Sun 27 Sep2-0Finished

⚽ Major League Soccer

Nashville SC vs Toronto FC Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Nashville SC vs Toronto FC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 27 September 2026, 00:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Nashville SC 2-0 Toronto FC

Nashville SC vs Toronto FC finished 2-0. Nashville SC won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.62, landed.

Nashville SC face Toronto FC in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Sunday 27 September 2026, 00:30 UTC. Recent form: Nashville SC have 2 wins from their last 5, while Toronto FC have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Nashville SC won 3, Toronto FC won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Nashville SC win the most likely result at 59%, projecting a 2.0-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Nashville SC vs Toronto FC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Toronto FC +2 @ 1.46

74%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.04 – 0.97 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.9%	4.8%	2.3%	0.7%	0.2%
1	10.1%	9.8%	4.7%	1.5%	0.4%
2	10.3%	9.9%	4.8%	1.6%	0.4%
3	7.0%	6.8%	3.3%	1.1%	0.3%
4	3.6%	3.5%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 2-0

Nashville SC winDrawToronto FC win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Nashville SC vs Toronto FC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Toronto FC with a +2 start at odds 1.46, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Nashville SC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 59%. Goals lean over 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points yes (54%).

📊 Key numbers

Nashville SC 59%Draw 25%Toronto FC 16%

59%25%16%

59%

Nashville SC Win

58%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Nashville SC and Toronto FC. Wins shown from Nashville SC’s perspective: Nashville SC 3 · 1 drawn · Toronto FC 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-27	Nashville SC	2 – 0	Toronto FC	W
2026-09-09	Toronto FC	2 – 1	Nashville SC	L
2024-06-19	Toronto FC	1 – 2	Nashville SC	W
2024-05-16	Nashville SC	2 – 0	Toronto FC	W
2023-06-10	Toronto FC	1 – 1	Nashville SC	D

📈 Recent form

Nashville SC

Nashville SC come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Chicago Fire. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Toronto FC.

WNashville SC 2-0 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
WNashville SC 3-0 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
DInter Miami 2-2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
LToronto FC 2-1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
DNew York City FC 0-0 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer

Toronto FC

Toronto FC come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Nashville SC. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Nashville SC.

LNashville SC 2-0 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
LSt. Louis City 3-1 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
LOrlando City SC 3-0 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
WToronto FC 2-1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
DToronto FC 4-4 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 12 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Nashville SC

W. MadrigalLower-Body Injury
A. QasemInternational duty
B. SchwakeInternational duty
X. ValdezInternational duty
P. YazbekInternational duty

Toronto FC

R. ChukwuInternational duty
M. CimermancicInternational duty
B. KuscevicInternational duty
R. LaryeaInternational duty
D. MihailovicMuscle Injury
N. PalacioLower-Body Injury
W. ZimmermanSuspended (cards)

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Nashville SC at 59% to win and Toronto FC at 16%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Nashville SC win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Nashville SC Win	59%	69%	@ 1.36
Draw	25%	19%	@ 5.00
Toronto FC Win	16%	12%	@ 8.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Nashville SC or Draw at 1.10 (83% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Nashville SC or Draw	83%	88%	@ 1.10
Toronto FC or Draw	40%	31%	@ 2.75

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	80%	84%	@ 1.12
Under 3.5	64%	56%	@ 1.67
Over 2.5	58%	65%	@ 1.44
Under 2.5	42%	35%	@ 2.70
Over 3.5	36%	44%	@ 2.10
Under 1.5	20%	16%	@ 6.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	54%	58%	@ 1.62
BTTS No	46%	42%	@ 2.20

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Nashville SC or Toronto FC is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Nashville SC +0.5	83%	86%	1.11
Nashville SC +0.25	77%	84%	1.12
Toronto FC +2	74%	65%	@ 1.46
Nashville SC 0	72%	83%	1.14
Toronto FC +1.75	69%	59%	@ 1.64
Nashville SC -0.25	66%	75%	1.27
Toronto FC +1.5	64%	53%	@ 1.82
Nashville SC -0.5	61%	–	1.38
Toronto FC +1.25	58%	47%	@ 2.06
Nashville SC -0.75	54%	66%	1.46
Toronto FC +1	52%	39%	@ 2.44
Nashville SC -1	48%	61%	1.57
Toronto FC +0.75	46%	34%	@ 2.77
Nashville SC -1.25	42%	53%	1.80
Nashville SC -1.5	36%	47%	2.03
Toronto FC +0.25	34%	25%	@ 3.73
Nashville SC -1.75	31%	41%	2.31
Toronto FC 0	28%	17%	@ 5.75
Nashville SC -2	26%	35%	2.76
Toronto FC -0.25	23%	16%	@ 6.00
Toronto FC -0.5	17%	14%	@ 6.60

📈 How the market moved

Nashville SC 70%Draw 18%Toronto FC 12%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nashville SC vs Toronto FC?

Our model's main pick is Toronto FC with a +2 start at odds 1.46, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 65%.

Who is the favourite for Nashville SC vs Toronto FC?

Our model makes a Nashville SC win the most likely result at 59%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.0 scoreline for Nashville SC vs Toronto FC.

What is the predicted score for Nashville SC vs Toronto FC?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.04 for Nashville SC and 0.97 for Toronto FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Nashville SC and Toronto FC play?

Kick-off is Sunday 27 September 2026, 00:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.