Padova.

WAscoli 3-1 AvellinoSerie B
LPadova 1-0 AscoliSerie B
WAscoli 1-0 BeneventoSerie B
DAscoli 1-1 CarrareseSerie B
WHellas Verona 1-2 AscoliSerie B

Avellino

Avellino come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Vicenza Virtus. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Ascoli.

LAscoli 3-1 AvellinoSerie B
DAvellino 1-1 PalermoSerie B
WModena 0-1 AvellinoSerie B
WAvellino 3-0 Vicenza VirtusSerie B
LAvellino 1-2 ArezzoSerie B

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Ascoli at 45% to win and Avellino at 27%, with the draw at 28%. The bookmaker market makes an Ascoli win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Ascoli Win	45%	@ 2.10
Draw	28%	@ 3.30
Avellino Win	27%	@ 3.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Ascoli or Draw at 1.30 (73% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Ascoli or Draw	73%	@ 1.30
Avellino or Draw	55%	@ 1.67

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	73%	@ 1.28
Under 3.5	72%	@ 1.30
Under 2.5	53%	@ 1.80
Over 2.5	47%	@ 2.00
Over 3.5	28%	@ 3.40
Under 1.5	27%	@ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 53%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	53%	@ 1.75
BTTS No	47%	@ 2.00

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ascoli vs Avellino?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Ascoli win is the most likely result at 45%.

Who is the favourite for Ascoli vs Avellino?

Our model makes an Ascoli win the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline for Ascoli vs Avellino.

What is the predicted score for Ascoli vs Avellino?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.45 for Ascoli and 1.10 for Avellino. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Ascoli and Avellino play?

Kick-off is Saturday 19 September 2026, 17:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.