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⚽ Major League Soccer

Austin vs Nashville SC Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Austin vs Nashville SC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 11 October 2026, 00:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Austin face Nashville SC in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Sunday 11 October 2026, 00:30 UTC. Recent form: Austin have 1 win from their last 5, while Nashville SC have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Nashville SC win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 1.1-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Austin vs Nashville SC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.40

71%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.15 – 1.56 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.7%	10.4%	8.1%	4.2%	1.6%
1	7.7%	11.9%	9.3%	4.8%	1.9%
2	4.4%	6.9%	5.4%	2.8%	1.1%
3	1.7%	2.6%	2.1%	1.1%	0.4%
4	0.5%	0.8%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Austin winDrawNashville SC win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Austin vs Nashville SC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 71% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Nashville SC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean over 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (51%).

📊 Key numbers

Austin 28%Draw 28%Nashville SC 44%

28%28%44%

44%

Nashville SC Win

51%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Austin

Austin come into this game with 1 win and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Vancouver Whitecaps.

DAustin 3-3 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
DFC Dallas 0-0 AustinMajor League Soccer
WVancouver Whitecaps 1-2 AustinMajor League Soccer
DAustin 1-1 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
DAustin 1-1 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer

Nashville SC

Nashville SC come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Chicago Fire. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Toronto FC.

WNashville SC 2-0 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
WNashville SC 3-0 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
DInter Miami 2-2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
LToronto FC 2-1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
DNew York City FC 0-0 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Austin at 28% to win and Nashville SC at 44%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Nashville SC win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Nashville SC Win	44%	51%	@ 1.85
Austin Win	28%	25%	@ 3.80
Draw	28%	25%	@ 3.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Nashville SC or Draw at 1.22 (71% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Nashville SC or Draw	71%	75%	@ 1.22
Austin or Draw	55%	49%	@ 1.95

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	77%	@ 1.22
Under 3.5	71%	66%	@ 1.40
Over 2.5	51%	55%	@ 1.70
Under 2.5	49%	45%	@ 2.10
Over 3.5	29%	34%	@ 2.75
Under 1.5	25%	23%	@ 4.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	51%	56%	@ 1.67
BTTS No	49%	44%	@ 2.10

📈 How the market moved

Austin 25%Draw 25%Nashville SC 50%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Austin vs Nashville SC?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 71% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 66%.

Who is the favourite for Austin vs Nashville SC?

Our model makes a Nashville SC win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.6 scoreline for Austin vs Nashville SC.

What is the predicted score for Austin vs Nashville SC?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.15 for Austin and 1.56 for Nashville SC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Austin and Nashville SC play?

Kick-off is Sunday 11 October 2026, 00:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.