Wed 7 Oct22:30Upcoming

⚽ Brazilian Série A

RB Bragantino vs Mirassol Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for RB Bragantino vs Mirassol in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Wednesday 07 October 2026, 22:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

RB Bragantino face Mirassol in the Brazilian Série A, kicking off Wednesday 07 October 2026, 22:30 UTC. Recent form: RB Bragantino have no wins from their last 5, while Mirassol have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, RB Bragantino won 1, Mirassol won 1, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a RB Bragantino win the most likely result at 52%, projecting a 1.7-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for RB Bragantino vs Mirassol with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Mirassol Asian Handicap +1.5 @ 1.34

71%Bookmaker odds imply 75%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.67 – 0.98 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.1%	6.9%	3.4%	1.1%	0.3%
1	11.8%	11.6%	5.7%	1.9%	0.5%
2	9.9%	9.7%	4.7%	1.5%	0.4%
3	5.5%	5.4%	2.6%	0.9%	0.2%
4	2.3%	2.2%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

RB Bragantino winDrawMirassol win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for RB Bragantino vs Mirassol comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Mirassol Asian Handicap with a +1.5 start at odds 1.34, with a 71% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a RB Bragantino win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 52%. Goals lean under 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (51%).

📊 Key numbers

RB Bragantino 52%Draw 28%Mirassol 20%

52%28%20%

52%

RB Bragantino Win

51%

Under 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between RB Bragantino and Mirassol. Wins shown from RB Bragantino’s perspective: RB Bragantino 1 · 3 drawn · Mirassol 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-05-13	Mirassol	2 – 1	RB Bragantino	L
2026-04-23	RB Bragantino	1 – 1	Mirassol	D
2026-04-05	Mirassol	0 – 1	RB Bragantino	W
2026-01-21	Mirassol	0 – 0	RB Bragantino	D
2025-10-01	Mirassol	1 – 1	RB Bragantino	D

📈 Recent form

RB Bragantino

RB Bragantino come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Atlético Mineiro.

LAtlético Mineiro 1-0 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
LFlamengo 2-1 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
DBotafogo 1-1 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
LRB Bragantino 2-3 BahiaBrazilian Série A
LSão Paulo 2-1 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A

Mirassol

Mirassol come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Botafogo. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Flamengo.

WMirassol 2-0 BotafogoBrazilian Série A
DMirassol 2-2 VitóriaBrazilian Série A
WCoritiba 1-2 MirassolBrazilian Série A
LFlamengo 2-0 MirassolBrazilian Série A
DMirassol 1-1 PalmeirasBrazilian Série A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

RB Bragantino

Davi GomesKnee Injury
RodriguinhoNot in squad
I. SosaSuspended (cards)
Alix ViniciusInjury

Mirassol

Jose AldoMuscle Injury
NeguebaKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices RB Bragantino at 52% to win and Mirassol at 20%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a RB Bragantino win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
RB Bragantino Win	52%	52%	@ 1.80
Draw	28%	27%	@ 3.50
Mirassol Win	20%	21%	@ 4.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is RB Bragantino or Draw at 1.18 (78% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
RB Bragantino or Draw	78%	79%	@ 1.18
Mirassol or Draw	46%	48%	@ 1.95

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	74%	76%	@ 1.25
Under 3.5	72%	68%	@ 1.40
Under 2.5	51%	46%	@ 2.05
Over 2.5	49%	54%	@ 1.75
Over 3.5	28%	32%	@ 3.00
Under 1.5	26%	24%	@ 4.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	51%	55%	@ 1.70
BTTS No	49%	45%	@ 2.05

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when RB Bragantino or Mirassol is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
RB Bragantino +0.75	82%	83%	1.14
Mirassol +2	79%	83%	1.15
RB Bragantino +0.5	78%	77%	1.23
Mirassol +1.75	74%	–	1.25
RB Bragantino +0.25	72%	74%	1.28
Mirassol +1.5	70%	71%	1.34
RB Bragantino 0	66%	71%	1.35
Mirassol +1.25	64%	67%	1.42
RB Bragantino -0.25	60%	60%	1.57
Mirassol +1	58%	62%	1.54
RB Bragantino -0.5	54%	53%	1.81
Mirassol +0.75	52%	53%	1.80
RB Bragantino -0.75	48%	47%	2.06
Mirassol +0.5	46%	47%	2.06
RB Bragantino -1	42%	38%	@ 2.48
Mirassol +0.25	40%	40%	2.40
RB Bragantino -1.25	36%	33%	@ 2.87
Mirassol 0	34%	29%	@ 3.25
RB Bragantino -1.5	30%	29%	3.25
Mirassol -0.25	28%	26%	@ 3.69
Mirassol -0.5	22%	23%	4.21
RB Bragantino -2	21%	17%	@ 5.50
Mirassol -0.75	18%	17%	@ 5.75

📈 How the market moved

RB Bragantino 52%Draw 26%Mirassol 22%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	56%
Dixon-Coles	Home	50%
GradientBoosting	Home	52%

Ensemble verdict on Mirassol Asian Handicap +1.5: 71%

Our ensemble puts this selection at 71%. The model table above shows each model’s view of the match winner; this pick is on a different market (goals or handicap), where the ensemble combines all available models into the probability shown.

Our model estimates a 71% chance for this selection, while the odds of 1.34 imply 75%. In our own testing the bookmaker market is a hard benchmark to beat, so treat any gap between the two numbers with caution.

Expected goals: 1.70 for the home side, 0.99 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for RB Bragantino vs Mirassol?

Our model's main pick is Mirassol Asian Handicap with a +1.5 start at odds 1.34, with a 71% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for RB Bragantino vs Mirassol?

Our model makes a RB Bragantino win the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.0 scoreline for RB Bragantino vs Mirassol.

What is the predicted score for RB Bragantino vs Mirassol?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.67 for RB Bragantino and 0.98 for Mirassol. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do RB Bragantino and Mirassol play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 07 October 2026, 22:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.